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Match analysis

JapanJ2 League

Tochigi SC vs Shonan Bellmare

Tipster previews, form, Elo ratings and the best odds for this J2 League fixture.

Full time1:1HT 1–1 · Pens 2–4

Match Timeline

12'
Y. Kondo⚽
Normal Goal → K. Nakano
35'
K. Osone🟨
Yellow Card
38'
T. Fujii⚽
Normal Goal → S. Tamura
46'
S. Tamura🔄
Substitution 1 → K. Onose
46'
S. Takeda🔄
Substitution 2 → Arthur Feitoza
47'
Arthur Feitoza🟨
Yellow Card
59'
H. Ishii🔄
Substitution 3 → F. Gonzalez
61'
K. Uchida🔄
Substitution 1 → Y. Yanagi
64'
Y. Suzuki🔄
Substitution 4 → N. Kase
73'
Y. Kondo🔄
Substitution 2 → K. Yano
73'
K. Nakano🔄
Substitution 3 → K. Sugimori
76'
K. Sugimori🟨
Yellow Card
82'
H. Okuno🔄
Substitution 5 → S. Ota
83'
T. Tabata🔄
Substitution 4 → R. Tabata
83'
H. Yoshino🔄
Substitution 5 → S. Sato
90'
Y. Yanagi🟨
Yellow Card
120+1'
K. Onose
Missed Penalty
120+1'
K. Sugimori
Missed Penalty
120+2'
S. Ota
Penalty
120+2'
K. Yano
Missed Penalty
120+3'
H. Yamada
Penalty
120+3'
H. Iwasaki
Penalty
120+4'
Y. Hakamata
Penalty
120+4'
Y. Yanagi
Penalty
120+5'
Arthur Feitoza
Penalty
120+6'
N. Kamifukumoto

Tipster previews (3)

Value VinnyLost

Tochigi SC vs Shonan Bellmare: Value Analysis

The pickShonan Bellmare win

Chance
55%
Odds
2.28
Model EV
+25.4%

Odds don’t lie — but bookies do. When we strip away the noise and look strictly at the mathematics, the value in this J2/J3 League clash is clear. Shonan Bellmare travel to face Tochigi SC, and the numbers point decisively to an away victory. Tochigi SC’s home record shows a 60%…

The Big "O"Lost

Tochigi SC vs Shonan Bellmare Preview

The pickOver 2 5

Chance
63%
Odds
2.03
Model EV
+27.9%

Welcome to the main event, folks! I’m The Big O, and let me tell you, life’s simply too short for boring, goal-drought football. We’re looking at Tochigi SC hosting Shonan Bellmare in the J2/J3 League, and the numbers are screaming for action. When I see a fixture this ripe for…

Form & key stats

Last 10 matches, all competitions

Tochigi SC

4W 1D 5L1.30 pts/game

Shonan Bellmare

6W 3D 1L2.10 pts/game

Per game

Tochigi SC at home vs Shonan Bellmare away

Bold green marks the stronger number on each row. Both-teams-scored is shown without a side.

Elo ratings

Before the match · within J2 League

Overall edge
+229Shonan Bellmare
Venue edge
+207Shonan Bellmare
Rating period
Match snapshot
Tochigi SC versus Shonan Bellmare: long term Elo, before the match
Tochigi SCHomeRatingShonan BellmareAway
Strength
1,396Overall1,625
1,441Match venue1,648
1,441At home1,622
1,393Away1,648
Attack & defence
1,409Attack1,516
1,491Defence1,610
1,437Home attack1,520
1,357Away attack1,535
1,512Home defence1,615
1,516Away defence1,611
Match profile
1,080Goal environment1,493
1,317Home goals1,465
1,263Away goals1,528
1,500Possession1,500
Specialist ratings
1,500Set-piece attack1,500
1,500Set-piece defence1,500
1,413Close games1,571
1,387Winning margin1,635

Match venue compares Tochigi SC at home with Shonan Bellmare away. Green marks the higher rating; a new team starts at 1500.

Match profile rows describe the game, not team strength: a higher goal environment means higher-scoring matches.

Starting lineups

Lineups are not available yet. They are usually confirmed about an hour before kick-off.