Skip to main content

Match analysis

BrazilSerie B

Ceara vs Avai

Tipster previews, form, Elo ratings and the best odds for this Serie B fixture.

Full time2:1HT 2–0

Match Timeline

5'
Eder🟨
Yellow Card
19'
Julio Cesar⚽
Normal Goal → Melk
26'
Luiz Otavio🟨
Yellow Card
38'
Walace Franca🟨
Yellow Card
45+1'
Melk⚽
Normal Goal → R. Ramos
48'
Matheus Araujo🟨
Yellow Card
57'
Thayllon🔄
Substitution 1 → Sorriso
57'
Wallison🔄
Substitution 2 → Wesley Gasolina
60'
Sorriso⚽
Normal Goal → Jean Lucas
62'
Wendel Silva🔄
Substitution 1 → Gabriel Amaral
67'
DG🟨
Yellow Card
70'
Fernando🔄
Substitution 2 → Sanchez
70'
Diego🔄
Substitution 3 → Richardson
70'
Matheus Araujo🔄
Substitution 4 → Gustavo Prado
78'
DG🔄
Substitution 3 → Wenderson
78'
Walace Franca🔄
Substitution 4 → Leo Gamalho
78'
R. Ramos🔄
Substitution 5 → Enzo Lodovico
82'
Guilherme Aquino🔄
Substitution 5 → Gabriel Simples
88'
Melk🔄
Substitution 6 → Matheusinho
90'
Paulo Vitor🟨
Yellow Card
90+2'
Paulo Vitor🔄
Substitution 6 → Romildo Del Piage

Match Statistics

4Shots on Goal2
10Shots off Goal6
17Total Shots11
3Blocked Shots3
11Shots insidebox5
6Shots outsidebox6
14Fouls11
8Corner Kicks0
2Offsides0
42Ball Possession58
3Yellow Cards3
1Goalkeeper Saves2
289Total passes408
215Passes accurate347
74Passes %85
0.93expected_goals0.4
-1.18goals_prevented-1.18

Tipster previews (3)

Yoda Mc Yoda FaceWon

Ceara vs Avai - 2026-06-10 23:00 : Serie B

The pickCeara win

Chance
65%
Odds
1.73
Model EV
+12.4%

Do or do not bet, there is no try... but hedge your bets, you should. When the path ahead is clouded by inconsistency, wisdom lies in seeking the clearest signal. Ceara host Avai in a Serie B clash where the scales of form, rest, and history tilt heavily toward the home side…

Mr SimpleWon

Ceara vs Avai Preview: Home Win Value in Serie B

The pickCeara win

Chance
62%
Odds
1.73
Model EV
+7.3%

Right then, let’s get straight into it. Ceara host Avai in a Serie B clash that’s screaming for a bit of common sense. On paper, both sides are grinding out results in the bottom half of the table, but look a bit closer at the home and away splits and you’ll spot a clear path to…

Form & key stats

Last 10 matches, all competitions

Ceara

3W 1D 6L1.00 pts/game

Avai

3W 3D 4L1.20 pts/game

Per game

Ceara at home vs Avai away

Bold green marks the stronger number on each row. Both-teams-scored is shown without a side.

Elo ratings

Before the match · within Serie B

Overall edge
+37Ceara
Venue edge
+103Ceara
Rating period
Match snapshot
Ceara versus Avai: long term Elo, before the match
CearaHomeRatingAvaiAway
Strength
1,549Overall1,513
1,610Match venue1,507
1,610At home1,540
1,478Away1,507
Attack & defence
1,496Attack1,471
1,554Defence1,547
1,516Home attack1,491
1,474Away attack1,431
1,577Home defence1,567
1,530Away defence1,556
Match profile
1,522Goal environment1,108
1,530Home goals1,328
1,492Away goals1,280
1,501Possession1,497
Specialist ratings
1,521Set-piece attack1,468
1,521Set-piece defence1,469
1,528Close games1,512
1,558Winning margin1,512

Match venue compares Ceara at home with Avai away. Green marks the higher rating; a new team starts at 1500.

Match profile rows describe the game, not team strength: a higher goal environment means higher-scoring matches.

Starting Lineups

CearaCeara1:1

Starting XI

1RichardG
33ÉderD
17FernandoM
8Matheus AraújoF
4Luiz OtávioD
81João GabrielM
9WendelF
18Júlio CésarD
20DieguinhoM
40MelkF
2Rafael RamosM

AvaiAvai1:1

Starting XI

41Léo AragãoG
36Douglas TeixeiraD
8Luiz HenriqueM
10Jean LucasM
57Walace dos Santos FrançaF
50Joao VictorD
25Paulo VitorM
14Daniel PenhaM
15Guilherme AquinoD
43Thayllon RoberthM
2WallisonD