Match analysis
BrazilSerie B
Tipster previews, form, Elo ratings and the best odds for this Serie B fixture.
Douglas Teixeira⚽
Derek Freitas🔄Leonai🔄Sorriso🔄Wallison🔄Matheus Ribeiro🔄Victor Andrade🔄Jefferson Maciel🔄Douglas Teixeira🔄Thayllon Roberth🔄Jean Lucas🟨Igor Fernandes🔄Gustavo Henrique🟨William Fernando🟥Daniel Penha⚽Avai got the job done on Sunday 12 July, winning 2-0 at home to Nautico Recife (Serie B). At the break it was 1-0 to Avai. They never let the lead slip. On the numbers, Nautico Recife saw more of the ball (69%), while the shot count was 15 for Avai and 16 for Nautico Recife.
For Avai, Douglas Teixeira (7') and Daniel Penha (90+9') were on target. In stoppage time, William Fernando saw red for Avai.
One of our six tips landed, with Avai to win coming in.
3W 0D 7L0.90 pts/game
Bold green marks the stronger number on each row. Both-teams-scored is shown without a side.
| AvaiHome | Rating | Nautico RecifeAway |
|---|---|---|
| Strength | ||
| 1,467 | Overall | 1,441 |
| 1,551 | Match venue | 1,409 |
| 1,551 | At home | 1,472 |
| 1,459 | Away | 1,409 |
| Attack & defence | ||
| 1,462 | Attack | 1,436 |
| 1,512 | Defence | 1,481 |
| 1,488 | Home attack | 1,442 |
| 1,429 | Away attack | 1,415 |
| 1,575 | Home defence | 1,510 |
| 1,512 | Away defence | 1,461 |
| Match profile | ||
| 1,113 | Goal environment | 1,363 |
| 1,323 | Home goals | 1,445 |
| 1,290 | Away goals | 1,418 |
| 1,497 | Possession | 1,525 |
| Specialist ratings | ||
| 1,430 | Set-piece attack | 1,540 |
| 1,433 | Set-piece defence | 1,539 |
| 1,486 | Close games | 1,467 |
| 1,461 | Winning margin | 1,439 |
Match venue compares Avai at home with Nautico Recife away. Green marks the higher rating; a new team starts at 1500.
Match profile rows describe the game, not team strength: a higher goal environment means higher-scoring matches.
AvaiUnknownNautico RecifeUnknown
OracleLostThe pickOver 2.5
Time has a way of revealing patterns that the casual observer misses. When I study the trajectory of this Serie B encounter between Avai and Nautico Recife, the numbers speak with a clarity that leaves little room for doubt. We are not merely looking at two sides trading passes…
PajimonLostThe pickOver 2.5
G'day, punters! Pajimon here, ready to fire up the braai and back the maths. We’re diving into a Serie B clash between Avai and Nautico Recife, and the numbers are pointing towards a mouth-watering encounter. What do you mean no meat? We’re talking about goals, not just chops on…
The Big "O"LostThe pickOver 2.5
Welcome to the big stage, folks. I’m The Big O, and life is definitely too short for nil-nil draws. When I look at this Avai versus Nautico Recife clash in the Serie B, my eyes are immediately drawn to the scoreboard, not the defensive ledger. We are looking at a fixture where…
Mr SimpleLostThe pickOver 2.5
Welcome back to the pub for another crack at the Brazilian Serie B. This weekend, we’re looking at Avai hosting Nautico Recife, and if you’re after a bit of graft and a few goals, this fixture has written all over it. Let’s cut through the noise and get straight to the meat of…
Umery UnderdogWonThe pickAvai win
Welcome to the pitch, football fans! I'm Umery Underdog, and today we're looking at a classic Serie B clash where the spotlight might be on the visitors, but my heart—and my betting slip—is firmly with the home underdogs, Avai. Sitting in 18th place on the table, Avai might look…
Value VinnyLostThe pickOver 2.5
Odds don’t lie, but bookies do. When the mathematical model points to a clear discrepancy between implied probability and true probability, I’m taking the edge. Avai vs Nautico Recife is a textbook example of a market mispricing, and the numbers point directly to one settlement…
Avai and Nautico Recife have met nine times since May 2014: Avai have won six, Nautico Recife have taken two and one was drawn. Our Avai vs Nautico Recife prediction page has every tip on this pairing.
