Sat, 29 Aug 2026, 21:30
Serie B
Brazil
Brazil
Full Time
1:2
HT: 0 - 0

Match Timeline

22'
Wesley🟨
Yellow Card
45+5'
Felipe Vieira🟨
Yellow Card
46'
Wesley🔄
Substitution 1 → David
50'
Ericson da Silva🟨
Yellow Card
58'
Eliel🔄
Substitution 2 → Kauan Cristtyan
60'
Hygor🔄
Substitution 1 → Arthur Caíke
60'
Felipe Vieira🔄
Substitution 2 → Jonathan
62'
Vitor Mendes
Normal Goal
73'
Wesley Pinheiro🔄
Substitution 3 → Kelvin
73'
Matheus Sales🔄
Substitution 4 → Leandro Maciel
77'
Jean Dias🔄
Substitution 3 → Rodrigo Rodrigues
80'
Everton Morelli
Normal Goal → Kelvin
85'
Lorenzo🔄
Substitution 4 → Weverson
85'
Fábio Gomes🔄
Substitution 5 → Vinicius Peixoto
87'
Kauan Cristtyan
Normal Goal → Rodrigo Rodrigues
87'
Zé Hugo🔄
Substitution 5 → Jadson Alves

Match Statistics

5Shots on Goal4
6Shots off Goal6
15Total Shots16
4Blocked Shots6
9Shots insidebox11
6Shots outsidebox5
13Fouls14
4Corner Kicks4
0Offsides2
60Ball Possession40
2Yellow Cards1
2Goalkeeper Saves3
465Total passes317
381Passes accurate228
82Passes %72
0.58expected_goals0.76
0.36goals_prevented0.36

Starting Lineups

Botafogo SPBotafogo SPUnknown

Starting XI

1Victor SouzaG
22Gabriel InocêncioD
3Ericson da SilvaD
4VilarD
26Felipe VieiraD
16Matheus SalesM
8Everton MorelliM
30Zé HugoM
10Rafael GavaM
23Wesley PinheiroM
9HygorF

CuiabaCuiabaUnknown

Starting XI

1João CarlosG
13João BassoD
5Calebe CostaD
4Vitor MendesD
2Igor InocencioM
30RaulM
70WesleyM
36LorenzoM
11ElielF
77Jean DiasF
90Fábio GomesF

Head-to-Head

📈 Team Form & Statistics

Botafogo SP
Botafogo SP
Form: L-D-W-W-L
Cuiaba
Cuiaba
Form: D-W-W-D-D
Record
4 W
3 D
3 L
3 W
5 D
2 L
Goals Per Game
1.4
Scored
vs
1.2
Scored
1.3
Conceded
vs
1.1
Conceded
Betting Indicators
Clean Sheets
20%
Clean Sheets
20%
BTTS
50%
BTTS
60%
Home/Away Performance
Scored
Home:2.0
Away:0.8
Conceded
Home:1.2
Away:1.4
Scored
Home:1.0
Away:1.5
Conceded
Home:0.8
Away:1.5

⚡ Elo Ratings

Long Term Elo Rating
1493
Average
1582
Average
Short Term Elo Rating
1536
↑ Momentum (+43)
1588
↑ Momentum (+6)
Expected Outcome
26%
Home Win
30%
Draw
44%
Away Win
Attack & Defence Elo
Long Term
1444
Attack
1470
1544
Defence
1603
Recent Form
1504
Attack
1437
1542
Defence
1614
Post-Match Changes
-13
Rating Change
0
Rating Change
Elo ratings measure team strength based on match results and opponent quality. Higher ratings indicate stronger teams.

📝 Match Preview

Botafogo SP vs Cuiaba | The Big O's Goal-Fest Forecast
Recommendation:OVER_2_5
Odds:2.88
Expected Value:+72.8%
Confidence:8

Listen up, football lovers! If you're looking for a snooze-fest, you're in the wrong place. Life’s too short for nil-nil draws, and today's clash between Botafogo SP and Cuiaba is screaming for some action. As 'The Big O,' I don't just want a result; I want a spectacle, and the numbers are telling me we're about to get exactly what we crave. Botafogo SP is turning their home turf into a scoring zone. They are currently averaging a meaty 2.00 goals scored per game at home, and their recent form is nothing short of explosive. We saw them put on a clinic with a 4-2 victory over Juventude and a clinical 3-1 win against Avai. They aren't just winning; they are finding the back of the net with purpose. On the other side of the pitch, Cuiaba isn't exactly known for locking down the gates on the road. They average 1.50 goals scored and a corresponding 1.50 goals conceded when playing away from home. Their recent outings reflect this high-octane environment, including a 1-3 loss to Ceara and a 2-2 stalemate against São Bernardo. They are perfectly primed to be involved in a goal-heavy affair, providing the perfect canvas for Botafogo's home attack. When we crunch the numbers, the goal expectancy (λ) sits at a very healthy 3.10. This suggests a high probability of a multi-goal game, yet the market is currently offering some delicious value. The odds for Over 2.5 Goals are sitting at 2.88, implying a much lower probability than what the data suggests. We are looking at a massive discrepancy between the bookmakers' expectations and the reality of these two teams' scoring trends. With Botafogo's home firepower and Cuiaba's tendency to trade blows on the road, this match has all the ingredients for a high-scoring treat. We're skipping the boring stuff and going straight for the goals. **Key Points:** - Botafogo SP averages 2.00 goals scored per game at home. - Cuiaba averages 1.50 goals scored and 1.50 goals conceded on the road. - Recent Botafogo home results include high-scoring wins (4-2, 3-1) and a 3-3 draw. - Poisson goal expectancy for this fixture is 3.10. - Significant value identified on the Over 2.5 Goals market. We're looking for a high-scoring masterpiece today. The bet is Over 2.5 Goals.

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