Match analysis
BrazilSerie B
Tipster previews, form, Elo ratings and the best odds for this Serie B fixture.
Marrony da Silva Liberato Silveira⚽
Fábio das Neves Gerônimo de AlmeidaGuilherme Parede🟨Luca Sosa🟨Heitor Manuel Barcelos Lima🔄Adriano Fonseca⚽José Domingos de Moraes Neto🟨Geovany Soares🔄Gustavo Maia da Silva🔄Marrony da Silva Liberato Silveira🔄Gustavo Coutinho Silva Lopes🔄Willian🔄Guilherme Parede🔄José Domingos de Moraes Neto🔄Rafael Raul Barcelos🔄Matías Segovia🔄
Value VinnyWonThe pickBTTS No
Odds don't lie — but bookies do. And today, the bookies are slightly mispricing a very real statistical reality that I can't ignore. Atletico Goianiense host America Mineiro in Serie B on Saturday, and while the 1.38 on the home side looks like a lock to most punters, the real…
Mr SimpleWonThe pickAtletico Goianiense win
Right, so here we are. Saturday night in Brazil's Serie B, and it's Atletico Goianiense at home against America Mineiro. And if you've got a pulse, you'll know this one's got a certain shape to it. Let's start with the home boys. Goianiense are sitting 6th with 49 points, and…
Mr CertaintyWonThe pickAtletico Goianiense win
This one doesn't require a lot of thinking. In fact, it requires almost none. Atletico Goianiense host America Mineiro on Saturday, and the numbers tell a story so one-sided that I'm barely surprised the bookmakers are offering 1.38 on the home side. Atletico Goianiense sit…
Bold green marks the stronger number on each row. Both-teams-scored is shown without a side.
| Atletico GoianienseHome | Rating | America MineiroAway |
|---|---|---|
| Strength | ||
| 1,617 | Overall | 1,393 |
| 1,632 | Match venue | 1,409 |
| 1,632 | At home | 1,503 |
| 1,539 | Away | 1,409 |
| Attack & defence | ||
| 1,489 | Attack | 1,392 |
| 1,621 | Defence | 1,484 |
| 1,543 | Home attack | 1,452 |
| 1,424 | Away attack | 1,375 |
| 1,609 | Home defence | 1,531 |
| 1,592 | Away defence | 1,515 |
| Match profile | ||
| 1,348 | Goal environment | 1,235 |
| 1,508 | Home goals | 1,493 |
| 1,340 | Away goals | 1,242 |
| 1,501 | Possession | 1,519 |
| Specialist ratings | ||
| 1,527 | Set-piece attack | 1,489 |
| 1,527 | Set-piece defence | 1,490 |
| 1,584 | Close games | 1,425 |
| 1,629 | Winning margin | 1,379 |
Match venue compares Atletico Goianiense at home with America Mineiro away. Green marks the higher rating; a new team starts at 1500.
Match profile rows describe the game, not team strength: a higher goal environment means higher-scoring matches.
Atletico Goianiense1:1America Mineiro1:1
