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Match analysis

BrazilSerie B

Nautico Recife vs Vila Nova

Tipster previews, form, Elo ratings and the best odds for this Serie B fixture.

Tipster previews (4)

Mr Simple

Nautico Recife vs Vila Nova: Under 2.5 Goals Tip

The pickUnder 2 5

Chance
65%
Odds
1.70
Model EV
+10.5%

Right, so we've got Nautico Recife hosting Vila Nova on 11 October in Serie B, and if you've been following Vila Nova's recent numbers, you'll know this is the sort of game where the under 2.5 market is practically screaming at you. Let's start with the visitors. Vila Nova have…

Form & key stats

Last 10 matches, all competitions

Nautico Recife

4W 3D 3L1.50 pts/game

Vila Nova

6W 3D 1L2.10 pts/game

Per game

Nautico Recife at home vs Vila Nova away

Bold green marks the stronger number on each row. Both-teams-scored is shown without a side.

Elo ratings

Before the match · within Serie B

Overall edge
+108Vila Nova
Venue edge
+54Nautico Recife
Rating period
Nautico Recife versus Vila Nova: long term Elo, before the match
Nautico RecifeHomeRatingVila NovaAway
Strength
1,488Overall1,597
1,521Match venue1,467
1,521At home1,657
1,398Away1,467
Attack & defence
1,452Attack1,469
1,495Defence1,596
1,482Home attack1,532
1,396Away attack1,401
1,514Home defence1,612
1,469Away defence1,538
Match profile
1,360Goal environment1,007
1,452Home goals1,137
1,408Away goals1,370
1,528Possession1,497
Specialist ratings
1,530Set-piece attack1,486
1,530Set-piece defence1,486
1,514Close games1,584
1,483Winning margin1,595

Match venue compares Nautico Recife at home with Vila Nova away. Green marks the higher rating; a new team starts at 1500.

Match profile rows describe the game, not team strength: a higher goal environment means higher-scoring matches.

Starting lineups

Lineups are not available yet. They are usually confirmed about an hour before kick-off.