Fri, 17 Apr 2026, 12:00
Full Time

Match Timeline

31'
Chenliang Zhang🟨
Yellow Card
33'
Fan Yang🟨
Yellow Card
41'
Alberto Quiles
Normal Goal → Zhenghao Wang
45+5'
Zhenghao Wang🟨
Yellow Card
46'
Shengpan Ji🔄
Substitution 1 → Guilherme Schettine
46'
Zhenghao Wang🔄
Substitution 2 → Dun Ba
52'
Guilherme Schettine
Normal Goal → Alberto Quiles
61'
Zichang Huang
Penalty cancelled
61'
Zhang Yufeng🔄
Substitution 1 → Zilong Han
62'
Zichang Huang🟨
Yellow Card
70'
Chenliang Zhang🟨
Yellow Card
70'
Chenliang Zhang🟥
Red Card
72'
Chenliang Zhang
Card reviewed
77'
Qiuming Wang🔄
Substitution 3 → Chen Zhexuan
81'
Alberto Quiles
Normal Goal → Guilherme Schettine
84'
Alberto Quiles🔄
Substitution 4 → Junxian Liu
85'
Xie Weijun🟨
Yellow Card
86'
Xin Xu🔄
Substitution 2 → Ke Shi
86'
Alexandru Ioniță🔄
Substitution 3 → Yuhao Zhao
86'
Zichang Huang🔄
Substitution 4 → Zihao Yang
88'
Bruno Xadas🔄
Substitution 5 → Li Yongjia

Match Statistics

2Shots on Goal3
13Shots off Goal5
24Total Shots8
9Blocked Shots0
16Shots insidebox4
8Shots outsidebox4
12Fouls9
5Corner Kicks2
4Offsides2
71Ball Possession29
3Yellow Cards3
1Red Cards0
1Goalkeeper Saves2
477Total passes205
419Passes accurate143
88Passes %70

Starting Lineups

Yunnan YukunYunnan Yukun1:1

Starting XI

1Yaxiong BaoG
19Zichang HuangD
8Xin XuM
11Oscar Taty MarituM
9CléberF
33Andrei BurcăD
34Caio ViníciusM
26Chenliang ZhangD
15Zhang YufengM
20Miao TangD
10Alexandru IonițăM

Tianjin TedaTianjin Teda1:1

Starting XI

25Yan BingliangG
17Xinghan WuD
8Bruno XadasM
9Alberto QuilesF
6Xianjun WangD
5Jaume GrauM
4Fan YangD
30Qiuming WangM
11Xie WeijunD
20Shengpan JiM
3Zhenghao WangD

Head-to-Head

📈 Team Form & Statistics

Yunnan Yukun
Yunnan Yukun
Form: W-L-W-L-W
Tianjin Teda
Tianjin Teda
Form: D-L-L-L-D
Record
6 W
1 D
3 L
1 W
3 D
6 L
Goals Per Game
2.1
Scored
vs
0.8
Scored
1.2
Conceded
vs
1.7
Conceded
Betting Indicators
Clean Sheets
30%
Clean Sheets
20%
BTTS
60%
BTTS
50%
Home/Away Performance
Scored
Home:2.5
Away:1.8
Conceded
Home:0.3
Away:1.8
Scored
Home:1.2
Away:0.3
Conceded
Home:1.5
Away:2.0

⚡ Elo Ratings

Long Term Elo Rating
1584
Average
1593
Average
Short Term Elo Rating
1684
↑ Momentum (+100)
1632
↑ Momentum (+38)
Expected Outcome
32%
Home Win
34%
Draw
34%
Away Win
Attack & Defence Elo
Long Term
1565
Attack
1497
1546
Defence
1569
Recent Form
1622
Attack
1511
1587
Defence
1565
Post-Match Changes
-16
Rating Change
0
Rating Change
Elo ratings measure team strength based on match results and opponent quality. Higher ratings indicate stronger teams.

📝 Match Preview

Yunnan Yukun vs Tianjin Teda Betting Preview
Recommendation:BOTH_TEAMS_TO_SCORE_NO
Odds:2.20
Expected Value:+65.0%
Confidence:8

Right, let's have a proper look at this Super League clash. Yunnan Yukun are hosting Tianjin Teda, and the numbers tell a very clear story. Yunnan Yukun are absolutely dominant at home. In their last four home games, they've won every single one. They're scoring 2.50 goals per game at home and only letting in 0.25. That's a fortress. They just thrashed Sichuan Jiuniu 4-3 away, but at home, they're a different beast. Tianjin Teda, on the other hand, are in a right pickle. They haven't won a single away game in their last four outings. They're averaging just 0.25 goals scored on the road and conceding 2.00. That's not a great look for the visitors. Head-to-head, Yunnan has the upper hand. They've won two of the last three meetings, keeping clean sheets in both wins (2-0 and 1-0). The last time they met, Yunnan won 2-0. So, what's the value here? The odds for a Home Win are 1.72, which is decent, but the real value lies in the goal markets. Given Yunnan's tight home defense (0.25 conceded per game) and Tianjin's poor away attack (0.25 scored per game), it's highly likely Tianjin won't find the net. The bookies are offering 2.20 for Both Teams to Score - No. The implied probability is around 45%, but looking at the stats—Yunnan's home clean sheets and Tianjin's away goal drought—the actual probability is much higher, likely around 75%. That's a solid edge. **Key Points:** - Yunnan Yukun have a 100% win rate in their last 4 home games. - Tianjin Teda have a 0% win rate in their last 4 away games. - Yunnan averages 2.50 goals scored at home, Tianjin averages 0.25 goals scored away. - Head-to-head favors Yunnan (2 wins, 1 draw). - BTTS No offers the best value at 2.20 odds. **Summary:** Yunnan Yukun are a house at home, and Tianjin Teda struggle to score on the road. The stats scream clean sheet for the hosts. The best bet is **Both Teams to Score - No** at 2.20.

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📝 Match Preview

Yunnan Yukun vs Tianjin Teda: Match Preview
Recommendation:HOME_WIN
Odds:1.72
Expected Value:+11.8%
Confidence:8

Hey guys, Pajimon here. What do you mean no meat? We only bet on the juicy ones. Today we look at Yunnan Yukun vs Tianjin Teda in the Super League. Yunnan sits 3rd with 9 points, while Tianjin is rock bottom at 0 points. The stats scream value on the Home Win. Yunnan Yukun is a fortress at home. In their last 4 home games, they have a 100% win rate. They average 2.50 goals scored per game at home and only concede 0.25. Their recent form includes a 4-0 win against Shandong Luneng and a 4-3 away win against Sichuan Jiuniu. They are scoring freely. Tianjin Teda, on the other hand, are struggling away from home. In their last 4 away games, their win rate is 0%. They average just 0.25 goals scored per game away and concede 2.00. Their recent results show losses to Shenyang Urban (0-3) and Sichuan Jiuniu (0-1). They simply cannot score on the road. Head-to-head record is also heavily in Yunnan's favor. In 3 meetings, Yunnan has 2 wins and 1 draw. The last meeting ended 2-0 in Yunnan's favor. The goal expectancy data supports this, showing Yunnan expected to score 2.25 goals while Tianjin is expected to score 0.25. The odds for a Home Win are 1.72. Given the stark contrast in home/away splits and the H2H dominance, the implied probability of 58% seems low compared to the data. This offers a clear edge. Lekker win potential. Key Points: - Yunnan 100% home win rate. - Tianjin 0% away win rate. - H2H favors Yunnan. - Goal expectancy favors Yunnan. Summary: Back Yunnan Yukun to win.

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📝 Match Preview

Yunnan Yukun vs Tianjin Teda Betting Preview
Recommendation:HOME_WIN
Odds:1.72
Expected Value:+29.0%
Confidence:8

Odds don't lie — but bookies do. When the numbers align, value emerges. Today, Yunnan Yukun hosts Tianjin Teda in the Super League, and the statistical disparity is stark. Yunnan Yukun has established a fortress at home. Over their last four home games, they have a 100% win rate, averaging 2.50 goals scored per game while conceding only 0.25. This defensive solidity is rare, and their offensive output is consistent. Conversely, Tianjin Teda is struggling immensely on the road. In their last four away fixtures, they have a 0% win rate, scoring just 0.25 goals per game while leaking 2.00 goals. The gap in performance metrics is the primary signal here. Head-to-head history further cements Yunnan's dominance. In three previous meetings, Yunnan remains unbeaten, securing two wins and one draw. The most recent encounter ended 2-0 in favor of Yunnan. When you combine the 100% home win rate for the hosts against the 0% away win rate for the visitors, the probability of a home victory is heavily skewed. Goal expectancy models suggest a total of roughly 2.5 goals (Home 2.25, Away 0.25). While this hovers near the Over/Under line, the primary value lies in the match outcome. The odds for a Home Win sit at 1.72. Given the extreme form splits—Yunnan's perfect home record versus Tianjin's winless away run—the implied probability of 58% appears conservative compared to the statistical reality. Discipline dictates we only bet when the edge is clear. Here, the convergence of home dominance, away struggles, and historical head-to-head superiority provides multiple confirmatory signals. The risk of a draw exists, but the data heavily favors the hosts. **Summary:** The mathematical edge points to a **Home Win** for Yunnan Yukun.

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📝 Match Preview

Yunnan Yukun vs Tianjin Teda Betting Preview
Recommendation:HOME_WIN
Odds:1.72
Expected Value:+11.8%
Confidence:7

Listen closely, young padawan. In the galaxy of football, do or do not bet, there is no try. But hedge your bets, you should. Today, we examine the clash between Yunnan Yukun and Tianjin Teda in the Super League. Yunnan Yukun, the home force, stands strong. Their recent form is formidable. In their last four home games, they have won every single match, a 100% win rate. They score an average of 2.50 goals per game at home, while conceding a mere 0.25. This defensive solidity is rare, indeed. Their overall points per game is 1.90, placing them third in the standings. Tianjin Teda, the away visitors, struggle in the dark. Their away performance is dire. In their last four away games, they have won zero matches, a 0% win rate. They score only 0.25 goals per game on the road, while conceding 2.00 goals. Their overall points per game is a meager 0.60, sitting at the bottom of the table. The head-to-head record shows Yunnan Yukun's dominance. In three meetings, Yunnan has won twice and drawn once. They have never lost to Tianjin. The last meeting ended 2-0 in favor of Yunnan. Odds for the Home Win stand at 1.72. This implies a probability of roughly 58%. However, the signals point to a much higher true probability. With Yunnan's perfect home record and Tianjin's winless away run, the likelihood of a home victory is significantly higher than the bookmakers suggest. The edge is present. Goals are also a factor. Yunnan averages 2.50 goals at home, while Tianjin concedes 2.00 away. Yet, Tianjin scores very little on the road (0.25). The goal expectancy suggests a total near 2.50, making Over 2.5 Goals a risky wager given the H2H history of low scoring (1.33 goals per game average). The Home Win remains the strongest signal. So, do not bet blindly. Observe the stats, weigh the evidence. The path is clear. Yunnan Yukun at home is the way to go. Key Points: - Yunnan Yukun has a 100% win rate in their last 4 home games. - Tianjin Teda has a 0% win rate in their last 4 away games. - Yunnan Yukun has never lost to Tianjin Teda in head-to-head meetings. - Home Win odds of 1.72 offer value based on the disparity in form. The chosen bet is Yunnan Yukun to win.

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