Sat, 21 Mar 2026, 16:00
Bundesliga
Austria
Austria
Full Time

Match Timeline

19'
N. Baden Frederiksen
Normal Goal → M. Wels
21'
Christian Lichtenberger🟨
Yellow Card
23'
J. Italiano
Normal Goal
26'
David Kubatta🟨
Yellow Card
39'
R. Harakate
Normal Goal → L. Vraa-Jensen
56'
Thorsten Schriebl
Penalty confirmed
58'
R. Harakate
Penalty
59'
A. Ola-Adebomi🔄
Substitution 1 → L. Hinterseer
59'
L. Sulzbacher🔄
Substitution 2 → T. Sabitzer
65'
J. Italiano
Normal Goal
68'
D. Kubatta🔄
Substitution 3 → D. Jaunegg
68'
N. Baden Frederiksen🔄
Substitution 4 → C. Huetz
74'
A. Hofleitner🔄
Substitution 1 → D. Maderner
74'
C. Lichtenberger🔄
Substitution 2 → T. Koch
81'
R. Harakate🔄
Substitution 3 → M. Grosse
84'
Daniel Maderner
Penalty confirmed
85'
J. Italiano
Penalty
87'
T. Schriebl🔄
Substitution 4 → M. Satin
87'
J. Italiano🔄
Substitution 5 → D. Frieser
88'
Donovan Pines🟨
Yellow Card
90'
Daniel Maderner🟨
Yellow Card
90+3'
Christian Huetz🟨
Yellow Card

Match Statistics

2Shots on Goal9
3Shots off Goal5
5Total Shots17
1Blocked Shots3
3Shots insidebox13
2Shots outsidebox4
9Fouls5
0Corner Kicks4
1Offsides2
42Ball Possession58
2Yellow Cards3
4Goalkeeper Saves0
298Total passes417
219Passes accurate334
73Passes %80
0.32expected_goals2.96
0goals_prevented0

Starting Lineups

WSG WattensWSG Wattens1:1

Starting XI

40Adam StejskalG
14David KubattaD
20Benjamin BöckleM
37Moritz WelsF
9Ademola Ola-AdebomiF
5Jamie LawrenceD
17Johannes NaschbergerM
8Nikolai Baden FrederiksenF
23Marco BorasD
4Valentino MüllerM
6Lukas SulzbacherM

Grazer AKGrazer AK1:1

Starting XI

12Franz StolzG
3Ludwig Vraa-JensenD
32Leon KlassenM
25Alexander HofleitnerF
22Ramiz HarakateF
2Donovan PinesD
10Christian LichtenbergerM
82Beres OwusuD
6Mathias OlesenM
20Thorsten SchrieblM
14Jacob ItalianoM

Head-to-Head

📈 Team Form & Statistics

WSG Wattens
WSG Wattens
Form: L-W-W-D-W
Grazer AK
Grazer AK
Form: W-L-W-L-D
Record
4 W
3 D
3 L
4 W
3 D
3 L
Goals Per Game
1.5
Scored
vs
1.6
Scored
0.9
Conceded
vs
1.1
Conceded
Betting Indicators
Clean Sheets
40%
Clean Sheets
20%
BTTS
40%
BTTS
50%
Home/Away Performance
Scored
Home:1.0
Away:2.0
Conceded
Home:0.4
Away:1.4
Scored
Home:2.6
Away:0.6
Conceded
Home:0.6
Away:1.6

⚡ Elo Ratings

Long Term Elo Rating
1510
Average
1516
Average
Short Term Elo Rating
1576
↑ Momentum (+66)
1582
↑ Momentum (+66)
Expected Outcome
32%
Home Win
35%
Draw
33%
Away Win
Attack & Defence Elo
Long Term
1472
Attack
1493
1524
Defence
1534
Recent Form
1505
Attack
1520
1556
Defence
1567
Post-Match Changes
-15
Rating Change
0
Rating Change
Elo ratings measure team strength based on match results and opponent quality. Higher ratings indicate stronger teams.

📝 Match Preview

WSG Wattens vs Grazer AK Match Preview
Recommendation:UNDER_2_5
Odds:1.70
Expected Value:+24.1%
Confidence:70

Do or do not bet, there is no try... but hedge your bets, you should. Welcome to the preview for WSG Wattens versus Grazer AK in the Bundesliga on 2026-03-21. The path to value is clear, if you look with open eyes. WSG Wattens at home is a fortress, you see? In their last five home games, they have conceded only 0.40 goals per game. Their defense is solid, like a wall. Grazer AK on the road struggles to find the net. Away from home, they average just 0.60 goals per game. This is a mismatch of styles, you perceive. Look to the head-to-head history. The last meeting ended 2-0 to Wattens. In the last five encounters, the average total goals is low. The goal expectancy for this fixture is Home 1.30 and Away 0.50. Summing these gives 1.80 expected goals. This points to a low-scoring affair, yes. The odds for Under 2.5 Goals are 1.70. The fair probability for Under is 55.26%, but based on the goal expectancy model, the probability of Under 2.5 is approximately 73%. This is value, you find. Do not bet on the over, the under is where the wisdom lies. Hedge your bets, you should. The evidence supports a quiet match. WSG Wattens home defense and Grazer AK away attack are both weak. The data does not lie. Trust the stats, trust the odds. In conclusion, the Under 2.5 Goals bet offers clear value. The goal expectancy is low, the form supports it, and the odds are generous. Do or do not bet, there is no try... but hedge your bets, you should.

Read Full Preview →