Match analysis
BelgiumJupiler Pro League
Tipster previews, form, Elo ratings and the best odds for this Jupiler Pro League fixture.
Nacho⚽Amando Lapage🟨A. Lapage🔄
Henry Lawrence🟨Josué Homawoo🟥Josué HomawooR. Said🔄H. Lawrence🔄S. Saito🔄T. Nkada⚽Adnane Abid🟨I. Sakamoto🔄J. Alcocer🔄D. Ourega⚽M. Ilaimaharitra🔄Bernard Nguene🟨Nacho🔄Fernand Gouré🟨
Value VinnyLostThe pickUnder 2 5
Odds don't lie — but bookies do. Welcome to Value Vinny's breakdown of Standard Liege vs KVC Westerlo. We're looking at the Jupiler Pro League fixture on 2026-04-11. The bookmakers are offering 1.95 on Under 2.5 Goals, implying a 51% chance. My math says the true probability is…
Bold green marks the stronger number on each row. Both-teams-scored is shown without a side.
| Standard LiegeHome | Rating | KVC WesterloAway |
|---|---|---|
| Strength | ||
| 1,575 | Overall | 1,593 |
| 1,522 | Match venue | 1,528 |
| 1,522 | At home | 1,533 |
| 1,527 | Away | 1,528 |
| Attack & defence | ||
| 1,415 | Attack | 1,503 |
| 1,638 | Defence | 1,594 |
| 1,387 | Home attack | 1,521 |
| 1,433 | Away attack | 1,512 |
| 1,630 | Home defence | 1,536 |
| 1,582 | Away defence | 1,539 |
| Match profile | ||
| 1,813 | Goal environment | 2,098 |
| 1,605 | Home goals | 1,785 |
| 1,708 | Away goals | 1,813 |
| 1,480 | Possession | 1,498 |
| Specialist ratings | ||
| 1,462 | Set-piece attack | 1,513 |
| 1,463 | Set-piece defence | 1,513 |
| 1,536 | Close games | 1,531 |
| 1,590 | Winning margin | 1,607 |
Match venue compares Standard Liege at home with KVC Westerlo away. Green marks the higher rating; a new team starts at 1500.
Match profile rows describe the game, not team strength: a higher goal environment means higher-scoring matches.
Standard Liege1:1KVC Westerlo1:1
