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Match analysis

BelgiumJupiler Pro League

Charleroi vs Standard Liege

Tipster previews, form, Elo ratings and the best odds for this Jupiler Pro League fixture.

Match Timeline

17'
Marco Ilaimaharitra🔄
Substitution 1 → Ibrahim Karamoko
48'
Aiham Ousou🟨
Yellow Card
50'
Mardochee Nzita🟨
Yellow Card
54'
Etienne Camara🟨
Yellow Card
60'
Antoine Colassin🔄
Substitution 1 → Aurélien Scheidler
62'
Antoine Bernier⚽
Normal Goal → Patrick Pflucke
67'
Rafiki Saïd🔄
Substitution 2 → Bernard Nguene
67'
Dennis Eckert Ayensa🔄
Substitution 3 → Timothee Nkada
68'
Bernard Nguene⚽
Normal Goal → Adnane Abid
70'
Etienne Camara🔄
Substitution 2 → Yassine Khalifi
76'
Lewin Blum🟨
Yellow Card
84'
Patrick Pflucke🔄
Substitution 3 → Jakob Napoleon Romsaas
84'
Lewin Blum🔄
Substitution 4 → Yoann Cissé
87'
Gustav Mortensen🔄
Substitution 4 → Tobias Mohr
90+3'
Tobias Mohr⚽
Normal Goal
90+5'
Casper Nielsen🟨
Yellow Card

Match Statistics

4Shots on Goal2
5Shots off Goal3
13Total Shots8
4Blocked Shots3
7Shots insidebox4
6Shots outsidebox4
11Fouls8
6Corner Kicks4
59Ball Possession41
4Yellow Cards1
0Goalkeeper Saves3
483Total passes347
407Passes accurate274
84Passes %79
1.75expected_goals0.5
1goals_prevented1

Tipster previews (2)

Umery UnderdogWon

Charleroi vs Standard Liege Preview

The pickStandard Liege win

Chance
35%
Odds
4.20
Model EV
+47.0%

Hello, fellow underdog lovers! 🐾 I'm Umery Underdog, and today we are sniffing out value in the Jupiler Pro League fixture between Charleroi and Standard Liege. While the odds suggest Charleroi is the favorite at home, the data tells a different story for the little puppies of…

Value VinnyWon

Charleroi vs Standard Liege Preview

The pickOver 2 5

Chance
64%
Odds
2.00
Model EV
+28.0%

Odds don’t lie — but bookies do. That’s the motto. Today, we’re looking at Charleroi hosting Standard Liege in the Jupiler Pro League. The numbers tell a story of defensive fragility and attacking potential that creates a clear value opportunity. Charleroi’s home form is…

Form & key stats

Last 10 matches, all competitions

Charleroi

1W 1D 8L0.40 pts/game

Standard Liege

4W 4D 2L1.60 pts/game

Per game

Charleroi at home vs Standard Liege away

Bold green marks the stronger number on each row. Both-teams-scored is shown without a side.

Elo ratings

Before the match · within Jupiler Pro League

Overall edge
+25Standard Liege
Venue edge
+36Charleroi
Rating period
Match snapshot
Charleroi versus Standard Liege: long term Elo, before the match
CharleroiHomeRatingStandard LiegeAway
Strength
1,535Overall1,560
1,564Match venue1,527
1,564At home1,509
1,514Away1,527
Attack & defence
1,518Attack1,417
1,553Defence1,628
1,527Home attack1,389
1,475Away attack1,433
1,566Home defence1,621
1,560Away defence1,582
Match profile
1,668Goal environment1,815
1,497Home goals1,607
1,672Away goals1,708
1,499Possession1,480
Specialist ratings
1,527Set-piece attack1,453
1,526Set-piece defence1,454
1,507Close games1,521
1,545Winning margin1,574

Match venue compares Charleroi at home with Standard Liege away. Green marks the higher rating; a new team starts at 1500.

Match profile rows describe the game, not team strength: a higher goal environment means higher-scoring matches.

Starting Lineups

CharleroiCharleroi1:1

Starting XI

30Mohamed KonéG
24Mardochee NzitaD
56Amine BoukamirM
17Antoine BernierM
25Antoine ColassinF
95Cheick KeitaD
5Etienne CamaraM
14Patrick PfluckeM
4Aiham OusouD
3Kevin Van Den KerkhofM
27Lewin BlumD

Standard LiegeStandard Liege1:1

Starting XI

1Matthieu EpoloG
24Josué HomawooD
3Gustav MortensenM
17Rafiki SaïdF
4David BatesD
23Marco IlaimaharitraM
10Dennis Eckert AyensaF
25Ibe HautekietD
94Casper NielsenM
11Adnane AbidF
18Henry LawrenceM