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Match analysis

BelgiumJupiler Pro League

Genk vs Standard Liege

Tipster previews, form, Elo ratings and the best odds for this Jupiler Pro League fixture.

Full time1:1HT 0–0

Match Timeline

45+1'
Tobias Mohr🟨
Yellow Card
46'
M. Fossey🔄
Substitution 1 → S. Assengue
64'
Yaimar Medina🟨
Yellow Card
67'
Matte Smets🟨
Yellow Card
69'
Y. Medina🔄
Substitution 1 → J. Kayembe
69'
N. Adedeji-Sternberg🔄
Substitution 2 → K. Karetsas
73'
A. Bibout⚽
Normal Goal → J. Ito
76'
A. Abid🔄
Substitution 2 → B. Nguene
76'
T. Mohr🔄
Substitution 3 → T. Nkada
83'
Unknown Player🔄
Substitution 3 → A. Yokoyama
83'
D. Bates🔄
Substitution 4 → J. Homawoo
83'
Unknown Player🔄
Substitution 5 → N. Mehssatou Sepulveda
90'
Mujaid Sadick🟨
Yellow Card
90'
Rafiki Saïd🟨
Yellow Card
90'
C. Nielsen⚽
Normal Goal

Match Statistics

6Shots on Goal2
9Shots off Goal4
24Total Shots9
9Blocked Shots3
19Shots insidebox4
5Shots outsidebox5
13Fouls5
13Corner Kicks2
3Offsides4
61Ball Possession39
3Yellow Cards2
1Goalkeeper Saves6
515Total passes329
445Passes accurate254
86Passes %77
2.15expected_goals0.64
0goals_prevented0

Tipster preview

Umery UnderdogLost

Genk vs Standard Liege: Underdog Value in Away Win

The pickStandard Liege win

Chance
25%
Odds
5.50
Model EV
+37.5%

Welcome, fellow lovers of the underdog! 🐾 Today we’re looking at a classic case where the little puppy might just bite back. Genk hosts Standard Liege in the Jupiler Pro League, and while the bookmakers have made Genk the favorite at 1.57, Standard Liege’s away form screams…

Form & key stats

Last 10 matches, all competitions

Genk

5W 3D 2L1.80 pts/game

Standard Liege

4W 4D 2L1.60 pts/game

Per game

Genk at home vs Standard Liege away

Bold green marks the stronger number on each row. Both-teams-scored is shown without a side.

Elo ratings

Before the match · within Jupiler Pro League

Overall edge
+95Genk
Venue edge
+112Genk
Rating period
Match snapshot
Genk versus Standard Liege: long term Elo, before the match
GenkHomeRatingStandard LiegeAway
Strength
1,651Overall1,556
1,653Match venue1,541
1,653At home1,498
1,627Away1,541
Attack & defence
1,574Attack1,430
1,581Defence1,618
1,553Home attack1,393
1,579Away attack1,444
1,626Home defence1,608
1,544Away defence1,585
Match profile
2,240Goal environment1,818
1,877Home goals1,608
1,863Away goals1,710
1,527Possession1,478
Specialist ratings
1,499Set-piece attack1,459
1,499Set-piece defence1,460
1,613Close games1,518
1,661Winning margin1,571

Match venue compares Genk at home with Standard Liege away. Green marks the higher rating; a new team starts at 1500.

Match profile rows describe the game, not team strength: a higher goal environment means higher-scoring matches.

Starting Lineups

GenkGenk1:1

Starting XI

28L. BrughmansG
19Y. MedinaD
8B. HeynenM
32N. Adedeji-SternbergM
23A. BiboutF
6M. SmetsD
21I. BangouraM
10J. ItoM
3M. SadickD
38D. HeymansM
77Z. El OuahdiD

Standard LiegeStandard Liege1:1

Starting XI

1M. EpoloG
18H. LawrenceD
3G. MortensenM
7T. MohrF
17R. SaidF
4D. BatesD
20I. KaramokoM
11A. AbidF
25I. HautekietD
94C. NielsenM
13M. FosseyM