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Match analysis

BelgiumJupiler Pro League

KV Mechelen vs Anderlecht

Tipster previews, form, Elo ratings and the best odds for this Jupiler Pro League fixture.

Full time1:2HT 1–0

Match Timeline

14'
Tommy St. Jago🟨
Yellow Card
21'
Mario Stroeykens🔄
Substitution 1 → Yari Verschaeren
22'
Ali Maamar🟨
Yellow Card
33'
Benito Raman🔄
Substitution 1 → Bill Antonio
39'
Coba da Costa🟨
Yellow Card
41'
Bill Antonio🟨
Yellow Card
44'
Nathan-Dylan Saliba🟨
Yellow Card
45+1'
Enric Llansana🟨
Yellow Card
45+8'
Bouke Boersma⚽
Normal Goal
46'
Marco Kana🔄
Substitution 2 → Killian Sardella
60'
Coba da Costa🔄
Substitution 3 → Adriano Bertaccini
61'
Thorgan Hazard🔄
Substitution 4 → Mihajlo Cvetković
62'
Mihajlo Cvetković⚽
Normal Goal
70'
Kerim Mrabti🟨
Yellow Card
71'
Adriano Bertaccini⚽
Normal Goal → Ludwig Augustinsson
73'
Moussa Diarra🟨
Yellow Card
76'
Tommy St. Jago🔄
Substitution 2 → Maxim Kireev
83'
Mihajlo Cvetković🟨
Yellow Card
88'
Kerim Mrabti🔄
Substitution 3 → Mory Konate
90'
Yari Verschaeren🔄
Substitution 5 → Lucas Hey
90+1'
José Marsà🟨
Yellow Card

Match Statistics

5Shots on Goal4
6Shots off Goal4
18Total Shots13
7Blocked Shots5
15Shots insidebox10
3Shots outsidebox3
10Fouls19
5Corner Kicks3
0Offsides4
46Ball Possession54
4Yellow Cards6
2Goalkeeper Saves4
363Total passes431
279Passes accurate333
77Passes %77
1.33expected_goals1.45
0goals_prevented0

Tipster previews (3)

Umery UnderdogLost

KV Mechelen vs Anderlecht - Underdog Value Preview

The pickKV Mechelen win

Chance
45%
Odds
2.75
Model EV
+23.8%

Hello there, fellow supporters of the little puppies! 🐾 Today we're looking at KV Mechelen hosting Anderlecht in the Jupiler Pro League. While Anderlecht is the traditional 'big dog' of Belgian football, our mission is to find value where the odds might be overvaluing the giant…

The Big "O"Won

KV Mechelen vs Anderlecht - The Big O Preview

The pickOver 2 5

Chance
80%
Odds
1.73
Model EV
+38.4%

Life’s too short for nil-nil, and this fixture screams goals. Welcome to the Big O preview for KV Mechelen vs Anderlecht. When these two clash, the scoreline rarely stays quiet. The Head-to-Head record is the star of the show here. In the last 10 meetings, 8 matches saw Over 2.5…

Mr SimpleWon

KV Mechelen vs Anderlecht: Goals & Value

The pickOver 2 5

Chance
60%
Odds
1.73
Model EV
+3.8%

Right, let's chat about this Belgian clash between KV Mechelen and Anderlecht. It's a proper heavyweight in the Jupiler Pro League, and with the season winding down, every point matters. Looking at the history, Anderlecht has had the upper hand in the past. In their last 10…

Form & key stats

Last 10 matches, all competitions

KV Mechelen

4W 2D 4L1.40 pts/game

Anderlecht

4W 2D 4L1.40 pts/game

Per game

KV Mechelen at home vs Anderlecht away

Bold green marks the stronger number on each row. Both-teams-scored is shown without a side.

Elo ratings

Before the match · within Jupiler Pro League

Overall edge
+14Anderlecht
Venue edge
+14KV Mechelen
Rating period
Match snapshot
KV Mechelen versus Anderlecht: long term Elo, before the match
KV MechelenHomeRatingAnderlechtAway
Strength
1,578Overall1,592
1,573Match venue1,559
1,573At home1,657
1,525Away1,559
Attack & defence
1,518Attack1,552
1,574Defence1,581
1,534Home attack1,580
1,493Away attack1,515
1,575Home defence1,631
1,537Away defence1,575
Match profile
2,137Goal environment2,020
1,843Home goals1,755
1,793Away goals1,765
1,505Possession1,517
Specialist ratings
1,466Set-piece attack1,516
1,467Set-piece defence1,516
1,539Close games1,539
1,588Winning margin1,607

Match venue compares KV Mechelen at home with Anderlecht away. Green marks the higher rating; a new team starts at 1500.

Match profile rows describe the game, not team strength: a higher goal environment means higher-scoring matches.

Starting Lineups

KV MechelenKV Mechelen1:1

Starting XI

13Nacho MirasG
3José MarsàD
17Mathis ServaisM
9Myron Van BrederodeF
28Bouke BoersmaF
2Redouane HalhalD
19Kerim MrabtiM
14Benito RamanF
33Tommy St. JagoD
6Fredrik HammarM
7Thérence KoudouM

AnderlechtAnderlecht1:1

Starting XI

26Colin CoosemansG
6Ludwig AugustinssonD
24Enric LlansanaM
77Coba da CostaM
11Thorgan HazardF
93Moussa DiarraD
13Nathan-Dylan SalibaM
29Mario StroeykensM
55Marco KanaD
83Tristan DegreefM
79Ali MaamarD