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Match analysis

BelgiumJupiler Pro League

St. Truiden vs KV Mechelen

Tipster previews, form, Elo ratings and the best odds for this Jupiler Pro League fixture.

Full time3:0HT 2–0

Match Timeline

24'
A. Muja⚽
Normal Goal → R. Yamamoto
40'
Massimo Decoene🟨
Yellow Card
45'
T. Hata⚽
Normal Goal → A. Muja
46'
D. Salifou🔄
Substitution 1 → B. Raman
48'
Redouane Halhal🟨
Yellow Card
63'
M. Servais🔄
Substitution 2 → B. Antonio
69'
Robert-Jan Vanwesemael🟨
Yellow Card
70'
Robert-Jan Vanwesemael⚽
Goal cancelled
71'
R. Merlen⚽
Normal Goal
74'
B. Boersma🔄
Substitution 3 → K. Vanrafelghem
79'
K. Mrabti🔄
Substitution 4 → M. Konate
79'
T. Koudou🔄
Substitution 5 → M. Kireev
81'
K. Goto🔄
Substitution 1 → O. Diouf
81'
A. Muja🔄
Substitution 2 → K. Matsuzawa
85'
S. Taniguchi🔄
Substitution 3 → W. Janssens
85'
R. Yamamoto🔄
Substitution 4 → S. Shinkawa
87'
Ryan Merlen🟨
Yellow Card
89'
M. Lendfers🔄
Substitution 5 → J. Coppens

Match Statistics

3Shots on Goal1
6Shots off Goal5
11Total Shots7
2Blocked Shots1
6Shots insidebox4
5Shots outsidebox3
6Fouls5
2Corner Kicks2
4Offsides0
47Ball Possession53
2Yellow Cards2
1Goalkeeper Saves0
381Total passes422
314Passes accurate334
82Passes %79
1.52expected_goals0.42
-0.31goals_prevented-0.31

Tipster previews (4)

Mr SimpleWon

St. Truiden vs KV Mechelen Prediction: Home Win Value

The pickSt. Truiden win

Chance
60%
Odds
1.81
Model EV
+8.6%

Right then, let’s get straight to the point. St. Truiden host KV Mechelen in what looks like a straightforward affair on paper, and the numbers back it up. The Reds are coming off a solid 1-1 draw with Gent, but look at the bigger picture: they’ve been tough to beat at home…

Form & key stats

Last 10 matches, all competitions

St. Truiden

3W 2D 5L1.10 pts/game

KV Mechelen

1W 3D 6L0.60 pts/game

Per game

St. Truiden at home vs KV Mechelen away

Bold green marks the stronger number on each row. Both-teams-scored is shown without a side.

Elo ratings

Before the match · within Jupiler Pro League

Overall edge
+62St. Truiden
Venue edge
+119St. Truiden
Rating period
Match snapshot
St. Truiden versus KV Mechelen: long term Elo, before the match
St. TruidenHomeRatingKV MechelenAway
Strength
1,628Overall1,566
1,639Match venue1,520
1,639At home1,566
1,511Away1,520
Attack & defence
1,544Attack1,521
1,577Defence1,540
1,551Home attack1,535
1,490Away attack1,496
1,567Home defence1,561
1,555Away defence1,514
Match profile
1,688Goal environment2,165
1,547Home goals1,853
1,642Away goals1,812
1,532Possession1,501
Specialist ratings
1,521Set-piece attack1,481
1,521Set-piece defence1,482
1,602Close games1,546
1,643Winning margin1,567

Match venue compares St. Truiden at home with KV Mechelen away. Green marks the higher rating; a new team starts at 1500.

Match profile rows describe the game, not team strength: a higher goal environment means higher-scoring matches.

Starting Lineups

St. TruidenSt. Truiden1:1

Starting XI

21M. LendfersG
3T. HataD
8A. SissakoM
10I. SebaouiM
42K. GotoF
26V. MusliuD
6R. YamamotoM
14R. MerlenM
5S. TaniguchiD
7A. MujaM
60R. VanwesemaelD

KV MechelenKV Mechelen1:1

Starting XI

1O. De WolfG
3J. MarsaD
17M. ServaisM
9M. van BrederodeF
2R. HalhalD
6F. HammarM
28B. BoersmaF
39M. DecoeneD
29D. SalifouM
19K. MrabtiF
7T. KoudouM