Fri, 1 May 2026, 16:30
Full Time
3:2
HT: 1 - 2

Match Timeline

11'
M. Wohlgemuth
Normal Goal → J. Voldby
27'
W. Nilsson🟨
Yellow Card
31'
M. Wohlgemuth
Penalty
35'
V. Sorensen🟨
Yellow Card
36'
M. Jakobsen🟨
Yellow Card
38'
V. Hammershoy-Mistrati🟨
Yellow Card
42'
T. Thomsen
Penalty
46'
V. Sorensen🔄
Substitution 1 → M. Salah
57'
J. Voldby🔄
Substitution 1 → C. Risbjerg
66'
W. Nilsson🔄
Substitution 2 → E. Moller
66'
V. Hammershoy-Mistrati🔄
Substitution 3 → V. Abildgaard
71'
M. Jensen🟨
Yellow Card
74'
E. Semovski🔄
Substitution 2 → B. Alkhoudari
82'
T. Thomsen
Penalty
83'
Y. Belhadj🔄
Substitution 4 → C. Henriksen
83'
C. Bjork🔄
Substitution 5 → R. Arabaci
84'
R. Arabaci🟨
Yellow Card
86'
A. Gothler
Normal Goal
90+3'
T. Thomsen🔄
Substitution 3 → C. Jensen Tue

Head-to-Head

📈 Team Form & Statistics

HB Koge
HB Koge
Form: D-W-W-W-W
B 93
B 93
Form: W-L-L-L-L
Record
5 W
3 D
2 L
4 W
0 D
6 L
Goals Per Game
1.6
Scored
vs
1.2
Scored
1.0
Conceded
vs
1.7
Conceded
Betting Indicators
Clean Sheets
30%
Clean Sheets
30%
BTTS
50%
BTTS
50%
Home/Away Performance
Scored
Home:1.8
Away:1.3
Conceded
Home:0.8
Away:1.3
Scored
Home:1.3
Away:1.0
Conceded
Home:1.3
Away:2.3

⚡ Elo Ratings

Long Term Elo Rating
1491
Average
1421
Average
Short Term Elo Rating
1516
↑ Momentum (+25)
1392
↓ Momentum (-28)
Expected Outcome
41%
Home Win
31%
Draw
28%
Away Win
Attack & Defence Elo
Long Term
1455
Attack
1414
1494
Defence
1444
Recent Form
1465
Attack
1389
1521
Defence
1415
Post-Match Changes
+12
Rating Change
0
Rating Change
Elo ratings measure team strength based on match results and opponent quality. Higher ratings indicate stronger teams.

📝 Match Preview

HB Koge vs B 93: Home Win Value at 2.02
Recommendation:HOME_WIN
Odds:2.02
Expected Value:+17.2%
Confidence:6

Lekker, let's get straight to the meat of this fixture. I'm Pajimon, and if you're asking me about vegetables, I'll tell you what I tell everyone: pass the braai and the cold one. We're here for the wins and the football. No politics, no racism, just pure analysis. Let's break down HB Koge vs B 93. HB Koge comes into this match sitting in a solid mid-table position with 33 points from 27 games. Their last 10 fixtures show a 50% win rate, averaging 1.80 points per game. At home, they are particularly sharp, scoring 1.83 goals per match while keeping 0.83 goals against. They just drew 1-1 with Aalborg and beat Hobro 2-1, showing they can grind out results. Their home defence is stable, and they've kept 3 clean sheets in their last 10 games. The 3-game moving average shows 1.67 goals and 2.33 points, indicating consistent home output. On the other side, B 93 is struggling a bit more, sitting lower in the table with 31 points. Their last 10 games yield only 1.20 points per game, with a 40% win rate. Away from home, they average just 1.00 goal scored but concede a worrying 2.25 goals per game. They recently beat Middelfart 2-1 but lost 3-2 to Aalborg and 1-2 to HB Koge. Their away defence is leaking, and they only managed 30% clean sheets. The 3-game moving average for B 93 shows just 1.67 goals and 1.00 point, highlighting their inconsistency. Head-to-head history shows B 93 leads overall 5-3-2, but at HB Koge's ground, the record is split evenly at 2 wins each. The goal expectancy models point to HB Koge averaging 2.04 goals and B 93 averaging 0.92 goals. With HB Koge's home attack clashing with B 93's leaky away defence, the home side has the clear edge. Both teams have 5 days rest and played 3 matches in the last 14 days, so fatigue is equal. The market prices HB Koge at 2.02, which offers value given their superior form and B 93's defensive frailties on the road. Key Points: - HB Koge averages 1.83 goals at home vs B 93's 2.25 goals conceded away. - B 93 has a 75% loss rate in their last 4 away games. - HB Koge's last 10 games show a 50% win rate and 1.80 PPG. - Goal expectancy favors the home side (2.04 vs 0.92). - H2H home record is evenly split, but current form heavily favors HB Koge. Summary: Backing HB Koge to win at 2.02 offers solid value given their home scoring power and B 93's away defensive struggles. Home Win is the pick.

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