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Match analysis

SwitzerlandSuper League

FC Thun vs FC Lugano

Tipster previews, form, Elo ratings and the best odds for this Super League fixture.

Full time0:1HT 0–0

Match Timeline

5'
G. Montolio🔄
Substitution 1 → L. Dahler
33'
Michael Heule🟨
Yellow Card
36'
Antonios Papadopoulos🟨
Yellow Card
46'
Fabio Fehr🟨
Yellow Card
46'
D. Dos Santos🔄
Substitution 1 → M. Belhadj
53'
Mattia Zanotti🟨
Yellow Card
57'
G. Koutsias🔄
Substitution 2 → K. Behrens
62'
F. Fehr🔄
Substitution 2 → V. Matoshi
62'
K. Imeri🔄
Substitution 3 → F. Meichtry
74'
C. Ibayi🔄
Substitution 4 → B. Labeau
74'
M. Kait🔄
Substitution 5 → F. Dursun
77'
Y. Cimignani🔄
Substitution 3 → E. Alioski
81'
Mohamed Belhadj Mahmoud🟨
Yellow Card
89'
U. Bislimi🔄
Substitution 4 → E. Pihlstrom
89'
R. Steffen🔄
Substitution 5 → M. Bottani
90'
E. Alioski
Penalty
90+4'
Mohamed Belhadj Mahmoud
Penalty confirmed
90+5'
Marco Burki🟨
Yellow Card
90+10'
Ezgjan Alioski🟨
Yellow Card

Match Statistics

4Shots on Goal6
7Shots off Goal4
13Total Shots13
2Blocked Shots3
8Shots insidebox11
5Shots outsidebox2
10Fouls14
7Corner Kicks5
0Offsides1
45Ball Possession55
3Yellow Cards4
5Goalkeeper Saves4
315Total passes401
239Passes accurate338
76Passes %84
0.76expected_goals2.48
0goals_prevented0

Tipster previews (5)

OracleLost

FC Thun vs FC Lugano: Home Win Analysis

The pickFC Thun win

Chance
70%
Odds
1.91
Model EV
+33.7%

In the grand tapestry of football, momentum is a river that flows to those who command their own ground. FC Thun stands at the summit of the Super League, a testament to discipline and home-field mastery. Over their last six home fixtures, they have secured victory in five, an…

PajimonLost

FC Thun vs FC Lugano: Home Win Value Pick

The pickFC Thun win

Chance
60%
Odds
1.91
Model EV
+14.6%

Boere, let's get straight to the meat on the bone! It's Super League action as FC Thun host FC Lugano on 25 April 2026. If you're looking for a solid pick, this one's sizzling like a good braai. Thun are sitting pretty at the top of the table with 74 points from 33 games…

Value VinnyLost

FC Thun vs FC Lugano: Value Analysis

The pickFC Thun win

Chance
65%
Odds
1.91
Model EV
+24.1%

The Super League clash between FC Thun and FC Lugano promises a stark contrast in momentum and venue advantage. Thun sits firmly at the top of the table with 74 points from 33 matches, boasting a formidable 24 wins. Their recent form is ruthless: 7 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses in…

Yoda Mc Yoda FaceLost

FC Thun vs FC Lugano: Super League Preview

The pickFC Thun win

Chance
75%
Odds
1.91
Model EV
+43.3%

The Super League fixture between FC Thun and FC Lugano arrives at a pivotal moment in the 2025/2026 campaign. FC Thun sits atop the table with 74 points from 33 matches, boasting a formidable home record. In their last six home fixtures, Thun has secured victory in five…

Form & key stats

Last 10 matches, all competitions

FC Thun

7W 1D 2L2.20 pts/game

FC Lugano

4W 4D 2L1.60 pts/game

Per game

FC Thun at home vs FC Lugano away

Bold green marks the stronger number on each row. Both-teams-scored is shown without a side.

Elo ratings

Before the match · within Super League

Overall edge
+48FC Thun
Venue edge
+34FC Thun
Rating period
Match snapshot
FC Thun versus FC Lugano: long term Elo, before the match
FC ThunHomeRatingFC LuganoAway
Strength
1,654Overall1,606
1,589Match venue1,555
1,589At home1,602
1,554Away1,555
Attack & defence
1,608Attack1,484
1,566Defence1,604
1,576Home attack1,542
1,555Away attack1,458
1,522Home defence1,554
1,536Away defence1,593
Match profile
1,955Goal environment1,828
1,720Home goals1,630
1,735Away goals1,698
1,486Possession1,532
Specialist ratings
1,549Set-piece attack1,470
1,548Set-piece defence1,471
1,571Close games1,572
1,689Winning margin1,619

Match venue compares FC Thun at home with FC Lugano away. Green marks the higher rating; a new team starts at 1500.

Match profile rows describe the game, not team strength: a higher goal environment means higher-scoring matches.

Starting Lineups

FC ThunFC Thun1:1

Starting XI

24Niklas SteffenG
27Michael HeuleD
14Mattias KäitM
7Kastriot ImeriM
74Elmin RastoderF
23Marco BurkiD
6Leonardo BertoneM
47Fabio FehrM
18Christopher IbayiF
4Genís MontolioD
19Jan BamertD

FC LuganoFC Lugano1:1

Starting XI

16David von BallmoosG
3Hannes DelcroixD
21Yanis CimignaniM
27Daniel Dos Santos CorreiaF
17Lars Lukas MaiD
8Anto GrgicM
9Georgios KoutsiasF
6Antonios PapadopoulosD
25Uran BislimiM
11Renato SteffenF
46Mattia ZanottiM