Sat, 25 Apr 2026, 16:30
Premiership
Scotland
Scotland
Full Time
3:1
HT: 2 - 0

Match Timeline

30'
D. Maeda
Normal Goal
44'
K. Tierney
Normal Goal → D. Maeda
62'
J. Forrest🔄
Substitution 1 → S. Tounekti
62'
F. Yeats🔄
Substitution 1 → E. Ross
62'
B. Broggio🔄
Substitution 2 → K. Wilson
64'
Auston Trusty🟨
Yellow Card
70'
Anthony Ralston🟨
Yellow Card
70'
K. Wilson
Normal Goal → L. McCann
71'
Kyrell Wilson🟨
Yellow Card
72'
Yang Hyun-Jun🔄
Substitution 2 → K. Iheanacho
72'
K. Tierney🔄
Substitution 3 → M. Saracchi
72'
A. Ralston🔄
Substitution 4 → A. Johnston
77'
Dylan Tait🟨
Yellow Card
78'
C. McGregor🔄
Substitution 5 → A. Oxlade-Chamberlain
80'
B. Stewart🔄
Substitution 3 → B. Parkinson
83'
D. Maeda
Normal Goal → S. Tounekti
89'
Leon McCann🟨
Yellow Card
90'
D. Tait🔄
Substitution 4 → H. Cartwright

Match Statistics

7Shots on Goal3
2Shots off Goal7
14Total Shots11
5Blocked Shots1
6Shots insidebox7
8Shots outsidebox4
16Fouls10
9Corner Kicks7
3Offsides3
55Ball Possession45
2Yellow Cards3
2Goalkeeper Saves4
446Total passes364
350Passes accurate276
78Passes %76
1.2expected_goals0.81
0goals_prevented0

Starting Lineups

CelticCeltic1:1

Starting XI

12V. SinisaloG
63K. TierneyD
27A. EngelsM
13Yang Hyun-JunM
38D. MaedaF
5L. ScalesD
42C. McGregorM
8B. NygrenM
6A. TrustyD
49J. ForrestM
56A. RalstonD

FalkirkFalkirk1:1

Starting XI

1N. HogarthG
3L. McCannD
21D. TaitM
29C. MillerM
16B. StewartF
20C. AllanD
8B. SpencerM
14F. YeatsM
15L. NeilsonD
11B. BroggioM
2K. AdamsD

Head-to-Head

📈 Team Form & Statistics

Celtic
Celtic
Form: D-W-W-L-W
Falkirk
Falkirk
Form: D-L-W-L-D
Record
5 W
3 D
2 L
4 W
2 D
4 L
Goals Per Game
1.4
Scored
vs
1.8
Scored
1.1
Conceded
vs
1.7
Conceded
Betting Indicators
Clean Sheets
30%
Clean Sheets
20%
BTTS
60%
BTTS
70%
Home/Away Performance
Scored
Home:1.8
Away:1.2
Conceded
Home:1.3
Away:1.0
Scored
Home:2.3
Away:1.0
Conceded
Home:2.2
Away:1.0

⚡ Elo Ratings

Long Term Elo Rating
1811
Strong
1499
Average
Short Term Elo Rating
1778
↓ Momentum (-33)
1502
↑ Momentum (+4)
Expected Outcome
68%
Home Win
21%
Draw
11%
Away Win
Attack & Defence Elo
Long Term
1695
Attack
1521
1615
Defence
1537
Recent Form
1671
Attack
1555
1596
Defence
1539
Post-Match Changes
+4
Rating Change
0
Rating Change
Elo ratings measure team strength based on match results and opponent quality. Higher ratings indicate stronger teams.

📝 Match Preview

Celtic vs Falkirk Betting Preview
Recommendation:HOME_WIN
Odds:1.40
Expected Value:+5.0%
Confidence:7

The path to wisdom lies in the numbers, you must see. Celtic and Falkirk, face to face they will stand. In the Premiership, the forces are aligned for a clear outcome, the data shows. Do or do not bet, there is no try, but hedge your bets, you should. Look to the recent form, we must. Celtic, at home, averages 1.75 goals scored and 1.25 conceded over their last four home matches. Across ten games, they secure 1.80 points per game, with a 50% win rate. Falkirk, on the road, averages 1.00 goals scored and 1.00 conceded in their last four away fixtures. Their ten-game stretch yields 1.40 points per game, with a 25% away win rate. The balance of power, clearly it shows. Head-to-head history, a mirror to the future it is. Six meetings, six Celtic victories. Nineteen goals scored by the home side, three by the visitors. Four of those six encounters saw over 2.5 goals, a pattern that repeats. The goal expectancy for this fixture points to a total of 2.50 goals, matching the historical trend. Possession favors the home side, 55.0% against 51.9%. Shots average 13.75 to 11.22, with 4.56 on target compared to 3.89. Corners average 5.67 for Celtic versus 4.56 for Falkirk. The defensive structure of Falkirk shows a 20% clean sheet rate away, while Celtic holds 30% at home. Both teams to score trends show 60% for Celtic and 70% for Falkirk, suggesting goals will flow. The volatility index for Celtic is 0.7392, showing steady improvement in points trend. Falkirk's volatility is higher at 0.9738, indicating inconsistency. These signals confirm the home advantage. Odds from the bookmakers set the home win at 1.40. Below 1.6, the profit is hard to find long-term, so certain you must be. The head-to-head record and home form provide that certainty. A 75% probability of success, the math suggests. Value exists, the edge policy confirms. Key Points: - Celtic H2H record: 6 wins, 0 draws, 0 losses. - Home goal average: 1.75 scored, 1.25 conceded. - Falkirk away goal average: 1.00 scored, 1.00 conceded. - Total goal expectancy: 2.50. - Home win odds: 1.40. Summary: With the data aligning so clearly, the wise choice is a Home Win. The numbers do not lie, and the path to value is clear.

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