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Match analysis

ScotlandPremiership

Hibernian vs Celtic

Tipster previews, form, Elo ratings and the best odds for this Premiership fixture.

HibernianHome
Full time1:2HT 1–1
CelticAway

Match Timeline

20'
Jamie McGrath
Card upgrade
21'
Jamie McGrathπŸŸ₯
Red Card
41'
D. Maeda⚽
Normal Goal β†’ A. Johnston
42'
Daizen Maeda⚽
Goal confirmed
45'
J. Newell⚽
Normal Goal
46'
N. CaddenπŸ”„
Substitution 1 β†’ J. Obita
46'
M. BoyleπŸ”„
Substitution 2 β†’ J. Campbell
48'
Jordan Obita🟨
Yellow Card
54'
Josh Campbell🟨
Yellow Card
54'
Liam Scales🟨
Yellow Card
63'
S. TounektiπŸ”„
Substitution 1 β†’ J. Forrest
64'
A. JohnstonπŸ”„
Substitution 2 β†’ L. McCowan
70'
Yang Hyun-JunπŸ”„
Substitution 3 β†’ K. Iheanacho
72'
K. Iheanacho⚽
Normal Goal
73'
J. NewellπŸ”„
Substitution 3 β†’ D. Barlaser
77'
B. NygrenπŸ”„
Substitution 4 β†’ A. Ralston
81'
O. EldingπŸ”„
Substitution 4 β†’ D. Scarlett
81'
J. IredaleπŸ”„
Substitution 5 β†’ A. Suto
90+2'
Arne Engels🟨
Yellow Card
90+3'
Ante Šuto🟨
Yellow Card
90+4'
Luke McCowan🟨
Yellow Card

Match Statistics

1Shots on Goal6
3Shots off Goal7
4Total Shots27
0Blocked Shots14
2Shots insidebox13
2Shots outsidebox14
7Fouls11
0Corner Kicks13
1Offsides2
19Ball Possession81
3Yellow Cards3
1Red Cards0
4Goalkeeper Saves0
163Total passes723
85Passes accurate646
52Passes %89
0.38expected_goals2.73
-0.88goals_prevented-0.88

Tipster previews (2)

Value VinnyLost

Hibernian vs Celtic Betting Preview

The pickUnder 2 5

Chance
57%
Odds
2.30
Model EV
+31.1%

The numbers don't lie, but bookies often try to hide the value. In this Premiership clash between Hibernian and Celtic, the statistical signals point clearly toward a tighter, lower-scoring affair than the market implies. Hibernian enter this fixture on the back of a 1.00…

Umery UnderdogLost

Hibernian vs Celtic: Underdog Value Analysis

The pickHibernian win

Chance
47%
Odds
3.90
Model EV
+83.3%

Welcome to another underdog spotlight! 🐾 Today we're turning our attention to Hibernian, the little pups taking on Celtic at home. While the big dogs are heavily favored by the market, the underlying numbers reveal a compelling case for the Green Army. Hibernian have been…

Form & key stats

Last 10 matches, all competitions

Hibernian

4W 3D 3L1.50 pts/game

Celtic

6W 3D 1L2.10 pts/game

Per game

Hibernian at home vs Celtic away

Bold green marks the stronger number on each row. Both-teams-scored is shown without a side.

Elo ratings

Before the match Β· within Premiership

Overall edge
+130Celtic
Venue edge
+110Celtic
Rating period
Match snapshot
Hibernian versus Celtic: long term Elo, before the match
HibernianHomeRatingCelticAway
Strength
1,602Overall1,732
1,607Match venue1,717
1,607At home1,815
1,524Away1,717
Attack & defence
1,557Attack1,639
1,597Defence1,616
1,589Home attack1,704
1,500Away attack1,615
1,596Home defence1,690
1,555Away defence1,594
Match profile
1,673Goal environment2,578
1,642Home goals2,053
1,532Away goals2,025
1,493Possession1,564
Specialist ratings
1,483Set-piece attack1,557
1,484Set-piece defence1,556
1,515Close games1,653
1,620Winning margin1,752

Match venue compares Hibernian at home with Celtic away. Green marks the higher rating; a new team starts at 1500.

Match profile rows describe the game, not team strength: a higher goal environment means higher-scoring matches.

Starting Lineups

HibernianHibernian1:1

Starting XI

13J. SmithG
15J. IredaleD
19N. CaddenM
17J. McGrathF
47O. EldingF
33R. BushiriD
11J. NewellM
10M. BoyleF
5W. O'HoraD
14M. ChaiwaM
27K. MegwaM

CelticCeltic1:1

Starting XI

12V. SinisaloG
63K. TierneyD
27A. EngelsM
23S. TounektiM
38D. MaedaF
5L. ScalesD
42C. McGregorM
8B. NygrenM
6A. TrustyD
13Yang Hyun-JunM
2A. JohnstonD

Quick Links

Hibernian Team Page β†’Celtic Team Page β†’View Premiership Overview β†’View Standings β†’