Sat, 2 May 2026, 18:00
Full Time

Match Timeline

5'
Severin Sabri Guendouz🟨
Yellow Card
6'
Jason van Duiven🟨
Yellow Card
14'
Lucas Schoofs
Normal Goal → Tom Reyners
15'
Tom Reyners
Normal Goal → Lucas Schoofs
24'
Lukas Van Eenoo
Normal Goal → Colin Dagba
31'
Bas Van den Eynden🟨
Yellow Card
59'
Jason van Duiven🔄
Substitution 1 → Jesper Tolinsson
61'
Zalán Vancsa🔄
Substitution 2 → Mohamed Salah El Boukammiri
65'
Ryan Sanusi🔄
Substitution 1 → D'Margio Wright-Phillips
73'
Lautaro López🔄
Substitution 3 → Nicolas Rommens
78'
Rajiv Van La Parra🔄
Substitution 2 → Ken Masui
80'
Severin Sabri Guendouz🟨
Yellow Card
80'
Severin Sabri Guendouz🟥
Red Card
85'
Sam De Grand
Normal Goal

Match Statistics

5Shots on Goal4
1Shots off Goal7
8Total Shots13
2Blocked Shots2
5Shots insidebox11
3Shots outsidebox2
13Fouls12
4Corner Kicks6
2Offsides1
47Ball Possession53
1Yellow Cards3
0Red Cards1
3Goalkeeper Saves2
439Total passes469
360Passes accurate401
82Passes %86

Starting Lineups

Lommel UnitedLommel United1:1

Starting XI

23Matthias PieklakG
79Sam De GrandD
10Tom ReynersM
30Ralf SeuntjensF
5Dries WoutersD
18Lautaro LópezM
15Lucas SchoofsF
13Jhon BangueraD
6Joey PelupessyM
9Jason van DuivenD
93Zalán VancsaM

Beerschot VABeerschot VA1:1

Starting XI

33Nick ShintonG
76Dennis GyamfiD
7Rajiv Van La ParraM
19Severin Sabri GuendouzM
15Arnold VulaF
4Brian PlatD
18Ryan SanusiM
8Lukas Van EenooM
6Bas Van den EyndenD
78Genki HaraguchiM
2Colin DagbaD

Head-to-Head

📈 Team Form & Statistics

Lommel United
Lommel United
Form: W-W-L-L-W
Beerschot VA
Beerschot VA
Form: D-D-W-D-W
Record
5 W
2 D
3 L
6 W
4 D
0 L
Goals Per Game
1.8
Scored
vs
2.1
Scored
1.3
Conceded
vs
1.0
Conceded
Betting Indicators
Clean Sheets
10%
Clean Sheets
40%
BTTS
70%
BTTS
60%
Home/Away Performance
Scored
Home:1.7
Away:2.0
Conceded
Home:1.0
Away:1.8
Scored
Home:2.0
Away:2.2
Conceded
Home:1.2
Away:0.8

⚡ Elo Ratings

Long Term Elo Rating
1513
Average
1460
Average
Short Term Elo Rating
1530
↑ Momentum (+18)
1479
↑ Momentum (+19)
Expected Outcome
39%
Home Win
32%
Draw
29%
Away Win
Attack & Defence Elo
Long Term
1515
Attack
1464
1518
Defence
1455
Recent Form
1533
Attack
1469
1534
Defence
1481
Post-Match Changes
+6
Rating Change
0
Rating Change
Elo ratings measure team strength based on match results and opponent quality. Higher ratings indicate stronger teams.

📝 Match Preview

Lommel United vs Beerschot VA Preview
Recommendation:AWAY_WIN
Odds:2.40
Expected Value:+32.0%
Confidence:7

Do or do not bet, there is no try... but hedge your bets, you should. Greetings, seeker of value. The Force flows through the Jupiler Pro League, and today, Lommel United prepares to host Beerschot VA. Listen to the signs, you must. Lommel United, at home, they show a steady hand. Five wins, two draws, three losses in their last ten outings. At their own ground, they average 1.67 goals scored and 1.00 conceded per match. Their defense is improving, yes. But watch their shot accuracy—48.1%, not the highest in the galaxy. Their possession hovers around 43.5%, meaning they share the ball often. Trends show stable scoring and improving defense, but consistency remains a challenge. Beerschot VA, away from home, they are a force to be reckoned with. Unbeaten in ten matches! Six wins, four draws. Zero losses. A rare sight, this is. On the road, they average 2.20 goals scored and concede only 0.80. Their possession averages 71.0%, dominating the ball like a Jedi Master. Their shot accuracy is lower, 21.6%, but volume is high—15.50 shots per game. They create chances through sheer volume and control. Head-to-head, the history speaks clearly. In ten meetings, Beerschot VA has won six, Lommel United four. No draws between them, ever. The last clash on 2026-04-17 ended 1-2 to Beerschot. Over 2.5 goals has occurred in seven of those ten encounters. The pattern is clear: goals flow, and Beerschot usually prevails. Odds tell a story too. Away win at 2.40 offers value, yes. The bookmakers price Lommel as slight favorites at 2.88, but the form and history point elsewhere. Beerschot's unbeaten run, combined with their strong away scoring rate and H2H dominance, creates a compelling case. The market consensus suggests a fair probability for the away win that exceeds the implied probability of the 2.40 odds, providing a clear edge. Confidence is high, but remember, the Force can be tricky. Hedge your bets, you should. **Key Points:** - Beerschot VA unbeaten in last 10 matches (6W, 4D). - Away scoring rate: 2.20 goals per game. - H2H record: Beerschot won 6 of 10, Lommel won 4. No draws. - Over 2.5 goals hit in 7 of 10 H2H matches. - Odds for Away Win: 2.40. With Beerschot VA's relentless away form and historical dominance, the away victory stands out. The Force aligns with the visitors. Recommended bet: Away Win.

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📝 Match Preview

Lommel United vs Beerschot VA Preview
Recommendation:AWAY_WIN
Odds:2.40
Expected Value:+15.2%
Confidence:65

Right then, folks, grab a pint and let’s have a proper look at this one. Lommel United hosting Beerschot VA in the Jupiler Pro League. It’s a proper local derby vibe, and the stats are telling a pretty clear story. Lommel have been steady at home, picking up 50% of their home games, averaging 1.67 goals a match and letting in just 1.00. They’ve won 5 of their last 10, drawn 2, and lost 3. Their attack is ticking over at 1.80 goals a game, but they’ve only kept a single clean sheet in that run. At home, they average 12 shots with 5 on target, controlling 55% of the ball. They’re solid, but not impenetrable. Then you’ve got Beerschot VA, and honestly, they’re on an absolute tear. Unbeaten in their last 10 matches (6 wins, 4 draws), averaging a cracking 2.10 goals scored and just 1.00 conceded. On the road, they’re even more lethal, bagging 2.20 goals a game and conceding a mere 0.80. They’ve won 60% of their away outings, and their defence has been rock solid with 40% clean sheets. Away, they dominate possession at 78%, averaging 11 shots and 2 on target. That control is key. Head-to-head, Beerschot have had the upper hand, winning 6 of the last 10 clashes. In fact, they’ve won the last two meetings, both ending 2-1. The last time out, they beat Lommel 2-1 away, and the one before that was another 2-1 win for the visitors. The pattern is clear. Now, let’s talk money. The bookies have Beerschot to win at 2.40. Given their away form, unbeaten run, and H2H dominance, that’s proper value. The fair probability sits around 48-50%, meaning the odds offer a healthy edge. Lommel are decent at home, but they’ve struggled to stop Beerschot’s attack, and the visitors’ defence is too good to ignore. Both sides have 5 days rest, so fatigue isn't a factor. Key Points: - Beerschot VA unbeaten in last 10 (6W, 4D), averaging 2.10 goals scored. - Away form is strong: 60% win rate, 2.20 goals/game, 0.80 conceded/game. - Head-to-head: Beerschot won 6 of 10, including the last two meetings (both 2-1). - Lommel United home record: 50% win rate, 1.67 goals/game, 1.00 conceded/game. - Odds of 2.40 for the away win offer solid value over the implied probability. Bottom line: Beerschot VA are the team to beat. They’ve got the form, the H2H edge, and the defensive stability. Back them to continue their unbeaten run and take all three points. My pick is an Away Win at 2.40.

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