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Match analysis

ItalySerie A

Atalanta vs Sassuolo

Tipster previews, form, Elo ratings and the best odds for this Serie A fixture.

Full time2:1HT 1–0

Match Timeline

6'
G. Raspadori⚽
Normal Goal → G. Gaetano
55'
C. Odenthal⚽
Normal Goal
60'
M. Pasalic🔄
Substitution 1 → L. Samardzic
60'
N. Zalewski🔄
Substitution 2 → C. De Ketelaere
60'
G. Scamacca🔄
Substitution 3 → N. Krstovic
64'
V. Adzic🔄
Substitution 1 → K. Thorstvedt
65'
N. Krstovic⚽
Normal Goal
71'
L. Bernasconi🔄
Substitution 4 → S. Kolasinac
74'
T. Macchioni🔄
Substitution 2 → F. Leysen
74'
N. Matic🔄
Substitution 3 → B. Dominguez
82'
G. Raspadori🔄
Substitution 5 → E. Elmas
88'
C. Volpato🔄
Substitution 4 → R. Ciervo
88'
K. Bowie🔄
Substitution 5 → G. Kulla

Match Statistics

7Shots on Goal8
4Shots off Goal9
14Total Shots22
3Blocked Shots5
8Shots insidebox12
6Shots outsidebox10
9Fouls10
4Corner Kicks4
0Offsides1
56Ball Possession44
7Goalkeeper Saves5
596Total passes462
544Passes accurate418
91Passes %90
0.71expected_goals2.73
-0.81goals_prevented-0.81

Tipster previews (5)

OracleLost

The Oracle’s Verdict: Atalanta vs Sassuolo

The pickUnder 2 5

Chance
72%
Odds
2.10
Model EV
+51.2%

Time moves in cycles, and the beautiful game reveals its secrets to those who watch with patience. As the summer sun settles over Bergamo, the ledger of recent form speaks a quiet, deliberate language. Atalanta, under the steady hand of Maurizio Sarri, has forged a home fortress…

Form & key stats

Last 10 matches, all competitions

Atalanta

3W 4D 3L1.30 pts/game

Sassuolo

3W 2D 5L1.10 pts/game

Per game

Atalanta at home vs Sassuolo away

Bold green marks the stronger number on each row. Both-teams-scored is shown without a side.

Elo ratings

Before the match · within Serie A

Overall edge
+137Atalanta
Venue edge
+179Atalanta
Rating period
Match snapshot
Atalanta versus Sassuolo: long term Elo, before the match
AtalantaHomeRatingSassuoloAway
Strength
1,663Overall1,526
1,641Match venue1,461
1,641At home1,540
1,673Away1,461
Attack & defence
1,562Attack1,516
1,651Defence1,538
1,545Home attack1,522
1,602Away attack1,487
1,629Home defence1,520
1,639Away defence1,510
Match profile
1,993Goal environment2,073
1,815Home goals1,745
1,678Away goals1,828
1,525Possession1,486
Specialist ratings
1,532Set-piece attack1,468
1,532Set-piece defence1,469
1,561Close games1,472
1,691Winning margin1,546

Match venue compares Atalanta at home with Sassuolo away. Green marks the higher rating; a new team starts at 1500.

Match profile rows describe the game, not team strength: a higher goal environment means higher-scoring matches.

Starting Lineups

AtalantaAtalanta1:1

Starting XI

29M. CarnesecchiG
47L. BernasconiD
13EdersonM
18G. RaspadoriF
42G. ScalviniD
70G. GaetanoM
9G. ScamaccaF
3O. KossounouD
8M. PasalicM
59N. ZalewskiF
77D. ZappacostaD

SassuoloSassuolo1:1

Starting XI

49A. MuricG
3J. DoigD
50D. BakolaM
45A. LaurienteF
31T. MacchioniD
18N. MaticM
9K. BowieF
26C. OdenthalD
17V. AdzicM
7C. VolpatoF
46S. CinquegranoD