Lazio vs AC Milan | The Math Points to a Scoring Shootout
The pickOver 2.5
- Chance
- 74%
- Odds
- 2.20
- Model EV
- +62.8%
The bookmakers are trying to sell us a low-scoring narrative here, and the math simply doesn't support it. When you look at the goal expectancy (λ) for this fixture, we're looking at a combined 3.84. That is a massive signal for a high-scoring affair, yet the market is pricing…


