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Match analysis

ItalySerie A

Napoli vs Frosinone

Tipster previews, form, Elo ratings and the best odds for this Serie A fixture.

Tipster previews (4)

Mr Simple

Napoli's Wobbly Run Meets Frosinone's Hot Streak

The pickFrosinone win

Chance
16%
Odds
7.00
Model EV
+12.0%

Right, so here's a bit of a puzzle for you. Napoli, the big boys of the south, are about to host Frosinone at home, and you'd expect a comfortable evening for the home end. But the last five weeks have told a rather different story. Napoli have won just one of their last five…

Form & key stats

Last 10 matches, all competitions

Napoli

3W 4D 3L1.30 pts/game

Frosinone

5W 3D 2L1.80 pts/game

Per game

Napoli at home vs Frosinone away

Bold green marks the stronger number on each row. Both-teams-scored is shown without a side.

Elo ratings

Before the match · within Serie A

Overall edge
+207Napoli
Venue edge
+290Napoli
Rating period
Napoli versus Frosinone: long term Elo, before the match
NapoliHomeRatingFrosinoneAway
Strength
1,720Overall1,513
1,727Match venue1,437
1,727At home1,468
1,687Away1,437
Attack & defence
1,584Attack1,501
1,653Defence1,535
1,591Home attack1,490
1,557Away attack1,443
1,639Home defence1,489
1,668Away defence1,509
Match profile
2,177Goal environment1,622
1,980Home goals1,547
1,697Away goals1,575
1,542Possession1,494
Specialist ratings
1,570Set-piece attack1,499
1,569Set-piece defence1,499
1,642Close games1,459
1,740Winning margin1,540

Match venue compares Napoli at home with Frosinone away. Green marks the higher rating; a new team starts at 1500.

Match profile rows describe the game, not team strength: a higher goal environment means higher-scoring matches.

Starting lineups

Lineups are not available yet. They are usually confirmed about an hour before kick-off.