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Match analysis

Denmark1. Division

Aalborg vs HB Koge

Tipster previews, form, Elo ratings and the best odds for this 1. Division fixture.

Full time0:0HT 0–0

Match Timeline

29'
E. Semovski🟨
Yellow Card
45'
V. Sorensen🔄
Substitution 1 → S. Hald
54'
M. Kaasa🟨
Yellow Card
56'
M. Warming🔄
Substitution 2 → N. Stolshoj
65'
M. Kaasa🔄
Substitution 1 → V. Moller
66'
F. Borsting🔄
Substitution 2 → T. Persyn
76'
B. Nwadik🔄
Substitution 3 → K. John
76'
M. Kubel🔄
Substitution 4 → J. Adedeji
79'
M. Romer🔄
Substitution 3 → M. Westergren
79'
E. Semovski🔄
Substitution 4 → G. Culhaci
87'
G. Larsen🟨
Yellow Card
87'
K. Normann🔄
Substitution 5 → N. Helenius

Tipster previews (4)

Value VinnyWon

Aalborg vs HB Koge Preview & Betting Value

The pickUnder 2 5

Chance
59%
Odds
2.35
Model EV
+38.6%

Odds don’t lie, but the compilers definitely do. When I look at Aalborg versus HB Koge in the Danish 1. Division, I’m not chasing narrative or historical dominance—I’m chasing Expected Value. The market has priced this fixture with a heavy tilt toward Aalborg’s home advantage…

Form & key stats

Last 10 matches, all competitions

Aalborg

4W 3D 3L1.50 pts/game

HB Koge

1W 2D 7L0.50 pts/game

Per game

Aalborg at home vs HB Koge away

Bold green marks the stronger number on each row. Both-teams-scored is shown without a side.

Elo ratings

Before the match · within 1. Division

Overall edge
+101Aalborg
Venue edge
+150Aalborg
Rating period
Match snapshot
Aalborg versus HB Koge: long term Elo, before the match
AalborgHomeRatingHB KogeAway
Strength
1,549Overall1,448
1,576Match venue1,426
1,576At home1,474
1,517Away1,426
Attack & defence
1,511Attack1,451
1,515Defence1,480
1,545Home attack1,452
1,499Away attack1,453
1,522Home defence1,499
1,513Away defence1,456
Match profile
1,628Goal environment1,558
1,578Home goals1,542
1,550Away goals1,517
1,500Possession1,500
Specialist ratings
1,500Set-piece attack1,500
1,500Set-piece defence1,500
1,557Close games1,498
1,541Winning margin1,441

Match venue compares Aalborg at home with HB Koge away. Green marks the higher rating; a new team starts at 1500.

Match profile rows describe the game, not team strength: a higher goal environment means higher-scoring matches.

Starting Lineups

AalborgAalborgUnknown

Starting XI

1V. MullerG
25F. BorstingD
33E. MakolliD
4B. TiedemannD
24N. A. ArnorssonD
17A. JassonM
23M. KaasaM
14M. KubelM
8A. HapnesM
11K. NormannM
19B. NwadikF

HB KogeHB Koge1:1

Starting XI

1N. SommergaardG
2L. BustD
6R. BrodersenM
11M. WarmingF
22M. JakobsenD
28G. LarsenM
9T. ThomsenF
8M. RomerD
7M. JensenM
19E. Semovski4:3
14V. SorensenM