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Match analysis

NetherlandsEerste Divisie

De Graafschap vs Jong AZ

Tipster previews, form, Elo ratings and the best odds for this Eerste Divisie fixture.

De GraafschapHome
Full time2:5HT 1–1
Jong AZAway

Match Timeline

11'
J. Oerip⚽
Normal Goal → B. Kovacs
15'
D. Warmerdam🟨
Yellow Card
15'
A. Oufkir🟨
Yellow Card
30'
D. Warmerdam⚽
Normal Goal
46'
A. Natali🔄
Substitution 1 → M. Menu
46'
M. Sin🔄
Substitution 2 → R. Robbemond
46'
D. Eijken🔄
Substitution 1 → T. Mero
51'
G. Bolk🟨
Yellow Card
52'
B. Kovacs
Penalty
59'
N. Ahmeti🔄
Substitution 2 → J. Wieckhoff
59'
J. Hardeman🔄
Substitution 3 → B. van Zijl
74'
F. de Jong🟨
Yellow Card
75'
R. Robbemond⚽
Normal Goal
75'
H. de Wit🔄
Substitution 3 → T. de Wit
75'
S. De Grand🔄
Substitution 4 → K. Inge
79'
K. Symons🔄
Substitution 4 → B. Mambo
84'
B. van Zijl⚽
Normal Goal → T. Mero
85'
B. Kovacs🟨
Yellow Card
86'
D. Warmerdam🔄
Substitution 5 → N. Kaninda
86'
B. Kovacs🔄
Substitution 5 → Y. van den Ban
87'
A. Oufkir⚽
Normal Goal → Y. van den Ban
90+1'
R. Besselink🟨
Yellow Card
90+2'
A. Oufkir⚽
Normal Goal → R. Robbemond
90+4'
J. Kania🟨
Yellow Card

Match Statistics

5Shots on Goal10
10Shots off Goal8
21Total Shots24
6Blocked Shots6
14Shots insidebox16
7Shots outsidebox8
13Fouls13
5Corner Kicks2
2Offsides3
58Ball Possession42
5Yellow Cards2
5Goalkeeper Saves3
473Total passes353
389Passes accurate275
82Passes %78
1.67expected_goals2.83
-1.01goals_prevented-1.01

Tipster previews (3)

Value VinnyWon

De Graafschap vs Jong AZ Prediction & Betting Tips

The pickJong AZ win

Chance
45%
Odds
3.75
Model EV
+68.8%

The bookmakers have De Graafschap as clear favorites at 1.75, but if you strip away the reputation factor and look strictly at the numbers, this is a classic value trap. De Graafschap sit on a 1.00 points-per-game average across their last 10 fixtures, having conceded 26 goals…

Form & key stats

Last 10 matches, all competitions

De Graafschap

2W 4D 4L1.00 pts/game

Jong AZ

6W 3D 1L2.10 pts/game

Per game

De Graafschap at home vs Jong AZ away

Bold green marks the stronger number on each row. Both-teams-scored is shown without a side.

Elo ratings

Before the match · within Eerste Divisie

Overall edge
+141De Graafschap
Venue edge
+104De Graafschap
Rating period
Match snapshot
De Graafschap versus Jong AZ: long term Elo, before the match
De GraafschapHomeRatingJong AZAway
Strength
1,518Overall1,378
1,572Match venue1,468
1,572At home1,373
1,504Away1,468
Attack & defence
1,549Attack1,469
1,489Defence1,413
1,570Home attack1,448
1,523Away attack1,527
1,528Home defence1,442
1,481Away defence1,429
Match profile
2,163Goal environment2,300
1,808Home goals1,913
1,855Away goals1,887
1,536Possession1,515
Specialist ratings
1,513Set-piece attack1,492
1,513Set-piece defence1,492
1,506Close games1,381
1,526Winning margin1,375

Match venue compares De Graafschap at home with Jong AZ away. Green marks the higher rating; a new team starts at 1500.

Match profile rows describe the game, not team strength: a higher goal environment means higher-scoring matches.

Starting Lineups

De GraafschapDe GraafschapUnknown

Starting XI

1Ties WieggersG
4Joran HardemanD
3Rowan BesselinkD
14Gijs BolkD
21Kaya SymonsD
24Jason MeerstadtM
10Fedde De JongM
8Donny WarmerdamM
18Denzel EijkenF
9Julian KaniaF
27Nart AhmetiF

Jong AZJong AZUnknown

Starting XI

1Kiyani ZeggenG
2Jesper ZwartD
3Andrea NataliD
4Billy van DuijlD
5Sam De GrandD
6Rion IchiharaM
10Hessel de WitM
8Julian OeripM
7Matěj ŠínF
9Bendegúz KovácsF
11Ayoub OufkirF

Quick Links

De Graafschap Team Page →Jong AZ Team Page →View Eerste Divisie Overview →View Standings →