Match analysis
NetherlandsEerste Divisie
Tipster previews, form, Elo ratings and the best odds for this Eerste Divisie fixture.
Marvyn Muzungu⚽
Jinairo Johnson🟨Fredrik Jensen🟨Diego Pugno⚽Maximilien Balard🟨Leroy Frankel🔄Jannes Van Hecke🔄Cherrion Valerius🔄Charles-Andreas Brym🔄Moussa Soumano🔄Diego Pugno🟨Paul Gladon⚽Sinclair de Falco🔄Jano Monserrate🔄Pharrel Nash🔄Emre Ünüvar⚽Fredrik Jensen🔄Diego Pugno🔄Pepijn Reulen⚽Jeshurun Simeon🟨Pepijn Reulen🟨NAC Breda beat Jong Ajax 3-2 on Saturday 22 August in an Eerste Divisie fixture. NAC Breda led 1-0 at the break and saw it out. On the numbers, NAC Breda saw more of the ball (53%), while the shot count was 20 for NAC Breda and 11 for Jong Ajax.
The goals for NAC Breda came from Paul Gladon (71') and Pepijn Reulen (88'). Diego Pugno (59') and Emre Ünüvar (80') got on the scoresheet for Jong Ajax. There was an own goal in the mix too.
Our tip landed, with both teams to score coming in.
5W 1D 4L1.60 pts/game
Bold green marks the stronger number on each row. Both-teams-scored is shown without a side.
| NAC BredaHome | Rating | Jong AjaxAway |
|---|---|---|
| Strength | ||
| 1,479 | Overall | 1,325 |
| 1,512 | Match venue | 1,333 |
| 1,512 | At home | 1,407 |
| 1,510 | Away | 1,333 |
| Attack & defence | ||
| 1,482 | Attack | 1,406 |
| 1,483 | Defence | 1,421 |
| 1,476 | Home attack | 1,435 |
| 1,519 | Away attack | 1,404 |
| 1,522 | Home defence | 1,461 |
| 1,479 | Away defence | 1,420 |
| Match profile | ||
| 1,845 | Goal environment | 2,622 |
| 1,618 | Home goals | 1,970 |
| 1,727 | Away goals | 2,152 |
| 1,507 | Possession | 1,506 |
| Specialist ratings | ||
| 1,515 | Set-piece attack | 1,447 |
| 1,514 | Set-piece defence | 1,448 |
| 1,520 | Close games | 1,415 |
| 1,466 | Winning margin | 1,303 |
Match venue compares NAC Breda at home with Jong Ajax away. Green marks the higher rating; a new team starts at 1500.
Match profile rows describe the game, not team strength: a higher goal environment means higher-scoring matches.
NAC BredaUnknownJong AjaxUnknown
Value VinnyWonThe pickBTTS Yes
Odds don’t lie, but bookies do. My prime directive is hunting Expected Value, not chasing short odds. While the market has priced a NAC Breda home win at 1.25, that line is a trap for the casual bettor. The real profit lies in the margins where the compilers have mispriced…
The head-to-head covers 13 games since November 2016, and NAC Breda have won five, Jong Ajax have taken five and three were drawn. Every tip we publish on the two sides together sits on our NAC Breda vs Jong Ajax prediction page.
