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Match analysis

NetherlandsEerste Divisie

Almere City FC vs Jong Ajax

Tipster previews, form, Elo ratings and the best odds for this Eerste Divisie fixture.

Match Timeline

15'
Ferdy Druijf
Missed Penalty
45+3'
Mark Verkuijl🔄
Substitution 1 → Tijn Peters
49'
Mohamed Jabou Abdalla🔄
Substitution 2 → Levi Acheampong
60'
Mees Hoedemakers🔄
Substitution 1 → Milan de Haan
60'
Teun Bijleveld🔄
Substitution 2 → Jereno van Gom
60'
Marley Dors🔄
Substitution 3 → Byron Burgering
68'
H. el Dahri🔄
Substitution 4 → Jamie Jacobs
73'
Jano Monserrate⚽
Normal Goal → Pharell Nash
75'
emre unuvar🔄
Substitution 3 → Jeshurun Simeon
75'
Jano Monserrate🔄
Substitution 4 → Jinairo Johnson
75'
Damian van Bruggen🔄
Substitution 5 → Martin Jean Wasinski
75'
Diego Pugno🟨
Yellow Card
81'
James Lawrence🔄
Substitution 6 → Bas Huisman
82'
Emanuel Poku🟨
Yellow Card
82'
Pharell Nash🔄
Substitution 5 → Anass Moumane
84'
Marvyn Muzungu🟨
Yellow Card
90'
Levi Acheampong🟨
Yellow Card
90'
Milan de Haan🟨
Yellow Card

Match Statistics

214Passes accurate368
17Shots insidebox9
7Shots outsidebox6
4Blocked Shots8
13Free Kicks11
5Shots on Goal4
3Goalkeeper Saves4
15Shots off Goal3
3Offsides0
296Total passes452
24Total Shots15
2Yellow Cards3
10Corner Kicks4
12Fouls15
0Red Cards0
42Ball Possession58

Tipster previews (4)

Mr SimpleLost

Almere City FC vs Jong Ajax Preview

The pickAlmere City FC win

Chance
85%
Odds
1.45
Model EV
+23.3%

Right then, let's have a proper look at this one. We've got Almere City FC taking on Jong Ajax in the Eerste Divisie, and if you're looking for a side that knows how to put goals past their mates at home, Almere are your lot. They're currently sitting in 3rd place, and they've…

Value VinnyLost

Almere City FC vs Jong Ajax | Value Analysis

The pickAlmere City FC win

Chance
85%
Odds
1.45
Model EV
+23.3%

The Eerste Divisie is often a land of surprises, but when the numbers align as clearly as they do for this fixture, the value becomes undeniable. Almere City FC enters this clash as a formidable force, currently sitting in 3rd place with a record that screams dominance at home…

PajimonLost

Almere City FC vs Jong Ajax Preview

The pickAlmere City FC win

Chance
80%
Odds
1.45
Model EV
+16.0%

Listen up, my friends, because we’re looking at a match that’s as clear as a cold beer on a hot afternoon. Almere City FC are coming into this fixture looking like absolute beasts at home. We’re talking about a perfect 100% win rate in their last four home games. They aren't…

Form & key stats

Last 10 matches, all competitions

Almere City FC

6W 1D 3L1.90 pts/game

Jong Ajax

2W 1D 7L0.70 pts/game

Per game

Almere City FC at home vs Jong Ajax away

Bold green marks the stronger number on each row. Both-teams-scored is shown without a side.

Elo ratings

Before the match · within Eerste Divisie

Overall edge
+181Almere City FC
Venue edge
+195Almere City FC
Rating period
Match snapshot
Almere City FC versus Jong Ajax: long term Elo, before the match
Almere City FCHomeRatingJong AjaxAway
Strength
1,519Overall1,338
1,525Match venue1,330
1,525At home1,416
1,523Away1,330
Attack & defence
1,557Attack1,428
1,496Defence1,410
1,524Home attack1,451
1,555Away attack1,410
1,539Home defence1,451
1,479Away defence1,416
Match profile
2,243Goal environment2,637
1,742Home goals1,978
2,002Away goals2,158
1,486Possession1,507
Specialist ratings
1,532Set-piece attack1,452
1,532Set-piece defence1,453
1,486Close games1,421
1,542Winning margin1,316

Match venue compares Almere City FC at home with Jong Ajax away. Green marks the higher rating; a new team starts at 1500.

Match profile rows describe the game, not team strength: a higher goal environment means higher-scoring matches.

Starting Lineups

Almere City FCAlmere City FC1:1

Starting XI

1Wessel SpeelG
5T. BijleveldD
6E. CornelisseM
11M. DorsM
9F. DruijfF
4J. LawrenceD
14M. HoedemakersM
21H. El DahriM
44D. van BruggenD
17E. PokuM
3J. JacobsD

Jong AjaxJong Ajax1:1

Starting XI

1J. HeerkensG
5Sinclair de FalcoD
6M. VerkuijlM
11P. NashM
9D. PugnoF
4M. MuzunguD
8Mohamed AbdallaM
3G. SpinaD
10Alejandro MonserrateM
2R. van de PavertD
7E. ÜnüvarM