Match analysis
NetherlandsEerste Divisie
Tipster previews, form, Elo ratings and the best odds for this Eerste Divisie fixture.
Fouad Zahouani🟨Mark Verkuijl🟨
Dario Van Den Buijs🟨Mark Verkuijl🔄Fynn Schenten🔄Jeremiah Mensah🔄Ryan van de Pavert🟨Guilherme Martinho Peixoto🔄emre unuvar🔄Jeshurun Simeon🔄Joey Sleegers🔄Fouad Zahouani🔄Ryan van de Pavert🔄Joshua Nisbet🔄Dyon Dorenbosch🟨Jong Ajax and Roda have met 17 times since August 2018: Jong Ajax have won four, Roda have taken six and seven were drawn. Our Jong Ajax vs Roda prediction page has every tip on this pairing.
2W 1D 7L0.70 pts/game
Bold green marks the stronger number on each row. Both-teams-scored is shown without a side.
| Jong AjaxHome | Rating | RodaAway |
|---|---|---|
| Strength | ||
| 1,336 | Overall | 1,480 |
| 1,406 | Match venue | 1,521 |
| 1,406 | At home | 1,481 |
| 1,338 | Away | 1,521 |
| Attack & defence | ||
| 1,408 | Attack | 1,440 |
| 1,415 | Defence | 1,518 |
| 1,439 | Home attack | 1,439 |
| 1,406 | Away attack | 1,488 |
| 1,448 | Home defence | 1,523 |
| 1,420 | Away defence | 1,524 |
| Match profile | ||
| 2,642 | Goal environment | 1,958 |
| 1,977 | Home goals | 1,743 |
| 2,165 | Away goals | 1,715 |
| 1,510 | Possession | 1,509 |
| Specialist ratings | ||
| 1,453 | Set-piece attack | 1,522 |
| 1,454 | Set-piece defence | 1,522 |
| 1,439 | Close games | 1,517 |
| 1,307 | Winning margin | 1,469 |
Match venue compares Jong Ajax at home with Roda away. Green marks the higher rating; a new team starts at 1500.
Match profile rows describe the game, not team strength: a higher goal environment means higher-scoring matches.
Jong Ajax1:1Roda1:1
Value VinnyLostThe pickRoda win
The bookmakers are looking at the 'Away' tag and seeing a 20% win rate for Roda, but they are missing the forest for the trees. They are ignoring the sheer defensive collapse currently defining Jong Ajax's campaign. To find real value, we have to look at the raw data, and the…
