Sun, 30 Aug 2026, 13:00
Ligue 1
France
France
Full Time
3:0
HT: 1 - 0

Match Timeline

18'
Youssouf Ndayishimiye🟨
Yellow Card
21'
L. Sinayoko
Penalty
51'
S. Chergui
Normal Goal → I. Kebbal
63'
M. Simon🔄
Substitution 1 → R. Matondo
63'
N. Ngoumou🔄
Substitution 1 → E. Wahi
72'
P. Pagis🔄
Substitution 2 → P. Zabi
73'
M. Abdelmonem🔄
Substitution 2 → A. Mendy
73'
A. Witsel🔄
Substitution 3 → I. Jansson
82'
J. Clauss🔄
Substitution 4 → H. Koutoune
82'
M. Bard🔄
Substitution 5 → D. Morana
83'
I. Kebbal🔄
Substitution 3 → H. Traore
83'
Otavio🔄
Substitution 4 → V. Marchetti
89'
V. Marchetti
Normal Goal → P. Zabi

Match Statistics

4Shots on Goal4
7Shots off Goal5
15Total Shots15
4Blocked Shots6
10Shots insidebox9
5Shots outsidebox6
7Fouls7
2Corner Kicks4
2Offsides1
46Ball Possession54
0Yellow Cards1
4Goalkeeper Saves1
585Total passes690
521Passes accurate616
89Passes %89
2.74expected_goals0.57
-0.45goals_prevented-0.45

Starting Lineups

Paris FCParis FC1:1

Starting XI

1K. TrappG
6OtavioD
33P. Lees-MelouM
27M. SimonM
9L. SinayokoF
42D. CoppolaD
20M. LopezM
7P. PagisM
31S. CherguiD
10I. KebbalM
17A. CamaraD

NiceNice1:1

Starting XI

23Y. DioufG
35X. Mandza TsiendiD
26M. BardM
10S. DiopF
29N. NgoumouF
55Y. NdayishimiyeD
28A. WitselM
7G. HeinF
5M. AbdelmonemD
39D. CoulibalyM
92J. ClaussM

Head-to-Head

📈 Team Form & Statistics

Paris FC
Paris FC
Form: D-L-D-L-D
Nice
Nice
Form: D-D-D-L-W
Record
3 W
3 D
4 L
2 W
5 D
3 L
Goals Per Game
1.2
Scored
vs
1.0
Scored
1.3
Conceded
vs
0.8
Conceded
Betting Indicators
Clean Sheets
40%
Clean Sheets
60%
BTTS
40%
BTTS
30%
Home/Away Performance
Scored
Home:1.4
Away:1.0
Conceded
Home:0.4
Away:2.2
Scored
Home:2.0
Away:0.3
Conceded
Home:0.3
Away:1.2

⚡ Elo Ratings

Long Term Elo Rating
1535
Average
1586
Average
Short Term Elo Rating
1607
↑ Momentum (+72)
1549
↓ Momentum (-37)
Expected Outcome
29%
Home Win
32%
Draw
39%
Away Win
Attack & Defence Elo
Long Term
1532
Attack
1484
1588
Defence
1574
Recent Form
1572
Attack
1449
1653
Defence
1610
Post-Match Changes
+12
Rating Change
0
Rating Change
Elo ratings measure team strength based on match results and opponent quality. Higher ratings indicate stronger teams.

📝 Match Preview

Paris FC vs Nice: Home Fortress vs Away Famine
Recommendation:HOME_WIN
Odds:2.12
Expected Value:+27.2%
Confidence:8

Listen up, let's get straight to the point. I don't do vegetables, and I don't do weak bets. We're looking at Paris FC taking on Nice, and the data tells a story of a massive mismatch in efficiency. Nice is basically on a starvation diet when they travel. They've managed a measly 0.33 goals per game over their last 6 away trips. That's not just a slump; it's a complete inability to find the back of the net. Nice has been playing like they're stuck in a stalemate, racking up three straight 0-0 draws in their recent away outings (against Lorient, Hull City, and Cagliari). They can't find the net, and Paris FC's defense is ready to shut the door. Paris FC is a different beast at home, where they've secured a 60% win rate and kept things tight with only 0.40 goals conceded per game. The head-to-head also favors the hosts, with Paris FC winning 1-0 in their last home meeting. When you've got a home team with a high win percentage and a defense that's nearly impenetrable, facing an away side that can't score, the math is simple. We're looking for a home win here, and the odds of 2.12 give us plenty of meat on the bone. Key Points: - Nice has scored only 0.33 goals per game in their last 6 away fixtures. - Paris FC maintains a 60% win rate at home. - Nice's recent away form consists of three consecutive 0-0 draws. - Paris FC's home defense is elite, conceding just 0.40 goals per game. - Paris FC won the last home head-to-head 1-0. Paris FC are the heavy favorites to secure the win here. Recommended Bet: HOME_WIN

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