Wed, 2 Sept 2026, 10:00
Full Time

Match Timeline

20'
S. Sakuragawa⚽
Normal Goal → H. Okuda
42'
Jackson Irvine🟨
Yellow Card
46'
K. Kumasaka🔄
Substitution 1 → Y. Konishi
46'
H. Yamauchi🔄
Substitution 2 → Y. Segawa
46'
Y. Kakita🔄
Substitution 3 → M. Hosoya
55'
K. Endo🔄
Substitution 4 → K. Yuba
56'
S. Kagawa🔄
Substitution 1 → K. Okazawa
56'
Thiago Andrade🔄
Substitution 2 → Y. Yokoyama
68'
S. Sakuragawa
Penalty
69'
Y. Koizumi🔄
Substitution 5 → K. Yuruki
80'
S. Sakuragawa🔄
Substitution 3 → P. Sabbag

Match Statistics

3Shots on Goal5
4Shots off Goal4
12Total Shots11
5Blocked Shots2
9Shots insidebox5
3Shots outsidebox6
5Fouls4
7Corner Kicks9
1Offsides3
48Ball Possession52
1Yellow Cards0
5Goalkeeper Saves1
472Total passes506
378Passes accurate424
80Passes %84
1.81expected_goals1.09

Starting Lineups

Cerezo OsakaCerezo Osaka1:1

Starting XI

23K. NakamuraG
4R. InoueD
66A. OhataM
11Thiago AndradeF
9S. SakuragawaF
44S. HatanakaD
10S. TanakaM
8S. KagawaF
27D. CoolsD
36J. IrvineM
16H. OkudaM

Kashiwa ReysolKashiwa Reysol1:1

Starting XI

25R. KojimaG
26D. SugiokaD
5K. EndoM
87H. YamauchiF
18Y. KakitaF
4T. KogaD
39N. NakagawaM
8Y. KoizumiF
42W. HaradaD
27K. KumasakaM
24T. KuboM

Head-to-Head

📈 Team Form & Statistics

Cerezo Osaka
Cerezo Osaka
Form: L-W-W-L-W
Kashiwa Reysol
Kashiwa Reysol
Form: W-W-W-W-W
Record
7 W
1 D
2 L
•
8 W
1 D
1 L
Goals Per Game
1.6
Scored
vs
2.3
Scored
1.1
Conceded
vs
1.0
Conceded
Betting Indicators
Clean Sheets
30%
Clean Sheets
30%
BTTS
50%
BTTS
60%
Home/Away Performance
Scored
Home:1.7
Away:1.5
Conceded
Home:0.7
Away:1.8
Scored
Home:2.4
Away:2.2
Conceded
Home:1.4
Away:0.6

ELO comparison

Pre-match ratings

Rating period
Match snapshot
Cerezo Osaka versus Kashiwa Reysol: long term ELO, before the match
Cerezo OsakaHomeRatingKashiwa ReysolAway
Strength
1,584.4Overall1,602.2
1,587.3Match venue1,560.9
1,587.3At home1,571.5
1,516.1Away1,560.9
Attack & defence
1,534.6Attack1,530.2
1,532.5Defence1,583.5
1,533.1Home attack1,503.3
1,494.3Away attack1,512.9
1,576.4Home defence1,576.4
1,500.7Away defence1,583.2
Match profile
1,520Goal environment1,753.3
1,510Home goals1,688.3
1,510Away goals1,565
1,512.2Possession1,535.2
Specialist ratings
1,487.8Set-piece attack1,528
1,488.3Set-piece defence1,527.9
1,549Close games1,531.8
1,592.4Winning margin1,624.7

Match venue compares Cerezo Osaka at home with Kashiwa Reysol away. All ratings are within this league.

Higher goal environment ratings mean higher-scoring games, not necessarily a stronger team. A starting league rating is 1500.

📝 Match Preview

Cerezo Osaka vs Kashiwa Reysol: The Home 'Pup' Bites Back
Recommendation:HOME_WIN
Odds:3.00
Expected Value:+5.0%
Confidence:6

Hello there, football fans and fellow underdog hunters! Umery Underdog here, and I am absolutely delighted to bring you a preview for a fascinating J1 League clash between Cerezo Osaka and Kashiwa Reysol. In the world of betting, the 'big dogs' often get all the glory, but we know that the real magic happens when the overlooked 'pups' pull off a stunning upset. Today, we are looking for exactly that. On paper, Kashiwa Reysol looks like the powerhouse of the league. They are currently sitting at the top of the table with 12 points from just 4 matches, boasting a remarkable 80% win rate over their last 10 games. They have been scoring at a prolific rate, netting 23 goals in those 10 fixtures (an average of 2.30 per game). Their recent form is scorching, including a clinical 1-0 away victory against Shimizu S-pulse and a 4-2 demolition of V-varen Nagasaki. They are the heavy favorites for this match, with the market offering 2.45 for an away win. However, we are looking past the league standings. Cerezo Osaka might be positioned 10th in the table, but they are a formidable force when playing on their own turf. Over their last 6 home games, Cerezo Osaka has maintained a staggering 83.33% win rate, remaining undefeated in that period. While they suffered a recent 1-0 loss to Vissel Kobe, they have shown great resilience with wins like the 3-1 victory over FC Gifu and the 1-0 win against Shimizu S-pulse. Their defensive record at home is particularly impressive, conceding only 0.67 goals per game. When we look at the historical head-to-head data, the narrative shifts even further in favor of a balanced contest. In their 10 previous meetings, the results have been incredibly tight: Cerezo Osaka has 2 wins, Kashiwa Reysol has 3 wins, and there have been 5 draws. Specifically, Cerezo Osaka's home record against Kashiwa Reysol is 2-2-1, showing that they are more than capable of handling the league leaders. The last time these two met, they played out a 1-1 draw. With Cerezo Osaka listed at 3.00 for a home win, there is significant value for those willing to back the underdog. The market is pricing in Kashiwa's current league position, but it overlooks Cerezo's home dominance and the historical parity between these two sides. By backing the 'pup' at home, we are looking for a high-value surprise that rewards the bold. Key Points: - Kashiwa Reysol is the current league leader but faces a historically balanced opponent. - Cerezo Osaka boasts a massive 83.33% home win rate over their last 6 home fixtures. - Head-to-head history shows a very even split, with Cerezo Osaka winning 40% of their home meetings against Kashiwa. - Cerezo Osaka's home defense is solid, conceding only 0.67 goals per game. - The odds of 3.00 for a home win provide a significant edge for an underdog with such a strong home record. We are backing the home underdog to secure a surprise victory. Recommended Bet: HOME_WIN

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📝 Match Preview

Kashiwa Reysol Ready to Dominate Cerezo Osaka
Recommendation:AWAY_WIN
Odds:2.45
Expected Value:+59.3%
Confidence:7

Listen up, because we aren't here to talk about some bland salad or other vegetable nonsense. We’re here for the meat of the action—winning bets and elite football. Kashiwa Reysol is currently putting on a masterclass in the J1 League. They are sitting pretty at the top of the table, having racked up 12 points from their first 4 matches. That’s four wins, zero losses, and a massive goal difference of +13. They aren't just winning; they are absolutely destroying the opposition. When you look at their away form, it’s even more clinical. They’ve managed an 80% win rate over their last 5 away fixtures, scoring a massive 2.20 goals per game while keeping it tight at the back with only 0.60 goals conceded. They just came off a 1-0 win against Shimizu S-pulse and a 3-1 victory over Tokyo Verdy. They are efficient, they are hungry, and they have the momentum of a freight train. On the other side, Cerezo Osaka is looking like a side-dish. They are currently stuck in 10th place with 6 points. While they have a decent home record (83.33% win rate in their last 6 home games), they’ve struggled to keep pace with the league leaders. They’ve managed to grind out some results, like a 3-1 win over FC Gifu and a 2-1 win over Fagiano Okayama, but they lack the consistent offensive firepower that Kashiwa is currently displaying. The head-to-head history between these two is usually a bit of a stalemate, often yielding low scores, but the current season's dynamics are hard to ignore. Kashiwa Reysol's strength is peaking. They have the points, the goals, and the away record to back up their status as favorites. Cerezo Osaka might have the home advantage, but you can't stop a team that is currently perfect in the league. Kashiwa Reysol is the heavy hitter here. They are the ones with the meat on the bone. They are in the best form in the league, and the odds of 2.45 for an Away Win offer significant value against a 10th-placed side. Key Points: - Kashiwa Reysol is 1st in the J1 League with a perfect record of 4 wins from 4 games. - Kashiwa Reysol boasts an 80% win rate in their last 5 away matches. - Cerezo Osaka is currently in 10th place, struggling to find consistency. - Kashiwa Reysol averages 2.20 goals per game on the road this season. - The odds of 2.45 for an Away Win provide a clear edge given Kashiwa's dominance. Recommended Bet: Away Win

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📝 Match Preview

Kashiwa Reysol Look Like the Real Deal
Recommendation:AWAY_WIN
Odds:2.45
Expected Value:+34.8%
Confidence:70

Right then, let's get stuck in. We’ve got a proper interesting clash here in the J1 League as Cerezo Osaka host Kashiwa Reysol. If you’re looking for a side with some serious momentum, you won’t find a better one than Kashiwa Reysol right now. They are sitting pretty at the very top of the table, and for good reason—they’ve been absolutely clinical, picking up four wins from their first four league matches. That’s a perfect start, and they aren't just coasting; they’re putting on a show, especially when they travel. They’ve been averaging a massive 2.20 goals per game on the road, proving they can find the net regardless of where the whistle blows. On the other side of the pitch, we’ve got Cerezo Osaka. They’re a bit of a different beast when they’re at home, boasting a sturdy 83.33% win rate over their last six home fixtures. They’re generally solid at the back too, conceding just 0.67 goals per game in their own backyard. However, we have to look at the bigger picture. Cerezo are currently languishing in 10th place, while Kashiwa are busy leading the pack. While Cerezo have the home advantage, the sheer weight of Kashiwa’s current form is hard to ignore. Now, the history between these two is usually a bit of a stalemate—lots of draws and very few goals, with an average of just 0.70 goals per match in their head-to-head meetings. But when you weigh up the historical 'dry' spells against the current reality of the season, Kashiwa is the team with the wind in their sails. They’re coming off a 1-0 win against Shimizu S-pulse and have shown they can break down defenses and keep a clean sheet when it matters. Cerezo might be tough to crack at home, but Kashiwa’s goal-scoring machine and perfect league record make them the clear favorites here. The bookies are offering some decent value on an away win, and honestly, it feels like a bit of a gift for a side that’s currently perfect in the league. It’s all about the graft and the momentum, and Kashiwa have plenty of both. Key Points: - Kashiwa Reysol are currently top of the J1 League with a perfect record of 4 wins from 4 games. - Kashiwa have a massive 80% win rate over their last 10 matches across all competitions. - Kashiwa are prolific on the road, averaging 2.20 goals per game away from home. - Cerezo Osaka are currently in 10th place, struggling to keep pace with the league leaders. - Despite a strong home record, Cerezo Osaka have struggled to find the same consistent winning spark as Kashiwa this season. I’m backing Kashiwa Reysol to take the three points on the road.

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