Wed, 2 Sept 2026, 10:00
Full Time

Match Timeline

31'
Leo Gaucho⚽
Normal Goal → H. Motoyama
36'
H. Kida🔄
Substitution 1 → T. Taguchi
41'
K. Tanaka⚽
Normal Goal → T. Taguchi
45'
Takumi Tsukui🟨
Yellow Card
46'
Na Sang-Ho🔄
Substitution 1 → A. Esaka
64'
K. Kawano🔄
Substitution 2 → Kamiya Yuta
64'
Leo Gaucho🔄
Substitution 3 → Lucao
70'
K. Yamura🔄
Substitution 2 → K. Yonekura
70'
T. Tsukui🔄
Substitution 3 → N. Tsubaki
70'
Erison🔄
Substitution 4 → T. Matsumura
77'
Koki Yonekura🟨
Yellow Card
81'
H. Motoyama🔄
Substitution 4 → K. Shirai
84'
K. Tanaka🔄
Substitution 5 → T. Yasui
87'
T. Yamane🔄
Substitution 5 → N. Browne
90'
Kamiya Yuta⚽
Normal Goal → Lucao
90+3'
Eiji Miyamoto🟨
Yellow Card

Match Statistics

1Shots on Goal4
4Shots off Goal5
7Total Shots18
2Blocked Shots9
5Shots insidebox12
2Shots outsidebox6
9Fouls13
4Corner Kicks5
47Ball Possession53
2Yellow Cards1
2Goalkeeper Saves0
403Total passes450
286Passes accurate353
71Passes %78
0.77expected_goals1.33

Starting Lineups

JEF United ChibaJEF United Chiba1:1

Starting XI

19J. SuarezG
28T. KawanoD
8T. TsukuiM
29K. YamuraF
99ErisonF
66D. HallD
25Matheus IndioM
20D. IshikawaF
22T. IidaD
55H. KidaM
7K. TanakaM

Fagiano OkayamaFagiano Okayama1:1

Starting XI

1L. MoserG
6H. OmoriD
88T. YamaneM
10Na Sang-HoF
9Leo Gaucho5:1
48Y. TatsutaD
80OberdanM
20K. KawanoF
44S. MoriD
41E. MiyamotoM
26H. MotoyamaM

Head-to-Head

📈 Team Form & Statistics

JEF United Chiba
JEF United Chiba
Form: L-D-L-L-L
Fagiano Okayama
Fagiano Okayama
Form: L-W-D-W-L
Record
0 W
3 D
7 L
•
3 W
2 D
5 L
Goals Per Game
0.7
Scored
vs
0.9
Scored
2.3
Conceded
vs
1.1
Conceded
Betting Indicators
Clean Sheets
20%
Clean Sheets
50%
BTTS
40%
BTTS
30%
Home/Away Performance
Scored
Home:0.2
Away:1.2
Conceded
Home:1.6
Away:3.0
Scored
Home:1.3
Away:0.7
Conceded
Home:0.0
Away:1.6

ELO comparison

Pre-match ratings

Rating period
Match snapshot
JEF United Chiba versus Fagiano Okayama: long term ELO, before the match
JEF United ChibaHomeRatingFagiano OkayamaAway
Strength
1,388.5Overall1,520.6
1,455.4Match venue1,503.1
1,455.4At home1,505.5
1,433.1Away1,503.1
Attack & defence
1,462.8Attack1,474.7
1,425.3Defence1,570.7
1,469.2Home attack1,440.7
1,475.7Away attack1,498
1,460.8Home defence1,578.3
1,460.1Away defence1,530.2
Match profile
1,536.7Goal environment1,440
1,511.7Home goals1,435
1,525Away goals1,505
1,491.4Possession1,458.2
Specialist ratings
1,484.9Set-piece attack1,524.2
1,485.4Set-piece defence1,523.1
1,448.5Close games1,478.8
1,379.9Winning margin1,536.1

Match venue compares JEF United Chiba at home with Fagiano Okayama away. All ratings are within this league.

Higher goal environment ratings mean higher-scoring games, not necessarily a stronger team. A starting league rating is 1500.

📝 Match Preview

JEF United Chiba's Defensive Meltdown Meets a Goal-Rich History
Recommendation:OVER_2_5
Odds:2.10
Expected Value:+26.0%
Confidence:7

Listen up, goal-hunters! The Big "O" is in the building, and if there's one thing I hate more than a boring game, it's a nil-nil stalemate. Life is way too short for defensive masterclasses that result in zero action. We are looking at a J1 League clash where the defensive structure of JEF United Chiba isn't just cracked—it’s practically a wide-open invitation for the opposition to feast. JEF United Chiba is currently enduring a nightmare season, sitting at the very bottom of the table with zero points from four matches. Their defensive record is nothing short of alarming, conceding a staggering 23 goals in just 10 games. That averages out to 2.30 goals conceded per match, a rate that suggests their backline is more of a revolving door than a wall. They’ve been hammered recently, including a 4-2 loss to Kawasaki Frontale and a 0-4 drubbing at the hands of Machida Zelvia. When you're leaking goals like this, you're practically begging for an 'Over' market to turn into a gold mine. On the other side, we have Fagiano Okayama. While they aren't the most dominant force in the league, they possess the ability to find the back of the net when the opportunity arises. They recently put on a show in the Emperor Cup with a 3-0 victory, proving they can find the clinical edge needed to capitalize on a disorganized defense. While their away scoring average is 0.71, the context of JEF's home environment changes the math significantly. Here is where the magic happens for the Big "O": the Head-to-Head history. In 10 previous meetings between these two sides, 6 of those matches have cleared the Over 2.5 goals line. That is a massive 60% hit rate for high-scoring affairs! When you combine that historical trend with JEF's current goal environment—which is ticking up to a high-scoring signal of 1549.6 for home fixtures—the math starts to scream 'action.' JEF United Chiba's defense is a sieve, the H2H history favors the 'Over,' and the goal environment is primed for a high-scoring spectacle. We aren't just looking for a few goals; we're looking for a goal-fest. The market is giving us a juicy 2.10 on the Over 2.5 goals, providing a fantastic edge over the historical probability. Let's get those goals flowing! Key Points: - JEF United Chiba has conceded 23 goals in 10 games (2.30 per match). - JEF United Chiba is currently at the bottom of the table with 0 points. - Head-to-Head history shows 60% of matches between these teams have gone Over 2.5 goals. - JEF United Chiba's home goal environment is signaling a high-scoring environment (1549.6). - Recent JEF results include high-scoring losses like 4-2 and 0-4. I'm backing the action here. The goals are coming. Recommended Bet: Over 2.5 Goals

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📝 Match Preview

JEF United Chiba vs Fagiano Okayama: Analysis and Betting Preview
Recommendation:AWAY_WIN
Odds:2.08
Expected Value:+14.4%
Confidence:7

Listen up, my friends! We’re looking at a clash in the J1 League that feels like a BBQ where someone forgot the meat—it's just not right! We don't do vegetables here, we want that winning steak! JEF United Chiba are currently enduring a proper disaster of a start to the season. They are sitting at the very bottom of the table with a shocking zero points from four matches. That's right, zero! They've conceded 23 goals already, which is enough to make any man want to throw his beer at the wall. Let’s look at the facts. JEF United have been hammered recently, including a 4-2 loss to Kawasaki Frontale and a 4-0 drubbing by Machida Zelvia. Their defensive record is a sieve, conceding an average of 2.30 goals per game. At home, they are even worse, managing a measly 0.20 goals per game. They are essentially struggling to keep the ball in their own half, let alone find the back of the net. Their home win percentage over their last 10 games is a flat 0.00%. On the other side, we have Fagiano Okayama. While they aren't dominating the league, they are miles ahead of Chiba's current mess. Okayama has shown a much more stable defensive structure, recording a clean sheet in 50% of their last 10 matches. They’ve managed to secure wins and draws, proving they can organize a defense and stay disciplined. Even though they can be shaky on the road, they are far more competent than a JEF United side that has lost every single game they've played so far. When you look at the numbers, JEF United is in a tailspin. They are leaking goals like a broken tap and can't seem to find the back of the net. Okayama is the more disciplined side here. Even if it's a tight affair, the fact that JEF United is in a crisis with a -16 goal difference makes an Away Win look like the most delicious piece of meat on the plate. We're looking for that win to secure some serious value at the current odds. Key Points: - JEF United Chiba are bottom of the league with 0 points and a -16 goal difference. - JEF United have conceded 2.30 goals per game on average. - Fagiano Okayama has a 50% clean sheet rate over their last 10 matches. - JEF United's home scoring is extremely low at 0.20 goals per game. - JEF United have lost all 4 of their opening matches. The chosen bet is Away Win.

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📝 Match Preview

JEF United Chiba's Struggle Meets Okayama's Stability
Recommendation:AWAY_WIN
Odds:2.08
Expected Value:+16.5%
Confidence:7

The path of the winless is a heavy burden to carry, JEF United Chiba finds itself. Look to the table, you must. At the very bottom, they sit, a shadow of a team with zero points to show for their journey. A mountain of struggle, it is. To face them, Fagiano Okayama arrives, a force of more stable balance. While they are not the masters of the league, they possess a shield of consistency, conceding only 1.10 goals per game on average. History, it tells a story of JEF's home dominance—four wins in five matches against Okayama. But history is a ghost, a memory of what was. The present is a cold wind. JEF United Chiba's defense is a gate left unlatched, allowing 2.30 goals per match. In their recent outing, they suffered a 4-2 defeat to Kawasaki Frontale, showing the cracks in their foundation. Their home scoring is also a desert, averaging a mere 0.20 goals per game. Fagiano Okayama, though they struggle on the road with a 14.29% win rate in their last seven away games, are far better equipped to handle the pressure of a struggling opponent. They have secured wins against V-varen Nagasaki and Beluga Rosso Iwami recently. The market offers a path of value, for the odds of 2.08 for an Away Win suggest a probability that the current form of the winless JEF United Chiba does not support. Do or do not bet, there is no try... but hedge your bets, you should. The struggle of the bottom-placed side is great, but the stability of Okayama is the wiser path. JEF United Chiba must find a way to break their winless streak, but the numbers suggest the gate remains open for their visitors. Key Points: - JEF United Chiba is currently winless in the J1 League, sitting at the bottom with 0 points. - JEF United Chiba has a porous defense, conceding 2.30 goals per game overall. - Fagiano Okayama maintains a much more stable defensive record, conceding only 1.10 goals per game. - JEF United Chiba's home scoring is extremely low, averaging just 0.20 goals per game. - Despite historical home dominance against Okayama, JEF's current form is a significant regression signal. - The odds of 2.08 for an Away Win provide a clear edge against a team struggling to find any footing in the competition. Recommended Bet: Away Win

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