Wed, 2 Sept 2026, 10:00
Full Time

Match Timeline

46'
Y. Tsuji🔄
Substitution 1 → T. Fujii
50'
S. Anzai⚽
Normal Goal → M. Nagakura
53'
K. Kinoshita⚽
Normal Goal
64'
R. Germain🔄
Substitution 2 → Oh Se-Hun
71'
Soma Anzai
Penalty cancelled
77'
K. Kinoshita🔄
Substitution 3 → K. Kozuka
77'
S. Homma🔄
Substitution 1 → K. Tawaratsumida
77'
Marcelo Ryan🔄
Substitution 2 → K. Sato
86'
T. Ko🔄
Substitution 3 → K. Hashimoto
89'
Y. Shimamoto🔄
Substitution 4 → K. Chiba

Match Statistics

3Shots on Goal5
2Shots off Goal5
8Total Shots17
3Blocked Shots7
5Shots insidebox11
3Shots outsidebox6
13Fouls10
4Corner Kicks3
1Offsides5
44Ball Possession56
4Goalkeeper Saves1
339Total passes441
254Passes accurate350
75Passes %79
1.71expected_goals2.97

Starting Lineups

Shimizu S-pulseShimizu S-pulse1:1

Starting XI

16T. UmedaG
28Y. YoshidaD
17M. YumibaM
38Y. TsujiF
51J. SumiyoshiD
13R. GermainM
19K. KinoshitaF
3Y. TakahashiD
47Y. ShimamotoM
21K. MatsuzakiF
24H. SugaiD

FC TokyoFC Tokyo1:1

Starting XI

81Kim Seung-GyuG
42K. HashimotoD
19S. HommaM
9Marcelo RyanF
3M. MorishigeD
8T. KoM
26M. NagakuraF
24A. ScholzD
27K. TokiwaM
22H. IshiharaD
7S. AnzaiM

Head-to-Head

📈 Team Form & Statistics

Shimizu S-pulse
Shimizu S-pulse
Form: L-D-L-L-W
FC Tokyo
FC Tokyo
Form: W-W-W-D-L
Record
2 W
3 D
5 L
•
4 W
2 D
4 L
Goals Per Game
0.8
Scored
vs
1.9
Scored
1.2
Conceded
vs
1.5
Conceded
Betting Indicators
Clean Sheets
10%
Clean Sheets
30%
BTTS
50%
BTTS
50%
Home/Away Performance
Scored
Home:0.6
Away:1.0
Conceded
Home:1.2
Away:1.2
Scored
Home:2.0
Away:1.8
Conceded
Home:1.7
Away:1.3

ELO comparison

Pre-match ratings

Rating period
Match snapshot
Shimizu S-pulse versus FC Tokyo: long term ELO, before the match
Shimizu S-pulseHomeRatingFC TokyoAway
Strength
1,444.1Overall1,606.5
1,449.7Match venue1,583.7
1,449.7At home1,544.4
1,471.8Away1,583.7
Attack & defence
1,404Attack1,535.6
1,553.6Defence1,576.8
1,441.1Home attack1,504.1
1,434.5Away attack1,521
1,515.3Home defence1,523.5
1,553.2Away defence1,608.2
Match profile
1,863.3Goal environment1,486.7
1,775Home goals1,600
1,588.3Away goals1,386.7
1,490.8Possession1,505.6
Specialist ratings
1,512.2Set-piece attack1,511.3
1,511.5Set-piece defence1,511.1
1,460.7Close games1,563.6
1,439.3Winning margin1,616.4

Match venue compares Shimizu S-pulse at home with FC Tokyo away. All ratings are within this league.

Higher goal environment ratings mean higher-scoring games, not necessarily a stronger team. A starting league rating is 1500.

📝 Match Preview

FC Tokyo to Overcome a Struggling Shimizu S-pulse
Recommendation:AWAY_WIN
Odds:2.12
Expected Value:+27.2%
Confidence:7

A great test of will, this match shall be. In the J1 League, the balance of power often shifts like the sands of a desert. Shimizu S-pulse, at home, find themselves in a difficult position. Their recent form is a tapestry of struggle; only one win in their last ten matches, and their home record in the last five games has yielded no victories at all. They are searching for a spark, a moment of brilliance to break the cycle of losses. Their goal-scoring trend is declining, a somber sign for any side hoping to find the back of the net. But the Force is with the visitors. FC Tokyo arrives with a momentum that is hard to ignore. They come off a string of victories, including a commanding 3-0 win over V-varen Nagasaki. Their offensive output is on an upward trajectory, showing a positive slope in goals scored. While they have faced heavy defeats in the past, their recent performances suggest a team finding its rhythm and its identity. They have scored 19 goals in their last 10 games, a stark contrast to Shimizu's 8. When we look at the history between these two, the narrative is clear. FC Tokyo has dominated the head-to-head encounters, securing six wins against Shimizu's three. Even when the records are balanced, the current form tips the scales. Shimizu's home performance is a fortress with no gates, while Tokyo's ability to produce goals—averaging 1.90 over their last ten—provides them with a significant advantage. The goal expectancies tell a story of disparity. With Tokyo expected to find the net 1.48 times compared to Shimizu's 0.93, the visitors are the ones likely to dictate the tempo. One must be careful, however. Away matches are fickle, and Tokyo's away win rate is not as high as one might hope. Yet, against a side so depleted in confidence and form, the visitors stand as the logical choice. Do or do not, there is no try. One must look at the numbers, but one must also feel the momentum of the game. The odds of 2.12 for an Away Win offer a path of value for those who see the truth of the current standings. The home side is searching for a way out, but the visitors have the tools to find it. Key Points: - Shimizu S-pulse has a 0% win rate in their last 5 home games. - FC Tokyo is currently on a 3-match winning streak across all competitions. - FC Tokyo's goal-scoring trend is improving (+0.3697 slope), while Shimizu's is declining. - Head-to-head history heavily favors FC Tokyo with 6 wins to 3. - Goal expectancy (λ) favors FC Tokyo at 1.48 vs Shimizu's 0.93. The path of victory leads to the visitors. Recommended Bet: Away Win.

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📝 Match Preview

FC Tokyo to Overpower a Struggling Shimizu S-pulse
Recommendation:AWAY_WIN
Odds:2.12
Expected Value:+27.2%
Confidence:7

Listen up, because we’re getting straight to the meat of this J1 League clash. We’re looking at Shimizu S-pulse facing off against FC Tokyo, and if you’re looking for a winner, the signs are pointing in one direction. We don't do vegetables here; we want the results, and the results are looking spicy for the visitors. Shimizu S-pulse is currently sitting in the doghouse at 16th place. Their home form is honestly a disaster—they haven't managed a single win in their last five home fixtures. They are struggling to find the back of the net, averaging a meager 0.60 goals per game at home. When you look at their overall trend, it’s a downward slide. Their goal-scoring slope is negative, and their points trend is flatlining. They are a team searching for an identity and a way to break out of the bottom half of the table. On the other side of the pitch, FC Tokyo is looking like a different beast. They are perched in 5th place and are currently riding a massive wave of momentum. Their points trend is improving, and their goal-scoring slope is ticking upwards. They just came off a statement 3-0 win away against V-varen Nagasaki and a 6-0 demolition in the Emperor Cup. They are scoring nearly 2 goals a game on average and showing the kind of offensive teeth that Shimizu simply lacks right now. When you look at the head-to-head history, FC Tokyo has historically bullied Shimizu, taking 6 of the last 10 meetings. While the last encounter ended in a 1-1 draw, the overall trajectory favors the visitors. Tokyo's 3-game moving average of 3.00 points suggests they are in peak form, while Shimizu's 3-game moving average for goals is a pathetic 0.33. This isn't a match where the home side is going to pull a miracle. Tokyo has the quality, the momentum, and the historical edge to take all three points. Key Points: - Shimizu S-pulse has a 0% win rate in their last 5 home games. - FC Tokyo is on an improving trend with a 3.00 points per game moving average over their last 3 matches. - FC Tokyo has dominated the head-to-head record with 6 wins to Shimizu's 3. - Tokyo’s goal-scoring slope is improving (+0.3697) while Shimizu's is declining (-0.1091). The best bet is Away Win.

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📝 Match Preview

FC Tokyo Set to Overpower a Struggling Shimizu S-pulse
Recommendation:AWAY_WIN
Odds:2.12
Expected Value:+16.6%
Confidence:7

Right then, let's get straight to the point. If you're looking for a bit of value today, you've got to look at the massive gulf in form between these two sides. We've got FC Tokyo heading into this one, and they are looking sharp as a tack. They're currently sitting pretty in 5th place, and they've been on a proper tear lately, picking up three straight wins in their last three outings, including a dominant 3-0 win over V-varen Nagasaki and a 2-0 victory against JEF United Chiba. On the other side of the pitch, Shimizu S-pulse are having a right old time. They're currently languishing in 16th place, and their home form is, frankly, a bit of a disaster. They haven't managed a single win in their last five home fixtures—a 0% win rate that's hard to ignore. They're struggling to find the back of the net at home, averaging a measly 0.60 goals per game, while their overall points trend is on a downward slide. When you look at the numbers, the story is clear. FC Tokyo's goals scored trend is improving, while Shimizu's is declining. Furthermore, Tokyo has historically had the upper hand in this matchup, winning 6 of the last 10 head-to-head meetings. While Shimizu might try to dig in, Tokyo's offensive output on the road (1.75 goals per game) should be enough to break them down. With Tokyo's momentum and Shimizu's lack of home success, the smart money is on the visitors to take all three points here. It’s a classic case of a side on the up and a side on the down. Tokyo are the better team, they've got the better form, and the odds of 2.12 offer a lovely bit of value for a side that should be comfortably winning this one. Key Points: - FC Tokyo are in 5th place and have won 3 of their last 3 matches. - Shimizu S-pulse are in 16th place and have a 0% win rate in their last 5 home games. - FC Tokyo have won 6 of the last 10 head-to-head meetings. - Tokyo's goals scored trend is improving, while Shimizu's is declining. - Shimizu S-pulse average only 0.60 goals per game at home. The best bet here is Away Win.

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