Wed, 2 Sept 2026, 10:00
Full Time

Match Timeline

36'
Ryo Hatsuse🟨
Yellow Card
45'
Keita Takahata🔄
Substitution 1 → Shunya Yoneda
45'
Shu Kurata🔄
Substitution 1 → Issam Jebali
45'
Naru Nakatsumi🔄
Substitution 2 → Deniz Hümmet
50'
Masahiro Sekiguchi🔄
Substitution 2 → Matheus Jesus
61'
Hotaru Yamaguchi🟨
Yellow Card
66'
Kanta Doi🟨
Yellow Card
66'
Thiago Santana🔄
Substitution 3 → Kenshin Yasuda
66'
Riku Yamada🔄
Substitution 4 → Diego Pituca
68'
Tokuma Suzuki🔄
Substitution 3 → Yuki Yoshihara
75'
Kanta Doi🔄
Substitution 5 → Yusei Egawa
79'
Kenshin Yasuda
Normal Goal
82'
Ryo Hatsuse🔄
Substitution 4 → Shinya Nakano
84'
Matheus Jesus
Normal Goal → Hotaru Yamaguchi
88'
Shogo Sasaki🔄
Substitution 5 → Arata Okamoto
90'
Deniz Hümmet
Normal Goal → Shinnosuke Nakatani
90+4'
Issam Jebali
Normal Goal

Match Statistics

303Passes accurate396
14Shots insidebox6
6Shots outsidebox10
4Blocked Shots3
11Free Kicks9
10Shots on Goal6
4Goalkeeper Saves8
6Shots off Goal7
1Offsides1
383Total passes483
20Total Shots16
2Yellow Cards1
5Corner Kicks5
9Fouls11
0Red Cards0
44Ball Possession56

Starting Lineups

V-varen NagasakiV-varen Nagasaki1:1

Starting XI

1M. GotoG
22H. OnagaD
17K. TakahataM
8Y. IwasakiM
9Thiago SantanaF
50R. ShindoD
24R. YamadaM
41M. HasegawaM
31K. DoiD
5H. YamaguchiM
3M. SekiguchiM

Gamba OsakaGamba Osaka1:1

Starting XI

22J. IchimoriG
21R. HatsuseD
16T. SuzukiM
8R. MeshinoM
37N. NakatsumiF
67S. SasakiD
13S. AbeM
10S. KurataM
4S. NakataniD
20E. AdamsM
19Ginjiro IkegayaD

Head-to-Head

💰 Best Odds

Match Winner
Home
3.65
Dafabet
Draw
3.60
Betfair
Away
2.40
Bet365
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
1.88
Pinnacle
Under 2.5
2.03
SBO
Both Teams Score
Yes
1.68
Unibet
No
2.20
Betfair

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📈 Team Form & Statistics

V-varen Nagasaki
V-varen Nagasaki
Form: L-W-L-L-W
Gamba Osaka
Gamba Osaka
Form: D-W-L-D-D
Record
5 W
0 D
5 L
4 W
4 D
2 L
Goals Per Game
1.2
Scored
vs
1.6
Scored
1.5
Conceded
vs
1.3
Conceded
Betting Indicators
Clean Sheets
30%
Clean Sheets
40%
BTTS
40%
BTTS
50%
Home/Away Performance
Scored
Home:1.5
Away:1.0
Conceded
Home:1.5
Away:1.5
Scored
Home:1.8
Away:1.5
Conceded
Home:1.0
Away:1.5

⚡ Elo Ratings

Long Term Elo Rating
1484
Average
1579
Average
Short Term Elo Rating
1509
↑ Momentum (+25)
1582
↑ Momentum (+3)
Expected Outcome
26%
Home Win
29%
Draw
45%
Away Win
Attack & Defence Elo
Long Term
1470
Attack
1543
1482
Defence
1515
Recent Form
1457
Attack
1547
1467
Defence
1491
Post-Match Changes
+1
Rating Change
0
Rating Change
Elo ratings measure team strength based on match results and opponent quality. Higher ratings indicate stronger teams.

📝 Match Preview

V-varen Nagasaki vs Gamba Osaka | J1 League Prediction
Recommendation:OVER_2_5
Odds:1.91
Expected Value:+47.1%
Confidence:8

Listen up, because we’re looking at a J1 League clash that’s about to get messy. V-varen Nagasaki is currently sitting at the bottom of the pile in 18th place, but don't let that fool you into thinking they're going to fold. They’ve shown they can put goals on the board at home, recently taking down Ehime FC 3-2 and Kyoto Sanga 2-1. They’re hungry, and they’re going to fight for every inch of that grass. On the other side, Gamba Osaka enters this match as the favorites. They’ve got the better record, sitting in 12th with a much more balanced set of results. But here’s the thing: Gamba isn't exactly a defensive fortress on the road. They concede an average of 1.50 goals away from home, and when they play Nagasaki, things tend to open up. They’ve got the shot volume (14.67 per game) and the possession (54.3% away) to dominate the ball, but they often leave the door wide open for a response. The history between these two teams is a total goal-fest. We’re talking about a 5-5 draw in the past and a 2-3 win for Gamba recently. The stats don't lie—7 out of the last 9 head-to-head meetings have seen Over 2.5 Goals. That is a massive trend that we cannot ignore. With Nagasaki's home scoring ability and Gamba's tendency to find the back of the net while leaving the door open for a response, we’re expecting a high-octane affair. Nagasaki holds a respectable 75% win rate in their last four home fixtures, while Gamba Osaka's goal environment suggests they are frequently involved in higher-scoring matches. This is going to be a battle of wills, and the goal tally is going to be the main course. No vegetables here, just pure football. Key Points: - Nagasaki has won 75% of their last 4 home games. - Gamba Osaka averages 1.50 goals scored and 1.50 goals conceded on the road. - 77.7% of the H2H matches between these two have ended with Over 2.5 Goals. - Previous H2H results include a 5-5 draw and a 2-3 scoreline. - Gamba Osaka holds a significant advantage in shot volume (14.67 vs 10.33). The meat of the matter is clear: we’re going for the goals. Recommended Bet: Over 2.5 Goals

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