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Match analysis

EnglandPremier League

Nottingham Forest vs Leeds

Tipster previews, form, Elo ratings and the best odds for this Premier League fixture.

Full time0:1HT 0–0

Match Timeline

18'
Ola Aina🟨
Yellow Card
32'
Dominic Calvert-Lewin🟨
Yellow Card
52'
Jair🟨
Yellow Card
62'
D. Ndoye🔄
Substitution 1 → C. Wood
66'
H. Wilson🔄
Substitution 1 → N. Okafor
74'
O. Aina🔄
Substitution 2 → L. Netz
74'
J. McAtee🔄
Substitution 3 → X. Schlager
82'
B. Aaronson🔄
Substitution 2 → S. Longstaff
88'
A. Stach⚽
Normal Goal
90+3'
Murillo🔄
Substitution 4 → A. Kalimuendo

Match Statistics

2Shots on Goal3
8Shots off Goal2
12Total Shots11
2Blocked Shots6
6Shots insidebox6
6Shots outsidebox5
15Fouls14
3Corner Kicks2
3Offsides3
55Ball Possession45
2Yellow Cards1
2Goalkeeper Saves3
392Total passes325
307Passes accurate231
78Passes %71
0.65expected_goals0.49
0.33goals_prevented0.33

Tipster previews (6)

OracleLost

Nottingham Forest vs Leeds Preview: Home Win Value Bet

The pickNottingham Forest win

Chance
61%
Odds
2.37
Model EV
+44.6%

Time reveals what the present obscures. In the quiet mathematics of the pitch, patterns emerge long before the crowd roars. Nottingham Forest gather at the City Ground to welcome Leeds United, and the numbers whisper a truth the market has yet to fully embrace. The odds rest at…

Mr SimpleLost

Nottingham Forest vs Leeds Preview & Bet | Mr Simple

The pickNottingham Forest win

Chance
58%
Odds
2.37
Model EV
+37.5%

Right then, settle in for a proper Premier League opener at the City Ground. Nottingham Forest host Leeds United, and if you’re looking for a straightforward tip, the signs are pointing squarely to the home side. Forest have been turning their house into a fortress lately. In…

Form & key stats

Last 10 matches, all competitions

Nottingham Forest

5W 3D 2L1.80 pts/game

Leeds

6W 2D 2L2.00 pts/game

Per game

Nottingham Forest at home vs Leeds away

Bold green marks the stronger number on each row. Both-teams-scored is shown without a side.

Elo ratings

Before the match · within Premier League

Overall edge
+12Nottingham Forest
Venue edge
+70Nottingham Forest
Rating period
Match snapshot
Nottingham Forest versus Leeds: long term Elo, before the match
Nottingham ForestHomeRatingLeedsAway
Strength
1,589Overall1,577
1,531Match venue1,460
1,531At home1,560
1,558Away1,460
Attack & defence
1,534Attack1,523
1,599Defence1,559
1,454Home attack1,520
1,567Away attack1,490
1,603Home defence1,557
1,536Away defence1,487
Match profile
1,640Goal environment1,757
1,503Home goals1,583
1,637Away goals1,673
1,479Possession1,478
Specialist ratings
1,515Set-piece attack1,480
1,515Set-piece defence1,481
1,516Close games1,531
1,619Winning margin1,584

Match venue compares Nottingham Forest at home with Leeds away. Green marks the higher rating; a new team starts at 1500.

Match profile rows describe the game, not team strength: a higher goal environment means higher-scoring matches.

Starting Lineups

Nottingham ForestNottingham Forest1:1

Starting XI

26M. SelsG
5MurilloD
3N. WilliamsM
10M. Gibbs-WhiteF
11Igor JesusF
31N. MilenkovicD
6I. SangareM
14D. NdoyeF
23CunhaD
24J. McAteeM
34O. AinaM

LeedsLeeds1:1

Starting XI

1J. TraffordG
5T. MuharemovicD
24J. JustinM
11B. AaronsonF
9D. Calvert-LewinF
15J. BijolD
4E. AmpaduM
10H. WilsonF
6J. RodonD
18A. StachM
2J. BogleM