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Match analysis

EnglandPremier League

Newcastle vs Liverpool

Tipster previews, form, Elo ratings and the best odds for this Premier League fixture.

Full time2:2HT 1–0

Match Timeline

5'
A. Elanga⚽
Normal Goal → W. Osula
25'
Y. Wissa🟨
Yellow Card
30'
M. Kerkez🟨
Yellow Card
30'
J. Frimpong🟨
Yellow Card
34'
L. Miley🟨
Yellow Card
55'
C. Gakpo⚽
Normal Goal → R. Gravenberch
56'
W. Osula🔄
Substitution 1 → J. Willock
56'
S. Steur🔄
Substitution 2 → J. Ramsey
57'
J. Willock⚽
Normal Goal → Y. Wissa
63'
F. Wirtz🔄
Substitution 1 → A. Mac Allister
63'
R. Ngumoha🔄
Substitution 2 → V. Munoz
65'
J. Ramsey🟨
Yellow Card
70'
J. Jacquet🔄
Substitution 3 → R. Araujo
76'
L. Miley🔄
Substitution 3 → A. Bamba
76'
A. Elanga🔄
Substitution 4 → J. Murphy
78'
R. Gravenberch🔄
Substitution 4 → L. Koumas
79'
J. Murphy🟨
Yellow Card
90'
V. van Dijk🟨
Yellow Card
90'
D. Szoboszlai
Penalty
90+3'
L. Hornicek🟨
Yellow Card
90+5'
Y. Wissa🔄
Substitution 5 → F. Schar

Match Statistics

4Shots on Goal7
5Shots off Goal4
13Total Shots27
4Blocked Shots16
6Shots insidebox16
7Shots outsidebox11
16Fouls15
2Corner Kicks6
2Offsides1
39Ball Possession61
5Yellow Cards3
5Goalkeeper Saves3
293Total passes440
223Passes accurate370
76Passes %84
1.42expected_goals2.23
-0.69goals_prevented-0.69

Tipster previews (6)

OracleWon

Oracle's Preview: Newcastle vs Liverpool - Over 2.5 Goals

The pickOver 2 5

Chance
65%
Odds
2.00
Model EV
+30.0%

The sands of time shift, yet certain truths remain etched in stone. When Newcastle host Liverpool at St James’ Park, the numbers do not whisper; they declare. A mathematical projection places the combined expected output at 4.35 goals, with the home side’s lambda resting at 2.65…

Yoda Mc Yoda FaceWon

Newcastle vs Liverpool Preview & Betting Tips

The pickOver 2 5

Chance
65%
Odds
2.00
Model EV
+30.0%

Listen closely, you must. The path to profit is not always straight, but the numbers, they speak loud. Do or do not bet, there is no try... but hedge your bets, you should. Newcastle hosts Liverpool at St James’ Park, and the data whispers one truth: goals are coming. Start with…

Form & key stats

Last 10 matches, all competitions

Newcastle

3W 3D 4L1.20 pts/game

Liverpool

4W 2D 4L1.40 pts/game

Per game

Newcastle at home vs Liverpool away

Bold green marks the stronger number on each row. Both-teams-scored is shown without a side.

Elo ratings

Before the match · within Premier League

Overall edge
+69Liverpool
Venue edge
+26Newcastle
Rating period
Match snapshot
Newcastle versus Liverpool: long term Elo, before the match
NewcastleHomeRatingLiverpoolAway
Strength
1,582Overall1,651
1,647Match venue1,622
1,647At home1,763
1,519Away1,622
Attack & defence
1,567Attack1,607
1,558Defence1,569
1,642Home attack1,621
1,476Away attack1,618
1,554Home defence1,642
1,569Away defence1,526
Match profile
1,962Goal environment2,515
1,745Home goals1,965
1,717Away goals2,050
1,512Possession1,541
Specialist ratings
1,517Set-piece attack1,544
1,517Set-piece defence1,542
1,515Close games1,557
1,600Winning margin1,674

Match venue compares Newcastle at home with Liverpool away. Green marks the higher rating; a new team starts at 1500.

Match profile rows describe the game, not team strength: a higher goal environment means higher-scoring matches.

Starting Lineups

NewcastleNewcastle1:1

Starting XI

21L. HornicekG
3L. HallD
67L. MileyM
11H. BarnesM
10W. OsulaF
4S. BotmanD
14S. SteurM
9Y. WissaM
12M. ThiawD
19A. ElangaM
37A. DedicD

LiverpoolLiverpool1:1

Starting XI

1AlissonG
6M. KerkezD
38R. GravenberchM
18C. GakpoM
9A. IsakF
4V. van DijkD
8D. SzoboszlaiM
7F. WirtzM
5J. JacquetD
73R. NgumohaM
30J. FrimpongD