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Match analysis

EnglandPremier League

Fulham vs Chelsea

Tipster previews, form, Elo ratings and the best odds for this Premier League fixture.

Full time2:3HT 1–2

Match Timeline

1'
Joao Pedro⚽
Normal Goal → C. Palmer
5'
Levi Colwill🟨
Yellow Card
12'
Roméo Lavia🟨
Yellow Card
23'
J. King⚽
Normal Goal → T. Castagne
41'
M. Rogers⚽
Normal Goal → M. Lacroix
49'
C. Palmer⚽
Normal Goal → Joao Pedro
54'
G. Garcia⚽
Normal Goal
65'
J. Hato🔄
Substitution 1 → P. Chavarria
65'
R. Lavia🔄
Substitution 2 → E. Fernandez
67'
O. Bobb🔄
Substitution 1 → S. Charles
73'
S. Berge🔄
Substitution 2 → R. Sessegnon
73'
C. Palacios🔄
Substitution 3 → Kevin
75'
Reece James🟨
Yellow Card
76'
Calvin Bassey🟨
Yellow Card
76'
M. Gusto🔄
Substitution 3 → P. Neto
82'
A. Robinson🔄
Substitution 4 → Rodrigo Muniz
82'
M. Rogers🔄
Substitution 4 → G. Quenda
83'
C. Palmer🔄
Substitution 5 → Estêvão
88'
Timothy Castagne🟨
Yellow Card

Match Statistics

553Passes accurate322
7Shots insidebox13
7Shots outsidebox5
5Blocked Shots7
7Free Kicks11
6Shots on Goal6
3Goalkeeper Saves4
3Shots off Goal5
639Total passes394
14Total Shots18
2Yellow Cards3
6Corner Kicks4
0Offsides3
12Fouls7
0Red Cards0
61Ball Possession39

Tipster previews (5)

Umery UnderdogLost

Fulham vs Chelsea: Backing the Underdog Home Win

The pickFulham win

Chance
50%
Odds
4.02
Model EV
+101.0%

Welcome back, puppy lovers! 🐾 Today we’re turning our attention to a classic London derby where the odds might suggest otherwise, but the data tells a story of hidden value. Fulham, our spirited underdogs, host Chelsea at Craven Cottage. While the Blues are priced as favourites…

Form & key stats

Last 10 matches, all competitions

Fulham

4W 3D 3L1.50 pts/game

Chelsea

4W 2D 4L1.40 pts/game

Per game

Fulham at home vs Chelsea away

Bold green marks the stronger number on each row. Both-teams-scored is shown without a side.

Elo ratings

Before the match · within Premier League

Overall edge
+5Fulham
Venue edge
+2Chelsea
Rating period
Match snapshot
Fulham versus Chelsea: long term Elo, before the match
FulhamHomeRatingChelseaAway
Strength
1,588Overall1,583
1,584Match venue1,585
1,584At home1,617
1,514Away1,585
Attack & defence
1,500Attack1,539
1,591Defence1,554
1,537Home attack1,545
1,472Away attack1,549
1,592Home defence1,588
1,534Away defence1,548
Match profile
1,828Goal environment2,062
1,700Home goals1,778
1,628Away goals1,783
1,509Possession1,536
Specialist ratings
1,485Set-piece attack1,542
1,485Set-piece defence1,541
1,546Close games1,544
1,601Winning margin1,588

Match venue compares Fulham at home with Chelsea away. Green marks the higher rating; a new team starts at 1500.

Match profile rows describe the game, not team strength: a higher goal environment means higher-scoring matches.

Starting Lineups

FulhamFulham1:1

Starting XI

1B. LenoG
33A. RobinsonD
17A. IwobiM
8C. PalaciosM
7G. GarciaF
4J. CuencaD
16S. BergeM
24J. KingM
3C. BasseyD
14O. BobbM
21T. CastagneD

ChelseaChelsea1:1

Starting XI

1R. SanchezG
6L. ColwillD
21J. HatoM
17M. RogersF
9Joao PedroF
5M. LacroixD
45R. LaviaM
10C. PalmerF
34J. AcheampongD
24R. JamesM
27M. GustoM