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Match analysis

EnglandPremier League

Chelsea vs Brighton

Tipster previews, form, Elo ratings and the best odds for this Premier League fixture.

Full time4:3HT 3–1

Match Timeline

4'
R. Lavia⚽
Normal Goal
14'
P. Neto⚽
Normal Goal → M. Rogers
32'
Joao Pedro⚽
Normal Goal → J. Hato
35'
M. Yalcouye⚽
Normal Goal
55'
Wesley Fofana🟨
Yellow Card
63'
Joao Pedro⚽
Own Goal
68'
R. Lavia🔄
Substitution 1 → R. James
68'
W. Fofana🔄
Substitution 2 → J. Acheampong
68'
P. Neto🔄
Substitution 3 → M. Caicedo
70'
Lewis Dunk🟨
Yellow Card
72'
L. Colwill🔄
Substitution 4 → P. Chavarria
74'
M. Yalcouye🔄
Substitution 1 → I. Osman
74'
C. Palmer⚽
Normal Goal → Joao Pedro
80'
M. Wieffer🔄
Substitution 2 → Costinha
80'
C. Kostoulas🔄
Substitution 3 → P. David
82'
Unknown Player🔄
Substitution 5 → V. Barco
89'
Olivier Boscagli🟨
Yellow Card
90'
P. Gross⚽
Normal Goal
90+1'
Costinha🟨
Yellow Card

Match Statistics

6Shots on Goal6
5Shots off Goal8
17Total Shots15
6Blocked Shots1
15Shots insidebox13
2Shots outsidebox2
6Fouls12
4Corner Kicks7
26Ball Possession74
1Yellow Cards3
4Goalkeeper Saves1
218Total passes628
147Passes accurate550
67Passes %88
2.97expected_goals1.56
-1.6goals_prevented-1.6

Tipster previews (2)

PajimonWon

Chelsea vs Brighton | Premier League Prediction

The pickChelsea win

Chance
67%
Odds
1.94
Model EV
+30.0%

Listen up, because we're about to talk about some real meat and potatoes football. Chelsea are stepping up at home to face Brighton, and if you're looking for a winner, you've come to the right place. We don't do vegetables here; we only care about the goals, the grit, and the…

Form & key stats

Last 10 matches, all competitions

Chelsea

6W 1D 3L1.90 pts/game

Brighton

6W 2D 2L2.00 pts/game

Per game

Chelsea at home vs Brighton away

Bold green marks the stronger number on each row. Both-teams-scored is shown without a side.

Elo ratings

Before the match · within Premier League

Overall edge
+28Brighton
Venue edge
+72Chelsea
Rating period
Match snapshot
Chelsea versus Brighton: long term Elo, before the match
ChelseaHomeRatingBrightonAway
Strength
1,599Overall1,627
1,617Match venue1,545
1,617At home1,635
1,598Away1,545
Attack & defence
1,557Attack1,564
1,547Defence1,619
1,545Home attack1,569
1,566Away attack1,528
1,588Home defence1,611
1,543Away defence1,571
Match profile
2,070Goal environment1,685
1,778Home goals1,573
1,792Away goals1,612
1,533Possession1,529
Specialist ratings
1,537Set-piece attack1,498
1,536Set-piece defence1,498
1,559Close games1,548
1,604Winning margin1,655

Match venue compares Chelsea at home with Brighton away. Green marks the higher rating; a new team starts at 1500.

Match profile rows describe the game, not team strength: a higher goal environment means higher-scoring matches.

Starting Lineups

ChelseaChelsea1:1

Starting XI

26Emiliano MartínezG
6Levi ColwillD
21Jorrel HatoM
17Morgan RogersF
9João PedroF
5Maxence LacroixD
45Roméo LaviaM
10Cole PalmerF
3Wesley FofanaD
27Malo GustoM
7Pedro NetoM

BrightonBrighton1:1

Starting XI

1Bart VerbruggenG
24Ferdi KadıoğluD
21Olivier BoscagliM
29Maxim De CuyperM
19Charalampos KostoulasF
5Lewis DunkD
13Pascal GroßM
35Malick YalcouyéM
44Luka VuškovićD
25Diego GómezM
27Mats WiefferD