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Match analysis

EnglandPremier League

Leeds vs Brentford

Tipster previews, form, Elo ratings and the best odds for this Premier League fixture.

Full time1:1HT 0–1

Match Timeline

30'
J. Anthony🟨
Yellow Card
34'
J. Rodon🔄
Substitution 1 → N. Elvedi
41'
K. Schade⚽
Normal Goal → K. Lewis-Potter
46'
B. Aaronson🔄
Substitution 2 → H. Wilson
46'
J. Bijol🔄
Substitution 3 → A. Tanaka
61'
J. Anthony🔄
Substitution 1 → D. Ouattara
68'
J. Bogle🔄
Substitution 4 → D. James
69'
N. Okafor🔄
Substitution 5 → L. Nmecha
69'
M. Damsgaard🔄
Substitution 2 → Y. Yarmolyuk
74'
K. Ajer🟨
Yellow Card
76'
V. Janelt🟨
Yellow Card
79'
D. Calvert-Lewin⚽
Normal Goal → L. Nmecha
88'
K. Lewis-Potter🔄
Substitution 3 → R. Henry
88'
K. Schade🔄
Substitution 4 → A. Hickey
88'
M. Kayode🔄
Substitution 5 → C. Wilson
90+3'
N. Collins🟨
Yellow Card

Match Statistics

2Shots on Goal5
5Shots off Goal6
13Total Shots22
6Blocked Shots11
6Shots insidebox18
7Shots outsidebox4
5Fouls13
5Corner Kicks6
2Offsides0
47Ball Possession53
0Yellow Cards4
4Goalkeeper Saves1
365Total passes417
278Passes accurate327
76Passes %78
1.46expected_goals1.56
0.24goals_prevented0.24

Tipster preview

The Big "O"Lost

Leeds vs Brentford | Goal Explosion Expected

The pickOver 2 5

Chance
62%
Odds
1.94
Model EV
+20.3%

Listen up, fans! If you’re looking for a snooze-fest, you’ve come to the wrong place. The Big O is here to ensure we avoid those dry, 0-0 stalemates like the plague. We’re looking for action, and today’s fixture between Leeds and Brentford is practically begging for it. Life is…

Form & key stats

Last 10 matches, all competitions

Leeds

7W 1D 2L2.20 pts/game

Brentford

5W 3D 2L1.80 pts/game

Per game

Leeds at home vs Brentford away

Bold green marks the stronger number on each row. Both-teams-scored is shown without a side.

Elo ratings

Before the match · within Premier League

Overall edge
+28Brentford
Venue edge
+19Leeds
Rating period
Match snapshot
Leeds versus Brentford: long term Elo, before the match
LeedsHomeRatingBrentfordAway
Strength
1,593Overall1,622
1,560Match venue1,541
1,560At home1,605
1,475Away1,541
Attack & defence
1,521Attack1,556
1,573Defence1,583
1,520Home attack1,590
1,490Away attack1,493
1,557Home defence1,560
1,500Away defence1,555
Match profile
1,752Goal environment1,762
1,583Home goals1,653
1,668Away goals1,608
1,477Possession1,490
Specialist ratings
1,478Set-piece attack1,478
1,479Set-piece defence1,479
1,545Close games1,557
1,602Winning margin1,646

Match venue compares Leeds at home with Brentford away. Green marks the higher rating; a new team starts at 1500.

Match profile rows describe the game, not team strength: a higher goal environment means higher-scoring matches.

Starting Lineups

LeedsLeeds1:1

Starting XI

1James TraffordG
5Tarik MuharemovićD
24James JustinM
19Noah OkaforF
9Dominic Calvert-LewinF
15Jaka BijolD
18Anton StachM
11Brenden AaronsonF
6Joe RodonD
4Ethan AmpaduM
2Jayden BogleM

BrentfordBrentford1:1

Starting XI

1Caoimhin KelleherG
23Keane Lewis-PotterD
27Vitaly JaneltM
7Kevin SchadeM
9Igor ThiagoF
22Nathan CollinsD
18Mamadou SangareM
24Mikkel DamsgaardM
20Kristoffer AjerD
19Jaidon AnthonyM
33Michael KayodeD