Match analysis
EnglandPremier League
Tipster previews, form, Elo ratings and the best odds for this Premier League fixture.
D. Ndoye⚽
Florian Wirtz⚽Igor Jesus🟨Ola Aina🟨Víctor Muñoz🟨Florian Wirtz🟨A. Isak⚽D. Ndoye🔄Alisson🟨M. Gibbs-WhiteM. Kerkez🔄J. Frimpong🔄C. Gakpo🔄J. Jacquet🔄A. Mac Allister🔄Ronald Araújo🟨V. Munoz⚽O. Aina🔄J. McAtee🔄Igor Jesus🔄
Value VinnyWonThe pickOver 2 5
Odds don’t lie — but bookies do. As Value Vinny, my job isn’t to follow the hype or the narrative; it’s to hunt down mathematical edges where the market has mispriced the probability. For this Premier League fixture between Liverpool and Nottingham Forest, the numbers tell a…
Bold green marks the stronger number on each row. Both-teams-scored is shown without a side.
| LiverpoolHome | Rating | Nottingham ForestAway |
|---|---|---|
| Strength | ||
| 1,647 | Overall | 1,572 |
| 1,763 | Match venue | 1,558 |
| 1,763 | At home | 1,516 |
| 1,623 | Away | 1,558 |
| Attack & defence | ||
| 1,610 | Attack | 1,521 |
| 1,564 | Defence | 1,601 |
| 1,621 | Home attack | 1,440 |
| 1,620 | Away attack | 1,567 |
| 1,642 | Home defence | 1,603 |
| 1,526 | Away defence | 1,536 |
| Match profile | ||
| 2,520 | Goal environment | 1,635 |
| 1,965 | Home goals | 1,498 |
| 2,055 | Away goals | 1,637 |
| 1,542 | Possession | 1,480 |
| Specialist ratings | ||
| 1,550 | Set-piece attack | 1,517 |
| 1,548 | Set-piece defence | 1,517 |
| 1,555 | Close games | 1,501 |
| 1,670 | Winning margin | 1,601 |
Match venue compares Liverpool at home with Nottingham Forest away. Green marks the higher rating; a new team starts at 1500.
Match profile rows describe the game, not team strength: a higher goal environment means higher-scoring matches.
Liverpool1:1Nottingham Forest1:1
