Skip to main content

Match analysis

EnglandPremier League

Brighton vs Leeds

Tipster previews, form, Elo ratings and the best odds for this Premier League fixture.

Full time1:1HT 0–1

Match Timeline

6'
Jayden Bogle🟨
Yellow Card
15'
Jayden Bogle⚽
Normal Goal → Ao Tanaka
38'
Pascal Groß🟨
Yellow Card
49'
Maxim De Cuyper🟨
Yellow Card
61'
Jayden Bogle🔄
Substitution 1 → Jaka Bijol
62'
Noah Okafor🔄
Substitution 2 → Brenden Aaronson
64'
Dominic Calvert-Lewin🟨
Yellow Card
71'
Luka Vuskovic⚽
Normal Goal → Maxim De Cuyper
73'
Ao Tanaka🔄
Substitution 3 → Harry Wilson
73'
Dominic Calvert-Lewin🔄
Substitution 4 → Lukas Nmecha
77'
Maxim De Cuyper🔄
Substitution 1 → Promise David
78'
Ferdi Kadıoğlu🔄
Substitution 2 → Costinha
85'
Harry Wilson🟨
Yellow Card
88'
Promise David🟨
Yellow Card
90+3'
Olivier Boscagli🔄
Substitution 3 → Pascal Struijk

Match Statistics

437Passes accurate171
11Shots insidebox10
9Shots outsidebox0
7Blocked Shots1
15Free Kicks13
5Shots on Goal5
3Goalkeeper Saves4
8Shots off Goal4
4Offsides2
522Total passes252
20Total Shots10
3Yellow Cards3
7Corner Kicks6
13Fouls16
0Red Cards0
67Ball Possession33

Tipster previews (2)

Mr SimpleLost

Brighton vs Leeds: The Seaside Stronghold

The pickBrighton win

Chance
68%
Odds
1.90
Model EV
+29.2%

Right then, listen up! We’ve got a proper clash on our hands as Brighton host Leeds here at the seaside. If you’re looking for a bit of action and some decent value, you’ve come to the right place. Brighton are absolute monsters when they’re playing on their own patch. They’ve…

PajimonLost

Brighton's Home Fortress vs Leeds

The pickBrighton win

Chance
65%
Odds
1.90
Model EV
+23.5%

Listen up, people. If you’re looking for the real meat of this Premier League fixture, you’ve come to the right place. I don’t do vegetables, and I don’t do fluff. We’re looking at Brighton vs Leeds, and the numbers are screaming one thing: Brighton’s home turf is a fortress…

Form & key stats

Last 10 matches, all competitions

Brighton

5W 2D 3L1.70 pts/game

Leeds

6W 2D 2L2.00 pts/game

Per game

Brighton at home vs Leeds away

Bold green marks the stronger number on each row. Both-teams-scored is shown without a side.

Elo ratings

Before the match · within Premier League

Overall edge
+15Brighton
Venue edge
+159Brighton
Rating period
Match snapshot
Brighton versus Leeds: long term Elo, before the match
BrightonHomeRatingLeedsAway
Strength
1,610Overall1,595
1,635Match venue1,475
1,635At home1,560
1,535Away1,475
Attack & defence
1,579Attack1,519
1,602Defence1,577
1,569Home attack1,516
1,545Away attack1,490
1,611Home defence1,559
1,556Away defence1,500
Match profile
1,697Goal environment1,750
1,573Home goals1,582
1,623Away goals1,668
1,534Possession1,477
Specialist ratings
1,504Set-piece attack1,477
1,504Set-piece defence1,478
1,533Close games1,546
1,637Winning margin1,604

Match venue compares Brighton at home with Leeds away. Green marks the higher rating; a new team starts at 1500.

Match profile rows describe the game, not team strength: a higher goal environment means higher-scoring matches.

Starting Lineups

BrightonBrighton1:1

Starting XI

1B. VerbruggenG
21O. BoscagliD
26Y. AyariM
29M. De CuyperM
19C. KostoulasF
5L. DunkD
13P. GroßM
35M. YalcouyéM
44L. VuškovićD
25D. GómezM
24F. KadıoğluD

LeedsLeeds1:1

Starting XI

1J. TraffordG
5T. MuharemovićD
3G. GudmundssonM
19N. OkaforF
30N. ElvediD
22A. TanakaM
9D. Calvert-LewinF
24J. JustinD
4E. AmpaduM
18A. StachM
2J. BogleM