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Match analysis

EnglandPremier League

Aston Villa vs Nottingham Forest

Tipster previews, form, Elo ratings and the best odds for this Premier League fixture.

Match Timeline

25'
Pau Torres🔄
Substitution 1 → Tyrone Mings
43'
Dan Ndoye🟨
Yellow Card
45'
Nicolas Jackson🟨
Yellow Card
45'
Nicolas Jackson🔄
Substitution 2 → Tammy Abraham
45'
George Hemmings🔄
Substitution 3 → Alysson Edward Franco da Rocha
45+3'
Murillo Santiago🟨
Yellow Card
46'
Liam Delap⚽
Normal Goal → Murillo Santiago
56'
Xaver Schlager🟨
Yellow Card
63'
Emiliano Buendía🔄
Substitution 4 → Ibrahim Mbaye
63'
Ross Barkley🔄
Substitution 5 → Johan Manzambi
74'
Alysson Edward Franco da Rocha⚽
Normal Goal → John McGinn
74'
Liam Delap🟨
Yellow Card
75'
Dan Ndoye🔄
Substitution 1 → Igor Jesus
80'
James Mcatee🟨
Yellow Card
82'
James Mcatee🔄
Substitution 2 → Ibrahim Sangaré
88'
Igor Jesus⚽
Normal Goal → Morgan Gibbs-White
90+1'
Liam Delap🔄
Substitution 3 → Chris Wood
90+5'
Tyrone Mings🟨
Yellow Card

Match Statistics

346Passes accurate309
6Shots insidebox14
1Shots outsidebox8
1Blocked Shots3
16Free Kicks11
5Shots on Goal7
5Goalkeeper Saves5
1Shots off Goal12
421Total passes360
7Total Shots22
2Yellow Cards5
6Corner Kicks1
0Offsides4
11Fouls16
0Red Cards0
53Ball Possession47

Tipster previews (3)

Mr SimpleLost

Villa's Goal Drought vs Forest's Gritty Away Form

The pickUnder 2 5

Chance
75%
Odds
1.91
Model EV
+43.3%

Alright, listen up! We’ve got a bit of a tricky one on the hands today with Aston Villa hosting Nottingham Forest. Now, if you look at the history books, Villa usually have Forest on a string at home—they’ve won every single time they’ve met at this ground. But, we don't live in…

Form & key stats

Last 10 matches, all competitions

Aston Villa

2W 3D 5L0.90 pts/game

Nottingham Forest

3W 3D 4L1.20 pts/game

Per game

Aston Villa at home vs Nottingham Forest away

Bold green marks the stronger number on each row. Both-teams-scored is shown without a side.

Elo ratings

Before the match · within Premier League

Overall edge
+55Aston Villa
Venue edge
+112Aston Villa
Rating period
Match snapshot
Aston Villa versus Nottingham Forest: long term Elo, before the match
Aston VillaHomeRatingNottingham ForestAway
Strength
1,626Overall1,571
1,677Match venue1,565
1,677At home1,516
1,571Away1,565
Attack & defence
1,521Attack1,512
1,581Defence1,606
1,579Home attack1,429
1,485Away attack1,576
1,601Home defence1,614
1,558Away defence1,535
Match profile
1,853Goal environment1,632
1,710Home goals1,490
1,643Away goals1,642
1,517Possession1,477
Specialist ratings
1,507Set-piece attack1,511
1,507Set-piece defence1,512
1,624Close games1,502
1,625Winning margin1,599

Match venue compares Aston Villa at home with Nottingham Forest away. Green marks the higher rating; a new team starts at 1500.

Match profile rows describe the game, not team strength: a higher goal environment means higher-scoring matches.

Starting Lineups

Aston VillaAston Villa1:1

Starting XI

1Z. SuzukiG
22I. MaatsenD
6R. BarkleyM
53George HemmingsM
11N. JacksonF
14Pau TorresD
8B. KamaraM
10E. BuendíaM
3V. LindelöfD
7J. McGinnM
29A. Wan-BissakaD

Nottingham ForestNottingham Forest1:1

Starting XI

26M. SelsG
5MurilloD
3N. WilliamsM
10M. Gibbs-WhiteM
19L. DelapF
2O. DiomandeD
21X. SchlagerM
14D. NdoyeM
34O. AinaD
24J. McAteeM
27D. MuñozM