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Match analysis

EnglandPremier League

Liverpool vs Manchester City

Tipster previews, form, Elo ratings and the best odds for this Premier League fixture.

Tipster previews (6)

Pajimon

Manchester City's Five-Win Run Heads to Liverpool

The pickManchester City win

Chance
43%
Odds
2.67
Model EV
+14.8%

Pajimon here, and this one is a proper meaty fixture. Liverpool and Manchester City, Premier League, 11 October 2026. You can smell the braai smoke from here, and I'm not talking about politics — I'm talking about football. Manchester City are in a state, and I don't mean the…

Form & key stats

Last 10 matches, all competitions

Liverpool

4W 6D 0L1.80 pts/game

Manchester City

7W 2D 1L2.30 pts/game

Per game

Liverpool at home vs Manchester City away

Bold green marks the stronger number on each row. Both-teams-scored is shown without a side.

Elo ratings

Before the match · within Premier League

Overall edge
+148Manchester City
Venue edge
+27Liverpool
Rating period
Liverpool versus Manchester City: long term Elo, before the match
LiverpoolHomeRatingManchester CityAway
Strength
1,662Overall1,810
1,748Match venue1,721
1,748At home1,825
1,639Away1,721
Attack & defence
1,590Attack1,665
1,594Defence1,674
1,604Home attack1,711
1,613Away attack1,595
1,642Home defence1,656
1,550Away defence1,675
Match profile
2,510Goal environment2,662
1,962Home goals2,342
2,048Away goals1,820
1,544Possession1,559
Specialist ratings
1,534Set-piece attack1,576
1,533Set-piece defence1,575
1,567Close games1,665
1,685Winning margin1,856

Match venue compares Liverpool at home with Manchester City away. Green marks the higher rating; a new team starts at 1500.

Match profile rows describe the game, not team strength: a higher goal environment means higher-scoring matches.

Starting lineups

Lineups are not available yet. They are usually confirmed about an hour before kick-off.