Sun, 30 Aug 2026, 17:15
Full Time

Match Timeline

8'
S. Saito
Normal Goal
25'
T. Hedl
Normal Goal → A. Ementa
48'
N. Bassette
Penalty
63'
T. Hedl
Normal Goal → A. Ementa
66'
Z. Atrok🔄
Substitution 1 → M. Mbaye
73'
N. Bassette🔄
Substitution 1 → I. Sakamoto
77'
D. Ourega🔄
Substitution 2 → L. Flo
79'
Y. Cappelle🔄
Substitution 2 → Y. Mbodji
82'
L. Flo🟨
Yellow Card
83'
T. Hedl🔄
Substitution 3 → S. Ujka
87'
C. Congreve🔄
Substitution 3 → T. Van den Keybus
87'
S. Saito🔄
Substitution 4 → D. Jochem

Match Statistics

7Shots on Goal5
5Shots off Goal7
16Total Shots14
4Blocked Shots2
11Shots insidebox11
5Shots outsidebox3
18Fouls12
3Corner Kicks8
2Offsides0
54Ball Possession46
1Yellow Cards0
3Goalkeeper Saves5
463Total passes375
394Passes accurate298
85Passes %79
2.16expected_goals1.51
-0.34goals_prevented-0.34

Starting Lineups

KVC WesterloKVC Westerlo1:1

Starting XI

99A. JungdalG
28D. OuregaD
12R. LaalaouiM
7S. SaitoM
9N. BassetteF
4A. LapageD
45I. FofanaM
14C. SandraM
5S. KimuraD
20C. CongreveM
23L. Mbamba-MuandaD

Zulte WaregemZulte Waregem1:1

Starting XI

1L. BostynG
55Y. CappelleD
11M. AkeM
21Z. AtrokF
5J. KiilerichD
6E. LofolomoM
18A. EmentaF
4L. LemoineD
8T. ClaesM
20T. HedlF
49F. TangalaD

Head-to-Head

📈 Team Form & Statistics

KVC Westerlo
KVC Westerlo
Form: L-L-L-L-D
Zulte Waregem
Zulte Waregem
Form: W-D-W-D-W
Record
1 W
4 D
5 L
7 W
3 D
0 L
Goals Per Game
0.8
Scored
vs
2.3
Scored
1.8
Conceded
vs
1.1
Conceded
Betting Indicators
Clean Sheets
40%
Clean Sheets
30%
BTTS
50%
BTTS
70%
Home/Away Performance
Scored
Home:0.5
Away:1.3
Conceded
Home:1.3
Away:2.5
Scored
Home:2.7
Away:1.8
Conceded
Home:1.3
Away:0.8

⚡ Elo Ratings

Long Term Elo Rating
1510
Average
1529
Average
Short Term Elo Rating
1530
↑ Momentum (+20)
1629
↑ Momentum (+101)
Expected Outcome
31%
Home Win
34%
Draw
35%
Away Win
Attack & Defence Elo
Long Term
1544
Attack
1548
1518
Defence
1540
Recent Form
1563
Attack
1596
1484
Defence
1603
Post-Match Changes
-2
Rating Change
0
Rating Change
Elo ratings measure team strength based on match results and opponent quality. Higher ratings indicate stronger teams.

📝 Match Preview

KVC Westerlo vs Zulte Waregem: Zulte Waregem to Dominate
Recommendation:AWAY_WIN
Odds:2.15
Expected Value:+24.7%
Confidence:8

Listen up, fans! We've got a clash in the Jupiler Pro League that looks like a massive mismatch on paper, and I'm here for it! We're looking at KVC Westerlo, who are currently sitting at the very bottom of the table in 18th place. They've played three games and haven't managed a single point—that’s a total disaster! They’re conceding nearly 2 goals per game on average and can't seem to find the back of the net consistently, with a win rate of only 10% over their last 10 outings. They look like they're struggling to keep their heads above water. On the other side, we’ve got Zulte Waregem, and these guys are absolutely on fire! They’re sitting in a comfortable 4th place with a massive 70% win rate over their last 10 matches. They aren't just winning; they're putting on a show, averaging over 2.30 goals per game while keeping their defense relatively tight. They’ve managed to stay unbeaten in their last 10 matches, including some heavy-hitting performances like that 4-0 demolition of SK Beveren. They are clinical, disciplined, and hungry for the top spots. When you look at the head-to-head history, these two teams usually provide plenty of goals for the fans. 70% of their previous meetings have gone over 2.5 goals, and a staggering 80% have seen both teams find the net. However, the current form is the real meat here. Zulte Waregem's away record is incredibly solid—they haven't lost in their last four trips out, maintaining a strong goal difference. Westerlo’s home form is another major red flag for anyone looking to back them. They haven't won a single home game in their last six, often settling for draws or getting hammered. With a goal expectancy of only 0.62 for the hosts compared to a much more threatening 1.54 for the visitors, the numbers tell a clear story. Zulte Waregem are facing a Westerlo side that looks completely overwhelmed. I’m looking for the visitors to take all three points here. It’s about time for some meat on the bones—Zulte Waregem are the clear choice to walk away with the win. Key Points: - KVC Westerlo is bottom of the league with 0 points from 3 matches. - Zulte Waregem is in excellent form, with 7 wins in their last 10 games. - Zulte Waregem averages 2.30 goals per game while Westerlo concedes 1.80. - Zulte Waregem remains unbeaten in their last 10 matches. - Head-to-head history shows a high frequency of goals (70% Over 2.5). The chosen bet is Away Win.

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📝 Match Preview

KVC Westerlo vs Zulte Waregem: A Tale of Two Leagues
Recommendation:AWAY_WIN
Odds:2.15
Expected Value:+50.5%
Confidence:8

Right then, let’s get stuck in. We’ve got KVC Westerlo hosting Zulte Waregem in the Jupiler Pro League, and if you’re looking for a proper mismatch, you’ve found it. Westerlo are currently looking a bit knackered, sitting at the very bottom of the table. They’ve managed zero points from their opening three matches, and their defense is looking a bit like a sieve, conceding 1.80 goals per game on average. They haven't managed a single home win in their last six outings, which isn't exactly the kind of record you want to see when the pressure is on. They're struggling to find any sort of rhythm or stability at the back. On the other side of the pitch, we’ve got Zulte Waregem, and they are having a proper cracking season so far. They’re sitting in 4th place, and the most impressive bit is that they haven't tasted defeat in their last 10 games. That’s a massive run of form, mate. They’re scoring goals for fun, averaging 2.30 goals per game, and they’ve managed to secure wins against some decent opposition. They’re clinical, they’re organized, and they know how to put a game away when it counts. They also boast a solid away record, remaining unbeaten in their last four trips from home. When these two meet, it’s often a bit of a goal-fest. Their head-to-head history shows that they’ve seen plenty of action, with both teams finding the net in 80% of their meetings. However, the current momentum is heavily skewed towards the visitors. Zulte Waregem are coming into this with a 70% win rate over their last 10, while Westerlo are struggling to keep things level, let alone get a result. With Westerlo's defensive woes and Zulte’s attacking prowess, this looks like a prime opportunity for a visitor victory. It’s about time for the form team to take the spoils. Key Points: - Zulte Waregem are unbeaten in their last 10 games. - KVC Westerlo are bottom of the league with 0 points from 3 games. - Westerlo have failed to win any of their last 6 home matches. - Zulte Waregem average 2.30 goals per game in their recent form. - Head-to-head history shows a high tendency for both teams to score. The best bet here is Away Win.

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📝 Match Preview

Zulte Waregem Set to Dismantle a Struggling Westerlo
Recommendation:AWAY_WIN
Odds:2.15
Expected Value:+39.8%
Confidence:8

The numbers don't lie, and right now, they are screaming 'Away Win.' KVC Westerlo is currently languishing at the bottom of the Jupiler Pro League table, having failed to secure a single point in their opening three fixtures. They aren't just struggling; they're drowning. With a win rate of a measly 10% over their last 10 games and a home win percentage of 0% in their last six home outings, Westerlo's defensive structure is looking more like a sieve than a wall. On the other side of the pitch, Zulte Waregem is playing a different game entirely. They are sitting comfortably in 4th place, boasting a 70% win rate over their last 10 matches. They aren't just winning; they are winning convincingly, averaging 2.30 goals per game. While the bookies might be trying to lure you into a 'Both Teams to Score' or 'Over 2.5 Goals' trap with short odds, the real value lies in the outcome. Let's look at the goal expectancy. The Poisson inputs project a 0.62 goal expectation for Westerlo and a significant 1.54 for Zulte Waregem. Zulte's away form is particularly robust, conceding only 0.75 goals per game on the road while consistently finding the back of the net. Westerlo, conversely, is struggling to produce anything meaningful at home, averaging a paltry 0.50 goals per game. The head-to-head history shows a relatively balanced past, but form is temporary, and current momentum is everything. Zulte Waregem's trajectory is pointing straight up, while Westerlo is searching for a floor. The market is offering 2.15 for an Away Win, which represents a massive discrepancy from the statistical reality of this matchup. We are looking at a significant positive EV here. Key Points: - Zulte Waregem sits in 4th place (7 pts) while Westerlo is bottom of the table (0 pts). - Zulte Waregem has a 70% win rate in their last 10 games. - Westerlo has failed to win any of their last 6 home matches. - Goal expectancy favors Zulte Waregem significantly (1.54 vs 0.62). - Zulte Waregem's away defense is elite, conceding just 0.75 goals per game. The smart money is on the visitors to take all three points.

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