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Match analysis

EnglandChampionship

Bolton vs Preston

Tipster previews, form, Elo ratings and the best odds for this Championship fixture.

Full time2:1HT 2–0

Match Timeline

13'
Ali McCann🟨
Yellow Card
14'
Sam Dalby⚽
Normal Goal
25'
Thierry Gale⚽
Normal Goal → John McAtee
27'
Jordan Thompson🟨
Yellow Card
42'
Pol Valentín🟨
Yellow Card
48'
Josh Sheehan🟨
Yellow Card
63'
Jordan Thompson🔄
Substitution 1 → Leo Leroy
64'
Pol Valentín🔄
Substitution 2 → Odeluga Offiah
64'
Callum Lang🔄
Substitution 3 → Jusef Erabi
75'
Gaizka Larrazabal🔄
Substitution 1 → Samuel Iling Junior
75'
John McAtee🔄
Substitution 2 → Ryan Hardie
79'
Delano Burgzorg🔄
Substitution 4 → Thierry Small
79'
Andrew Hughes🔄
Substitution 5 → Andrija Vukčević
82'
Max Conway🔄
Substitution 3 → Eoin Toal
85'
Luca Stephenson🔄
Substitution 4 → Lewis Brunt
85'
Thierry Gale🔄
Substitution 5 → Kyliane Dong
86'
Jusef Erabi⚽
Normal Goal → Andrija Vukčević
88'
Chris Forino🟨
Yellow Card

Match Statistics

6Shots on Goal3
9Shots off Goal3
15Total Shots9
1Blocked Shots3
7Shots insidebox8
8Shots outsidebox1
12Fouls11
5Corner Kicks2
3Offsides7
55Ball Possession45
2Yellow Cards3
2Goalkeeper Saves3
405Total passes330
313Passes accurate232
77Passes %70
1.1expected_goals0.81
-0.09goals_prevented-0.09

Tipster previews (6)

OracleWon

Bolton vs Preston: The Wisdom of the Home Advantage

The pickBolton win

Chance
58%
Odds
2.20
Model EV
+27.6%

The passage of time reveals what the eye cannot immediately see. When I observe the trajectory of Bolton Wanderers, I see a side that has forged a sanctuary upon their own turf. In the quiet accumulation of recent matches, a pattern emerges: a 75 percent victory rate across…

Mr SimpleWon

Bolton vs Preston Prediction & Betting Tips

The pickBolton win

Chance
65%
Odds
2.20
Model EV
+43.0%

Alright lads, settle down and grab a pint. We’ve got a Championship clash brewing up at Bolton’s place against Preston, and frankly, the maths are screaming one thing before we even kick off. Bolton have been absolute bricks at home lately, keeping a clean sheet in half their…

Form & key stats

Last 10 matches, all competitions

Bolton

6W 2D 2L2.00 pts/game

Preston

2W 2D 6L0.80 pts/game

Per game

Bolton at home vs Preston away

Bold green marks the stronger number on each row. Both-teams-scored is shown without a side.

Elo ratings

Before the match · within Championship

Overall edge
+187Preston
Venue edge
+111Preston
Rating period
Match snapshot
Bolton versus Preston: long term Elo, before the match
BoltonHomeRatingPrestonAway
Strength
1,268Overall1,455
1,363Match venue1,474
1,363At home1,473
1,313Away1,474
Attack & defence
1,293Attack1,456
1,433Defence1,472
1,330Home attack1,442
1,339Away attack1,457
1,466Home defence1,500
1,433Away defence1,498
Match profile
1,540Goal environment1,383
1,437Home goals1,478
1,603Away goals1,405
1,500Possession1,478
Specialist ratings
1,500Set-piece attack1,443
1,500Set-piece defence1,443
1,403Close games1,496
1,232Winning margin1,442

Match venue compares Bolton at home with Preston away. Green marks the higher rating; a new team starts at 1500.

Match profile rows describe the game, not team strength: a higher goal environment means higher-scoring matches.

Starting Lineups

BoltonBoltonUnknown

Starting XI

1Jack BonhamG
27Luca StephensonD
3Chris ForinoD
14Akin FamewoD
25Max ConwayD
8Josh SheehanM
21Ethan ErhahonM
22Gaizka LarrazabalM
45John McAteeM
11Thierry GaleM
10Sam DalbyF

PrestonPrestonUnknown

Starting XI

1Daniel IversenG
2Pol ValentínD
14Jordan StoreyD
6Liam LindsayD
16Andrew HughesD
8Ali McCannM
15Jordan ThompsonM
7Alfie DevineM
10Callum LangM
37Delano BurgzorgM
28Milutin OsmajićF