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Match analysis

EnglandChampionship

Watford vs Southampton

Tipster previews, form, Elo ratings and the best odds for this Championship fixture.

Full time2:1HT 2–0

Match Timeline

8'
Hector Kyprianou🟨
Yellow Card
12'
Iker Bravo⚽
Normal Goal
13'
Matthew Pollock🟨
Yellow Card
14'
Cyle Larin🟨
Yellow Card
18'
James Bree🟨
Yellow Card
24'
Marc Bola🔄
Substitution 1 → Jordan Zemura
29'
Amin Nabizada⚽
Normal Goal
43'
Amin Nabizada🟨
Yellow Card
56'
Cyle Larin⚽
Normal Goal → Cameron Bragg
57'
Lewis Dobbin🔄
Substitution 1 → Finn Azaz
61'
Iker Bravo🔄
Substitution 2 → Martín Payero
61'
Amin Nabizada🔄
Substitution 3 → Michael Adu-Poku
61'
Edoardo Bove🔄
Substitution 4 → Edo Kayembe
70'
Cameron Bragg🔄
Substitution 2 → Samuel Edozie
70'
Cyle Larin🔄
Substitution 3 → Divin Mubama
72'
Mamadou Doumbia🟨
Yellow Card
74'
Othmane Maamma🟨
Yellow Card
74'
Flynn Downes🟨
Yellow Card
77'
Othmane Maamma🔄
Substitution 5 → Rocco Vata
84'
Martín Payero🟨
Yellow Card
89'
Kuryu Matsuki🔄
Substitution 4 → Ben Brereton Díaz

Match Statistics

4Shots on Goal3
5Shots off Goal8
16Total Shots17
7Blocked Shots6
11Shots insidebox11
5Shots outsidebox6
12Fouls9
4Corner Kicks8
0Offsides3
34Ball Possession66
6Yellow Cards3
2Goalkeeper Saves2
267Total passes513
209Passes accurate450
78Passes %88
0.83expected_goals1.65
-1.17goals_prevented-1.17

Tipster previews (5)

OracleLost

Oracle's Championship Preview: Watford vs Southampton

The pickSouthampton win

Chance
65%
Odds
2.10
Model EV
+36.5%

The seasons turn, yet the pitch reveals the same unyielding truths to those who know how to look. At Vicarage Road, the gulf between these two sides is not merely a matter of recent form, but of structural reality. Watford find themselves in a season of quiet struggle. Over…

PajimonLost

Southampton vs Watford Prediction & Betting Tips

The pickSouthampton win

Chance
58%
Odds
2.10
Model EV
+21.8%

G'day boet, Pajimon here. If you’re looking for a proper weekend braai and a bet that actually puts money on the table, you’ve come to the right place. We’re heading to Vicarage Road for a Championship opener that screams value on the road. No vegetables on the grill today, just…

Form & key stats

Last 10 matches, all competitions

Watford

2W 1D 7L0.70 pts/game

Southampton

5W 4D 1L1.90 pts/game

Per game

Watford at home vs Southampton away

Bold green marks the stronger number on each row. Both-teams-scored is shown without a side.

Elo ratings

Before the match · within Championship

Overall edge
+224Southampton
Venue edge
+72Southampton
Rating period
Match snapshot
Watford versus Southampton: long term Elo, before the match
WatfordHomeRatingSouthamptonAway
Strength
1,423Overall1,646
1,521Match venue1,592
1,521At home1,617
1,408Away1,592
Attack & defence
1,412Attack1,578
1,477Defence1,574
1,442Home attack1,566
1,424Away attack1,562
1,555Home defence1,597
1,453Away defence1,517
Match profile
1,675Goal environment1,668
1,575Home goals1,583
1,600Away goals1,585
1,506Possession1,534
Specialist ratings
1,484Set-piece attack1,526
1,484Set-piece defence1,526
1,491Close games1,577
1,402Winning margin1,670

Match venue compares Watford at home with Southampton away. Green marks the higher rating; a new team starts at 1500.

Match profile rows describe the game, not team strength: a higher goal environment means higher-scoring matches.

Starting Lineups

WatfordWatford1:1

Starting XI

1Federico RavagliaG
16Marc BolaD
5Hector KyprianouM
7Othmane MaammaM
20Mamadou DoumbiaF
4Kévin Keben BiakoloD
8Edoardo BoveM
17Iker BravoM
6Matthew PollockD
21Amin NabizadaM
23Omar Haktab TraoreD

SouthamptonSouthampton1:1

Starting XI

1Daniel PeretzG
3Ryan ManningD
4Flynn DownesM
11Lewis DobbinM
9Cyle LarinF
5Jack StephensD
26Cameron BraggM
7Leo ScienzaM
6Taylor Harwood-BellisD
27Kuryu MatsukiM
14James BreeD