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Match analysis

EnglandChampionship

Birmingham vs Bristol City

Tipster previews, form, Elo ratings and the best odds for this Championship fixture.

Full time2:2HT 1–1

Match Timeline

32'
Bright Osayi-Samuel🟨
Yellow Card
33'
Scott Twine⚽
Normal Goal
42'
Sam Tickle⚽
Own Goal
46'
Bright Osayi-Samuel🔄
Substitution 1 → Ethan Laird
62'
Carlos Vicente🔄
Substitution 2 → Demarai Gray
62'
Seung Ho Paik🔄
Substitution 3 → Patrick Roberts
65'
Jed Wallace🔄
Substitution 1 → Tomi Horvat
65'
Lorent Tolaj🔄
Substitution 2 → Dominic Ballard
71'
Scott Twine🔄
Substitution 3 → Sam Greenwood
71'
Joe Williams🔄
Substitution 4 → Gibson Yah
78'
Patrick Roberts🟨
Yellow Card
79'
August Priske🔄
Substitution 4 → Luis Vázquez
84'
Jay Stansfield🔄
Substitution 5 → Marvin Ducksch
85'
Dominic Ballard⚽
Normal Goal → Rio Cardines
90'
Yu Hirakawa🔄
Substitution 5 → Robert Atkinson
90+5'
Demarai Gray
Penalty
90+6'
Jason Knight🟨
Yellow Card

Match Statistics

2Shots on Goal6
5Shots off Goal6
8Total Shots14
1Blocked Shots2
6Shots insidebox12
2Shots outsidebox2
13Fouls12
7Corner Kicks3
2Offsides1
65Ball Possession35
2Yellow Cards1
4Goalkeeper Saves1
468Total passes257
355Passes accurate163
76Passes %63
1.98expected_goals1.43
-0.75goals_prevented-0.75

Tipster preview

Mr SimpleLost

Birmingham vs Bristol City Preview & Prediction

The pickBirmingham win

Chance
62%
Odds
1.75
Model EV
+8.5%

Right then, let’s get straight to the graft for this Championship clash. Birmingham are rolling in at home, and Bristol City are trying to pick up the pieces after a tough start. If you’re looking for a straightforward pick that backs the side with the better legs and the…

Form & key stats

Last 10 matches, all competitions

Birmingham

7W 3D 0L2.40 pts/game

Bristol City

3W 3D 4L1.20 pts/game

Per game

Birmingham at home vs Bristol City away

Bold green marks the stronger number on each row. Both-teams-scored is shown without a side.

Elo ratings

Before the match · within Championship

Overall edge
+33Birmingham
Venue edge
+70Birmingham
Rating period
Match snapshot
Birmingham versus Bristol City: long term Elo, before the match
BirminghamHomeRatingBristol CityAway
Strength
1,506Overall1,473
1,558Match venue1,488
1,558At home1,499
1,393Away1,488
Attack & defence
1,430Attack1,446
1,560Defence1,525
1,491Home attack1,466
1,371Away attack1,440
1,580Home defence1,535
1,491Away defence1,528
Match profile
1,522Goal environment1,715
1,510Home goals1,623
1,512Away goals1,592
1,517Possession1,498
Specialist ratings
1,557Set-piece attack1,487
1,556Set-piece defence1,488
1,499Close games1,504
1,507Winning margin1,466

Match venue compares Birmingham at home with Bristol City away. Green marks the higher rating; a new team starts at 1500.

Match profile rows describe the game, not team strength: a higher goal environment means higher-scoring matches.

Starting Lineups

BirminghamBirminghamUnknown

Starting XI

1James BeadleG
26Bright Osayi-SamuelD
5Phil NeumannD
4Christoph KlarerD
20Alex CochraneD
24Tomoki IwataM
14Jhon SolísM
7Carlos VicenteM
8Seung Ho PaikM
28Jay StansfieldM
9August PriskeF

Bristol CityBristol CityUnknown

Starting XI

1Sam TickleG
19George TannerD
16Rob DickieD
2Lisav Naif EissatD
21Rio CardinesD
12Jason KnightM
8Joe WilliamsM
17Jed WallaceM
10Scott TwineM
7Yu HirakawaM
9Lorent TolajF