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Match analysis

EnglandChampionship

Wrexham vs Watford

Tipster previews, form, Elo ratings and the best odds for this Championship fixture.

Full time1:1HT 1–1

Match Timeline

14'
Luca Kjerrumgaard⚽
Normal Goal → Omar Haktab Traore
20'
Nathan Broadhead🟨
Yellow Card
22'
Daniel Imray⚽
Normal Goal
45'
Omar Haktab Traore🔄
Substitution 1 → Albert Eames
58'
Othmane Maamma🔄
Substitution 2 → Martín Payero
63'
Kieffer Moore🔄
Substitution 1 → Sam Smith
67'
Amin Nabizada🔄
Substitution 3 → Mamadou Doumbia
67'
Edoardo Bove🔄
Substitution 4 → Edo Kayembe
67'
Luca Kjerrumgaard🔄
Substitution 5 → Rocco Vata
70'
Oliver Rathbone🔄
Substitution 2 → Bailey Cadamarteri
72'
Ben Whiteman🟨
Yellow Card
78'
Nathan Broadhead🔄
Substitution 3 → Matty James
78'
Daniel Imray🔄
Substitution 4 → Ryan Longman
90'
George Thomason🔄
Substitution 5 → Max Cleworth

Match Statistics

2Shots on Goal6
6Shots off Goal3
12Total Shots10
4Blocked Shots1
10Shots insidebox5
2Shots outsidebox5
13Fouls11
10Corner Kicks3
1Offsides0
59Ball Possession41
2Yellow Cards0
5Goalkeeper Saves1
479Total passes337
394Passes accurate245
82Passes %73
1.58expected_goals0.49
-0.37goals_prevented-0.37

Tipster previews (6)

Yoda Mc Yoda FaceLost

Wrexham vs Watford Preview & Betting Tip

The pickOver 2 5

Chance
68%
Odds
1.91
Model EV
+29.9%

Do or do not bet, there is no try... but hedge your bets, you should. In the early stages of the Championship season, the data reveals a clear path forward. Wrexham host Watford at the Racecourse, and while both sides have played just one league match, the underlying metrics…

Form & key stats

Last 10 matches, all competitions

Wrexham

3W 3D 4L1.20 pts/game

Watford

3W 1D 6L1.00 pts/game

Per game

Wrexham at home vs Watford away

Bold green marks the stronger number on each row. Both-teams-scored is shown without a side.

Elo ratings

Before the match · within Championship

Overall edge
+95Wrexham
Venue edge
+120Wrexham
Rating period
Match snapshot
Wrexham versus Watford: long term Elo, before the match
WrexhamHomeRatingWatfordAway
Strength
1,543Overall1,448
1,527Match venue1,408
1,527At home1,536
1,530Away1,408
Attack & defence
1,513Attack1,424
1,491Defence1,486
1,527Home attack1,450
1,488Away attack1,424
1,477Home defence1,560
1,517Away defence1,453
Match profile
1,548Goal environment1,677
1,555Home goals1,577
1,493Away goals1,600
1,492Possession1,503
Specialist ratings
1,490Set-piece attack1,481
1,490Set-piece defence1,481
1,555Close games1,510
1,537Winning margin1,428

Match venue compares Wrexham at home with Watford away. Green marks the higher rating; a new team starts at 1500.

Match profile rows describe the game, not team strength: a higher goal environment means higher-scoring matches.

Starting Lineups

WrexhamWrexhamUnknown

Starting XI

22Anthony PattersonG
26Zak VynerD
5Dominic HyamD
2Callum DoyleD
30Daniel ImrayM
8Ben WhitemanM
27Lewis O'BrienM
14George ThomasonM
20Oliver RathboneF
33Nathan BroadheadF
19Kieffer MooreF

WatfordWatfordUnknown

Starting XI

1Federico RavagliaG
23Omar Haktab TraoreD
6Matthew PollockD
4Kévin Keben BiakoloD
33Jordan ZemuraD
8Edoardo BoveM
5Hector KyprianouM
21Amin NabizadaM
17Iker BravoM
7Othmane MaammaM
9Luca KjerrumgaardF