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Match analysis

EnglandChampionship

Southampton vs Swansea

Tipster previews, form, Elo ratings and the best odds for this Championship fixture.

Full time3:1HT 2–0

Match Timeline

9'
Finn Azaz⚽
Normal Goal → Flynn Downes
33'
Cyle Larin⚽
Normal Goal → James Bree
45'
Joseph Amankwaah Opoku🔄
Substitution 1 → Ronald Pereira Martins
52'
Zan Vipotnik
Penalty
54'
Ronald Pereira Martins🟨
Yellow Card
63'
Jay Fulton🔄
Substitution 2 → melker widell
63'
Elijah Just🔄
Substitution 3 → Stephen Eustáquio
70'
Zan Vipotnik🔄
Substitution 4 → Adam Idah
76'
Tom Fellows🔄
Substitution 1 → Kuryu Matsuki
78'
Moussa Kounfolo Yeo🔄
Substitution 5 → Eom Ji-Sung
78'
Léo Scienza⚽
Normal Goal → Kuryu Matsuki
85'
Cyle Larin🔄
Substitution 2 → Divin Mubama
85'
Léo Scienza🔄
Substitution 3 → Samuel Edozie
90+2'
James Ward-Prowse🔄
Substitution 4 → Cameron Bragg

Match Statistics

384Passes accurate427
16Shots insidebox4
4Blocked Shots4
10Free Kicks10
4Shots on Goal2
1Goalkeeper Saves1
8Shots off Goal4
5Offsides3
449Total passes498
16Total Shots10
9Corner Kicks3
0Shots outsidebox6
0Yellow Cards1
10Fouls10
0Red Cards0
49Ball Possession51

Tipster previews (3)

Value VinnyWon

Southampton vs Swansea | Over 2.5 Goals Value

The pickOver 2 5

Chance
76%
Odds
1.76
Model EV
+33.8%

The Championship is often a league of gritty, low-scoring battles, but the numbers for Southampton vs Swansea tell a completely different story. While the league table shows a massive gulf—with Swansea sitting comfortably at the top (11 points) and Southampton struggling in 19th…

The Big "O"Won

Southampton vs Swansea: A Goal-Fest in the Making?

The pickOver 2 5

Chance
76%
Odds
1.76
Model EV
+33.8%

Listen up, football lovers! If you're looking for a snooze-fest, you're in the wrong place. We're talking about a clash where the goals are expected to flow like champagne at a victory party. Southampton at home are absolutely ruthless when it comes to finding the back of the…

Form & key stats

Last 10 matches, all competitions

Southampton

6W 2D 2L2.00 pts/game

Swansea

5W 2D 3L1.70 pts/game

Per game

Southampton at home vs Swansea away

Bold green marks the stronger number on each row. Both-teams-scored is shown without a side.

Elo ratings

Before the match · within Championship

Overall edge
+63Southampton
Venue edge
+133Southampton
Rating period
Match snapshot
Southampton versus Swansea: long term Elo, before the match
SouthamptonHomeRatingSwanseaAway
Strength
1,631Overall1,569
1,634Match venue1,501
1,634At home1,549
1,573Away1,501
Attack & defence
1,581Attack1,491
1,565Defence1,575
1,595Home attack1,485
1,545Away attack1,471
1,594Home defence1,580
1,517Away defence1,524
Match profile
1,683Goal environment1,527
1,600Home goals1,472
1,583Away goals1,555
1,537Possession1,530
Specialist ratings
1,538Set-piece attack1,477
1,537Set-piece defence1,477
1,554Close games1,527
1,661Winning margin1,580

Match venue compares Southampton at home with Swansea away. Green marks the higher rating; a new team starts at 1500.

Match profile rows describe the game, not team strength: a higher goal environment means higher-scoring matches.

Starting Lineups

SouthamptonSouthampton1:1

Starting XI

1Daniel PeretzG
3R. ManningD
30J. Ward-ProwseM
7Léo ScienzaM
9C. LarinF
13K. SchlotterbeckD
4F. DownesM
10F. AzazM
15N. Wood-GordonD
18T. FellowsM
14J. BreeD

SwanseaSwansea1:1

Starting XI

22L. VigourouxG
14J. TymonD
6M. StamenićM
49M. YeoM
9Z. VipotnikF
23S. WelshD
4J. FultonM
8E. JustM
5B. CabangoD
30Joseph OkopuM
26F. LissahD