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Match analysis

EnglandChampionship

Derby vs West Brom

Tipster previews, form, Elo ratings and the best odds for this Championship fixture.

Full time0:1HT 0–1

Match Timeline

10'
Harry Whitwell🟨
Yellow Card
16'
A. Heggebo⚽
Normal Goal → J. Morgan
26'
Brayann Pereira🟨
Yellow Card
34'
Brayann Pereira🟨
Yellow Card
34'
Brayann Pereira🟥
Red Card
37'
H. Whitwell🔄
Substitution 1 → N. Galves
46'
R. Hedges🔄
Substitution 1 → J. Ward
46'
D. Sanderson🔄
Substitution 2 → L. Salvesen
46'
A. Heggebo🔄
Substitution 2 → R. Nzingoula
52'
Unknown Player🔄
Substitution 3 → C. Townsend
63'
D. Ozoh🔄
Substitution 3 → H. Meister
82'
Jimmy Morgan🟨
Yellow Card
84'
E. Cashin🔄
Substitution 4 → C. Blackett-Taylor

Match Statistics

3Shots on Goal1
7Shots off Goal3
13Total Shots4
3Blocked Shots0
7Shots insidebox4
6Shots outsidebox0
12Fouls9
11Corner Kicks3
4Offsides4
67Ball Possession33
0Yellow Cards4
0Red Cards1
0Goalkeeper Saves3
539Total passes280
479Passes accurate203
89Passes %73
1.27expected_goals0.38
0.32goals_prevented0.32

Tipster previews (3)

PajimonWon

West Brom Ready to Feast on Derby

The pickWest Brom win

Chance
67%
Odds
2.48
Model EV
+66.2%

Listen up, because I’m only saying this once. If you’re looking for a pretty game of chess, go watch something else. I want meat on the bones and a win in the bag. Derby is currently serving up a plate of nothing—they’re sitting at the bottom of the table with a win rate that’d…

Mr SimpleWon

Derby vs West Brom - West Brom To Take The Points

The pickWest Brom win

Chance
65%
Odds
2.48
Model EV
+61.2%

Right then, let's have a proper look at this one. We've got Derby facing off against West Brom, and on paper, it’s lookin' like a bit of a mismatch, isn't it? Derby have been havin' a proper rough time lately. They’re sittin' right down at the bottom of the table in 20th place…

Form & key stats

Last 10 matches, all competitions

Derby

2W 2D 6L0.80 pts/game

West Brom

7W 1D 2L2.20 pts/game

Per game

Derby at home vs West Brom away

Bold green marks the stronger number on each row. Both-teams-scored is shown without a side.

Elo ratings

Before the match · within Championship

Overall edge
+30West Brom
Venue edge
+86Derby
Rating period
Match snapshot
Derby versus West Brom: long term Elo, before the match
DerbyHomeRatingWest BromAway
Strength
1,489Overall1,518
1,503Match venue1,417
1,503At home1,583
1,448Away1,417
Attack & defence
1,485Attack1,456
1,508Defence1,563
1,449Home attack1,479
1,486Away attack1,419
1,553Home defence1,608
1,491Away defence1,504
Match profile
1,542Goal environment1,485
1,458Home goals1,513
1,583Away goals1,472
1,475Possession1,513
Specialist ratings
1,470Set-piece attack1,517
1,471Set-piece defence1,517
1,471Close games1,483
1,489Winning margin1,531

Match venue compares Derby at home with West Brom away. Green marks the higher rating; a new team starts at 1500.

Match profile rows describe the game, not team strength: a higher goal environment means higher-scoring matches.

Starting Lineups

DerbyDerby1:1

Starting XI

1J. Widell ZetterstromG
18C. TaylorD
4D. OzohM
16M. FuseiniM
11S. SzmodicsF
44E. CashinD
20A. MowattM
8B. ClarkM
6S. LangasD
26R. HedgesM
28D. SandersonD

West BromWest BromUnknown

Starting XI

1M. O'LearyG
18B. PereiraD
3N. PhillipsD
6G. CampbellD
4C. StylesD
29H. WhitwellM
8J. MolumbyM
17O. DiakiteM
21I. PriceM
19A. HeggeboF
11J. MorganF