Sat, 19 Sept 2026, 11:30
Full Time

Match Timeline

10'
Kalvin Phillips🟨
Yellow Card
32'
Justin Devenny🟨
Yellow Card
43'
Maksym Taloverov🟨
Yellow Card
51'
Kalvin Phillips⚽
Normal Goal
54'
Oliver Arblaster🟨
Yellow Card
63'
Ethan Galbraith🟨
Yellow Card
63'
Eric Junior Bocat🟨
Yellow Card
63'
Liam Kitching🟨
Yellow Card
64'
Lamine Cissé🔄
Substitution 1 → George Hirst
64'
El Hadji Soumare🔄
Substitution 2 → Sam Gallagher
65'
Maksym Taloverov🔄
Substitution 3 → Junior Tchamadeu
67'
Oliver Arblaster🔄
Substitution 1 → Thomas Cannon
69'
Rhys Norrington-Davies🟨
Yellow Card
78'
Jack Mcglynn⚽
Normal Goal → Junior Tchamadeu
80'
Hamza Choudhury🔄
Substitution 2 → Jamie Shackleton
80'
Ben Brereton🔄
Substitution 3 → Tahith Chong
80'
Patrick Bamford🔄
Substitution 4 → Jordan Ayew
80'
Eric Junior Bocat🔄
Substitution 4 → Luca Bombino
80'
Justin Devenny🔄
Substitution 5 → Million·Manhoef
86'
Sam Gallagher⚽
Normal Goal → Ethan Galbraith
88'
Jamal Baptiste🔄
Substitution 5 → Romelle Donovan

Match Statistics

390Passes accurate196
6Shots insidebox3
6Shots outsidebox5
2Blocked Shots2
15Free Kicks12
5Shots on Goal3
2Goalkeeper Saves3
5Shots off Goal3
2Offsides0
474Total passes292
12Total Shots8
4Yellow Cards4
8Corner Kicks1
13Fouls15
0Red Cards0
62Ball Possession38

Starting Lineups

Stoke CityStoke City1:1

Starting XI

1V. JohanssonG
5L. GrahamD
17E. BocatM
13J. DevennyF
40M. TalovierovD
8E. GalbraithM
11L. CisséF
16B. WilmotD
27El Hadji Djibril SoumaréM
7J. McGlynnF
2B. JohnsonM

Sheffield UtdSheffield Utd1:1

Starting XI

1M. CooperG
15L. KitchingD
30R. Norrington-DaviesM
22B. BreretonM
45P. BamfordF
5J. TangangaD
42Sydie PeckM
4O. ArblasterM
33J. BaptisteD
27K. PhillipsM
8H. ChoudhuryM

Head-to-Head

📈 Team Form & Statistics

Stoke City
Stoke City
Form: W-D-W-W-L
Sheffield Utd
Sheffield Utd
Form: L-L-W-L-W
Record
4 W
3 D
3 L
•
4 W
3 D
3 L
Goals Per Game
1.5
Scored
vs
1.3
Scored
1.3
Conceded
vs
1.1
Conceded
Betting Indicators
Clean Sheets
30%
Clean Sheets
30%
BTTS
70%
BTTS
50%
Home/Away Performance
Scored
Home:1.7
Away:1.3
Conceded
Home:0.7
Away:2.3
Scored
Home:1.0
Away:1.5
Conceded
Home:1.5
Away:0.8

ELO comparison

Pre-match ratings

Rating period
Match snapshot
Stoke City versus Sheffield Utd: long term ELO, before the match
Stoke CityHomeRatingSheffield UtdAway
Strength
1,439.4Overall1,496.7
1,493.6Match venue1,557
1,493.6At home1,509.6
1,415.5Away1,557
Attack & defence
1,436.7Attack1,509.3
1,496.4Defence1,510.7
1,473.3Home attack1,518.2
1,384.8Away attack1,502.9
1,539.3Home defence1,509.4
1,499.9Away defence1,579.9
Match profile
1,338.3Goal environment1,470
1,431.7Home goals1,508.3
1,406.7Away goals1,461.7
1,496.6Possession1,499.8
Specialist ratings
1,518Set-piece attack1,479.1
1,517.9Set-piece defence1,481
1,480.4Close games1,484.5
1,434.4Winning margin1,500.5

Match venue compares Stoke City at home with Sheffield Utd away. All ratings are within this league.

Higher goal environment ratings mean higher-scoring games, not necessarily a stronger team. A starting league rating is 1500.

📝 Match Preview

Stoke City vs Sheffield Utd: A Championship Goal Fest?
Recommendation:OVER_2_5
Odds:1.91
Expected Value:+24.1%
Confidence:70

Stoke City are looking to keep their momentum rolling at home, and if you're looking for action, this is where you find it. They’ve been putting on a show recently, punctuated by a massive 4-0 demolition of Charlton and a gritty 2-1 win over Watford. At home, they average 1.67 goals per game, and they aren't just scoring; they’re finding ways to get involved in the thick of the fight. Sheffield United, meanwhile, are the definition of 'entertaining' on the road. They’ve managed a 50% win rate away from home this season, and their recent fixtures have been anything but sleepy. We’re talking about 3-2 and 2-1 results that keep the fans on their toes. They average 1.50 goals per game on the road, and they don't seem to have much of a 'defensive' mindset when they're out of their own backyard. They are a team that likes to trade blows, and they've shown they can handle the pressure of a high-scoring environment. When these two meet, history tells us that the floodgates often open. In their head-to-head history, 60% of the matches have cleared the Over 2.5 Goals mark. The most recent encounter saw three goals fly into the net in a 1-2 result. With Stoke’s 70% Both Teams to Score rate and Sheffield's tendency to trade blows, this match has all the ingredients for a high-octane affair. I don't care about the 'safe' route here; I want the goals. The stats suggest a goal-rich environment where neither side is willing to sit back and let the other do the work. We have a home side that is improving their goal-scoring trend and an away side that consistently finds the back of the net. Life’s too short for nil-nil, and this fixture looks like a prime candidate for a high-scoring spectacle. Key Points: - Stoke City have scored 1.67 goals per game at home this season. - Sheffield Utd average 1.50 goals per game in away fixtures. - 60% of the head-to-head matches between these two have seen Over 2.5 Goals. - Stoke City have a high Both Teams to Score rate of 70%. - Recent results for both sides include 3-2 and 2-1 scores, indicating a preference for open play. The Big "O" is calling for action, and the numbers back it up. We are going for the goals. Recommended Bet: Over 2.5 Goals

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📝 Match Preview

Stoke City vs Sheffield Utd: A Defensive Chess Match
Recommendation:UNDER_2_5
Odds:1.91
Expected Value:+14.6%
Confidence:7

Right then, let's have a look at this Championship clash. We’ve got Stoke City hosting Sheffield Utd, and if you’re looking for a high-octane goal fest, you might want to look elsewhere. This feels like it’s going to be a proper grind, a tactical battle where both sides are looking to keep things tight and secure the points. Stoke City have been looking solid at home lately. When they’re on their own turf, they’ve managed to keep things on the right side of the scoreboard, conceding a mere 0.67 goals per game. They aren't exactly known for putting on a fireworks display, but they are incredibly difficult to break down. They’ve shown they can grind out results, like that 1-0 win over Norwich, and they're looking to replicate that defensive discipline here. On the other side of the pitch, Sheffield Utd are just as stubborn when they travel. They’ve gone on a decent run away from home, remaining unbeaten in their last six trips. More importantly, their defensive record on the road is cracking—they’ve only conceded 0.67 goals per game. They aren't going to come out swinging; they’re going to sit back, organize, and try to frustrate the hosts. When you look at the history between these two, Sheffield have had the upper hand recently, winning four of the last five meetings. However, many of those games have been low-scoring affairs, including some 0-2 scorelines. The numbers back this up, too; the expected goals for this match are sitting at a modest 2.25. With both teams boasting such strong defensive stats in their respective home/away environments, the most likely outcome is a cagey affair where neither side wants to be caught out. We're looking at a match where 'graft' is the name of the game. Both teams are disciplined, defensively organized, and likely to prioritize clean sheets over risky attacking flair. It’s the definition of a low-scoring battle. Key Points: - Stoke City have a strong home defense, conceding only 0.67 goals per game. - Sheffield Utd have been unbeaten in their last 6 away games, conceding just 0.67 goals per game on the road. - Recent Head-to-Head meetings between these two have frequently seen low scores (e.g., 0-2, 0-2). - The goal environment for both teams in these specific settings suggests a low-scoring match. - Expected goals (λ) for the fixture are low at 2.25. Because both sides are so defensively disciplined in these specific conditions, I'm backing a low-scoring game.

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