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Match analysis

EnglandChampionship

Southampton vs Portsmouth

Tipster previews, form, Elo ratings and the best odds for this Championship fixture.

Tipster previews (4)

Pajimon

Southampton Favourites to Edge Portsmouth at Home

The pickSouthampton win

Chance
66%
Odds
1.61
Model EV
+6.3%

Look, I'll be honest with you — this one's got the smell of a good braai on it. Southampton at home against Portsmouth, and the numbers don't lie. The Saints have won 12 of their last 20 home games, drawing 6 and losing just 2. That's 2.1 points per game at their ground, and…

Form & key stats

Last 10 matches, all competitions

Southampton

5W 2D 3L1.70 pts/game

Portsmouth

2W 4D 4L1.00 pts/game

Per game

Southampton at home vs Portsmouth away

Bold green marks the stronger number on each row. Both-teams-scored is shown without a side.

Elo ratings

Before the match · within Championship

Overall edge
+162Southampton
Venue edge
+207Southampton
Rating period
Southampton versus Portsmouth: long term Elo, before the match
SouthamptonHomeRatingPortsmouthAway
Strength
1,634Overall1,472
1,650Match venue1,443
1,650At home1,482
1,558Away1,443
Attack & defence
1,599Attack1,458
1,561Defence1,522
1,619Home attack1,444
1,537Away attack1,459
1,594Home defence1,555
1,512Away defence1,480
Match profile
1,698Goal environment1,533
1,613Home goals1,457
1,585Away goals1,577
1,537Possession1,503
Specialist ratings
1,535Set-piece attack1,517
1,535Set-piece defence1,517
1,539Close games1,439
1,669Winning margin1,473

Match venue compares Southampton at home with Portsmouth away. Green marks the higher rating; a new team starts at 1500.

Match profile rows describe the game, not team strength: a higher goal environment means higher-scoring matches.

Starting lineups

Lineups are not available yet. They are usually confirmed about an hour before kick-off.