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Match analysis

EnglandChampionship

Cardiff vs Watford

Tipster previews, form, Elo ratings and the best odds for this Championship fixture.

Tipster previews (5)

Pajimon

Cardiff vs Watford: The Home Record Tells the Story

The pickCardiff win

Chance
62%
Odds
1.75
Model EV
+8.5%

Look, I'm gonna be straight with you - this one's got a flavour I can smell from the braai. Cardiff at home against Watford away, and the numbers don't lie, my friend. Cardiff's home record over their last 20 games at their ground is 11 wins, 5 draws and 4 losses. They're…

Form & key stats

Last 10 matches, all competitions

Cardiff

1W 4D 5L0.70 pts/game

Watford

2W 2D 6L0.80 pts/game

Per game

Cardiff at home vs Watford away

Bold green marks the stronger number on each row. Both-teams-scored is shown without a side.

Elo ratings

Before the match · within Championship

Overall edge
+26Watford
Venue edge
+66Cardiff
Rating period
Cardiff versus Watford: long term Elo, before the match
CardiffHomeRatingWatfordAway
Strength
1,386Overall1,412
1,454Match venue1,388
1,454At home1,521
1,397Away1,388
Attack & defence
1,428Attack1,393
1,467Defence1,484
1,421Home attack1,446
1,438Away attack1,395
1,523Home defence1,537
1,437Away defence1,468
Match profile
1,502Goal environment1,670
1,408Home goals1,583
1,593Away goals1,587
1,521Possession1,500
Specialist ratings
1,529Set-piece attack1,474
1,528Set-piece defence1,474
1,439Close games1,480
1,378Winning margin1,392

Match venue compares Cardiff at home with Watford away. Green marks the higher rating; a new team starts at 1500.

Match profile rows describe the game, not team strength: a higher goal environment means higher-scoring matches.

Starting lineups

Lineups are not available yet. They are usually confirmed about an hour before kick-off.